Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (user search)
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  Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog (search mode)
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Author Topic: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog  (Read 176244 times)
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« on: October 24, 2015, 09:14:39 AM »
Why are all of the major political analysts still listing this as Likely R?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2015, 09:30:58 AM »
Quote from: Miles on October 24, 2015, 09:22:03 AM
Quote from: windjammer on October 24, 2015, 09:18:13 AM
What is your prediction Miles by the way?

I still think Vitter makes the runoff. Hopefully, if he makes it, he'll have an embarrassingly low level of support. I've heard that Dardenne has got momentum, but I'm afraid its probably too late.

I'd say something like:

Edwards - 39%
Vitter - 23%
Dardenne - 19%
Angelle - 17%

Who are you endorsing in a Vitter-Edwards runoff?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2015, 10:07:49 AM »
Is Vitter or Angelle more conservative?

P.S. Thanks for being the LA election encyclopedia, Miles Smiley
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2015, 02:06:31 PM »
When will the results begin to come in?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2015, 07:10:53 PM »
So 50 more minutes?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2015, 07:51:26 PM »
Does anyone have a list of competitive legislature districts?

As well as a list of which offices are up tonight, just for easy reference.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2015, 08:00:21 PM »
Let the games begin.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #7 on: October 24, 2015, 08:03:39 PM »

What? If you want somebody else to win for sure, Vitter needs to get to the runoff.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #8 on: October 24, 2015, 08:08:18 PM »
I know that the results this early mean literally nothing, but Angelle is 5 pts above Vitter according to the SoS Sad
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #9 on: October 24, 2015, 08:09:21 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on October 24, 2015, 08:08:30 PM
I have a gut feeling that the election day vote will be more pro-Vitter.

That's what I predicted on.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #10 on: October 24, 2015, 08:12:12 PM »
Which results website is the most updated? The SoS?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2015, 08:13:41 PM »

ty

I hope Angelle doesn't win Sad
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2015, 08:16:05 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 24, 2015, 08:14:34 PM
It seems to me that most early votes are from Acadiana which is why Angelle performs so well.

Well, Vitter is ahead now Smiley
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2015, 08:38:18 PM »
I think this is actually my first major election on the Atlas, besides maybe Chicago.

Anyway, yeah, the forum is being annoying.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #14 on: October 24, 2015, 08:43:24 PM »


How pretty...
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #15 on: October 24, 2015, 08:45:46 PM »
The margin between Holden and Young looks razor thin. Did the polls indicate one of them would have a significant advantage? How about Nungesser?
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2015, 08:56:19 PM »
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2015, 09:00:35 PM »
It would be a very pretty map if Edwards picks up Bossier, La Salle, Caldwell, and Sabine but everything else stays the same.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2015, 09:02:25 PM »
Quote from: darthebearnc on October 24, 2015, 09:00:35 PM
It would be a very pretty map if Edwards picks up Bossier, La Salle, Caldwell, and Sabine but everything else stays the same.

Saint Tammany just ruined it...
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2015, 09:05:16 PM »
Vitter's barely a point above now. 22.25-21.14 @ 21:01:06.523
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2015, 09:12:28 PM »
Looks like West Carroll has just become the first one to finish and has (surprisingly) chosen Angelle.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #21 on: October 24, 2015, 09:15:20 PM »
La Salle and Saint Bernard Parishes have just finalized for Vitter.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #22 on: October 24, 2015, 09:17:54 PM »
Quote from: Miles on October 24, 2015, 09:16:59 PM
Quote from: darthebearnc on October 24, 2015, 09:15:20 PM
La Salle and Saint Bernard Parishes have just finalized for Vitter.

Interesting - there's been huge pro- D demographic change since Katrine in St. Bernard. Even Landrieu carried it in 2014. Back in the 1990's, it was >65% for David Duke.

Looks like ol' Edwards was only 226 votes away from winning it. Sad
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #23 on: October 24, 2015, 09:18:36 PM »
Claiborne, Morehouse, and Saint Charles all finalized for John Bel.
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darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #24 on: October 24, 2015, 09:20:32 PM »
Quote from: darthebearnc on October 24, 2015, 09:18:36 PM
Claiborne, Morehouse, and Saint Charles all finalized for John Bel.

And Caldwell goes for Angelle by a mere 130 votes (Vitter in 2nd).
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