NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +13 among RVs, +9/+14 among electorate models

[Suburbia]

It looks like property taxes and income taxes---something that helps the NJGOP win here in NJ is not sticking anymore--it is not 2009 anymore where Chris Christie could galvanize voters on that...

Murphy wins reelection, but 2025 becomes win or bust for Republicans

[Suburbia]

I bet it will be the usual 56-41 New Jersey election but I expect some movement from 2017 in certain regions. Pretty sure Murphy will do considerably better in Somerset, Hunterdon, Morris but much worse in Gloucester, Salem, Cumberland.

Can you see Murphy winning Hunterdon? That would be a shock, winning Christie Whitman's county, home of the rich and the farms.......

It's a political realignment....Gloucester/Salem/Cumberland are WWC Republican-leaning places now and the wealthy Somerset/Hunterdon/Morris, once the base of the NJGOP is now Democratic-leaning now...