FL-GOV 2022: Gillum probably seeking rematch

[DaWN]

Dem prez: DeSantis +9
Trump reelected: DeSantis +4

Dems might be locked out from FL Gov Mansion up until 2030 or beyond, because 2026 is most likely a Dem midterm regardless of how 2020 goes. TX-Gov could flip earlier. GA certainly will.

TX-GOV flipping is not happening

That depends entirely on whether Abbot runs for a third term or not.

If Abbot retires and Trump is president it'll probably be competitive, otherwise almost certainly not.

[DaWN]

DeSantis is doing all the right things to get re-elected.

The serious candidates will not be running.  The 2022 Democrat will be a decided underdog.  The question would be whether or not Little Marco would be vulnerable.

Gillum's star is sinking.

What Congress district or state senate seat he lives in?

The African American Trump Democrat Al Lawson's seat.

God id love for Gillum to primary him then maybe run for senate or something I think gillum could make a great president one day hes one of my favorite rising stars in the party

Gillum lost a statewide election in a blue wave year with more favorable circumstances in his state.  He should never have lost.  He'd get destroyed in a nationwide general.

I don’t think Gillum’s path to victory was as clear cut as Atlas Democrats thought. Nobody outside of Tallahassee was excited about Gillum, and even the hype in Tally was mostly hometown pride. The city is a ghetto dump aside from the college areas, and I can tell you first hand that even those areas could be dangerous. I wound up on the wrong end of a gun there myself.

Everyone I knew who was voting Gillum were already Democrats who would have backed Levine or Graham too. The only two swing voters I know who actually did vote Gillum were Fuzzy and my aunt on my dads side, and both acknowledged these votes had more to do with other circumstances than Gillum himself.

In the end, none of that should have mattered though - it was a D+9 year and he was facing Ron DeSantis (candidate DeSantis ≠ governor DeSantis remember). He didn't need to be some amazing swing voter magnet that excited people, he just needed to not alienate anyone and keep Dem turnout up. He failed at that and may well have cost the Dems a Senate seat in the process.