Divison 2020 Election Game (Game Thread)

[terp40hitch]

Divison

2020

An Election Game

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Turn One

November 1st 2019-December 1st 2019

2020 Campaign Starts

President Trump recives a challenge in the Republican primary while Democrats line up to fight him in the general election

President Trump Approval recieves a bounce

After President Trump launches his 2020 election campaign his approval has started to climb back up

Democrats Call to Abloshish ICE

Democrat Activist call to add abloshing ICE to the party plateform

RCP President Trump Approval Average

Disapprove: 51%

Approve: 39%

Unsure: 10%

RCP General Election Polling

Generic Democrat: 41%

Donald Trump: 39%

Undecided: 20%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

Donald Trump: 54%

John Kasich: 25%

Unsure: 21%

Donald Trump is facing a challenge from former Governor of Ohio John Kasich who has been a vocal critic of Trump since he suspended his campaign four years ago. Trump does start off with heavy advantage, he is very strong in the south and midwest and he has party backing and money which will prove very befintly when facing Kasich. Kasich does have strong support in the northeast and Utah and especially in the crucial state of New Hampshire. Still, Kasich has left a door open to a possible third-party run which could make a Trump win much harder.

RCP Democrat National Polling Average

Joe Biden: 16%

Elizabeth Warren: 13%

Michelle Obama: 11%

Kamala Harris: 8%

Sherrod Brown: 7%

Kristen Gillibrand: 5%

Chealse Clinton: 4%

Derek Jeter: 3%

John Delaney: 1%

Undecided: 32%

The Democratic field is being called the year of the women after five women jump into the field. Still, the leader of the field is Joe Biden who is playing himself as an Obama Democrat and blue-collar Democrat. Biden has a very small lead over both Elizabeth Warren and Michelle Obama who are the only other two polling above ten percent. Warren and Obama are close to Biden and the frontrunners but we must not write off Sherrod Brown, Kamala Harris, and Kristen Gillibrand. All of them have strong polling in one of the first few states and they have made a name for themselves on the national scene in the last three years.

The lower candidates are Chelsea Clinton, Derek Jeter, and John Delaney but at this point, they still have a viable chance at the nomination if they overcome their problems. All these candidates are plagued by a problem. First, Clinton has to distance herself from the Clinton name as many Democrats want to move away from the Clintons after the 2016 loss. Second, Jeter could have been a very good candidate four years ago in the anti-establishment year but Jeter is now running in a year where the Democrats want to experience but if Jeter can prove he is experienced enough to run for president then he could win. Third, Delaney is being plagued by low name recognition but he does have the money to overcome this downfall and he is polling well in Iowa.

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

Iowa

Donald Trump: 67%

John Kasich: 25%

Unsure: 8%

New Hampshire

John Kasich: 51%

Donald Trump: 42%

Unsure: 7%

South Carolina

Donald Trump: 85%

John Kasich: 9%

Unsure: 6%

Nevada

Donald Trump: 59%

John Kasich: 39%

Unsure: 2%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

Iowa

Joe Biden: 21%

Sherrod Brown: 16%

Michele Obama: 15%

Kamala Harris: 11%

John Delaney: 10%

Elizabeth Warren: 9%

Chealse Clinton: 5%

Kristen Gillibrand: 4%

Derek Jeter: 2%

Unsure: 7%

New Hampshire

Elizabeth Warren: 17%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15%

Joe Biden: 15%

Michelle Obama: 10%

Sherrod Brown: 9%

Kalamla Harris: 7%

Chealse Clinton: 7%

Derek Jeter: 6%

John Delaney: 2%

Unsure: 12%

Nevada

Joe Biden: 23%

Kamala Harris: 22%

Michelle Obama: 17%

Derek Jeter: 11%

Chealse Clinton: 9%

Sherrod Brown: 5%

Kristen Gillibrand: 3%

Elizabeth Warren: 2%

John Delaney: 0%

Unsure: 8%

South Carolina

Michelle Obama: 27%

Kamala Harris: 21%

Derek Jeter: 20%

Joe Biden: 9%

Chealse Clinton: 5%

Sherrod Brown: 4%

John Delaney: 4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 2%

Elizabeth Warren: 1%

Unsure: 7%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Wensday night, at 11:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

There will be no debate during this turn, however, there will be one in Turn Two. You are allowed two endorsements per turn, so make sure to PM me your endorsements so that I can approve of them, and endorsements are first-come, first-serve.

This turn will last the month of November. Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

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Kasich Campaign Part One

Values You Can Trust

Iowa

November 1st

Governor Kasich begins the morning with an interview on the Today Show with Anne Curry.

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Following the interview Governor Kasich prepared for a campaign in the Iowa cold

• Townhall in Rock Rapids, Iowa

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• Townhall in Orange City, Iowa
• Meet and Greet outside of New Hope Church in Orange City
• Coffee with supporters/volunteers at the campaign office in Sioux City

November 2nd

• Rally in Sioux Falls
• Speech in Carroll about Social Security
• goes to a Wendys in Carroll to talk to the workers (and have a hamburger)
• 
  
  
  • Holds a meet and greet in Le Mars, Iowa
  • 
    
    
  
  
  
  

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  After the release of his Ad Kasich would go and meet with the Mayor of Des Moines and the Mayor of Davenport.
  
  
  Kasich holds a rally in Spencer about the importance of accountability
  
  
  Kasich appears on Hardball with Chris Matthews
  
  
  
  
  November 7th
  
  
  
  Governor Kasich meets with the Senate Minority Leader and House Minority Leader of the Iowa Legislature (both are Democrats)
  
  
  Governor Kasich meets with Senator Joni Ernest and Chuck Grassley as well as Representatives Rod Blum and Steve King.
  
  
  Governor Kasich holds a townhall in Waterloo
  
  
  Governor Kasich holds a meet and greet of supporters in Cedar Falls
  
  
  Governor Kasich appears on Hannity
  
  
  
  November 8th
  
  
  Kasich has a pancake breakfast with supporters in the local American Legion Hall in Dubuque
  
  
  Kasich announces a statewide tour by his wife Karen and their Daughter Reese.
  
  
  Kasich holds a fundraiser with Rex Tillerson and the Secretaries "Friends"
  
  
  Kasich appears at a join event with Speaker Ryan in Des Moines
  
  
  
  Paul Ryan begins campaigning for Kasich in Wisconsin and Illinois.  
  
  
  
  
  
  November 9th
  
  
  Paul Ryan holds a Rally for Kasich in Milwaukee
  
  Rex Tillerson campaigns for Kasich in Texas while talking to his friends from his past profession about donations to Kasich.
  
  Kasich holds a rally in Ames
  
  Kasich has a meet and greet with supporters in Ames
  
  Kasich speaks about his policy on the 2nd Amendment at a Gun Show in Des Moines
  
  Kasich meets and greets supporters in Ledyard
  
  
  
  
  
  
  New Hampshire
  
  
  November 10th
  
  
  Opens the campaign office in Nashua
  
  
  Meets with Governor Sununu along with the Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives and the President of the New Hampshire State Senate.
  
  
  Holds a Policy Speech in Nashua about the Importance of Civil Liberties
  
  
  Holds a Rally in Manchester where he talks about Trump's cuts to the Military
  
  
  Kasich talks to (literally) everyone in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire (it has a population of 12 and it votes at Midnight)
  
  
  Rex Tillerson and Paul Ryan campaign in Iowa
  
  
  Rex Tillerson focuses on the rural areas using his knowledge of the energy industry to talk to farmers .
  
  
  Ryan talks to the more Urban voters about Tax cuts and their defense of the military.
  
  
  
  
  November 11th
  
  
  Governor Kasich appears on Morning Joe
  
  
  Paul Ryan and Rex Tillerson continue their strategy of Urban and Rural campaigning for Governor Kasich
  
  
  Karen Kasichs bus tour around Iowa begins in Lyon County they are going to travel west to Osceola  county then to Dickinson and end the day in Emmet county making stops to Barnstorm for her husband along the way.
  
  
  Kasich barnstorms in Keene New Hampshire talking to potential supporters and stopping in a Diner to have some Pie.
  
  
  
  
  Governor Kasich talking to a crowd in Manchester
  
  
  Kasich makes a policy speech on the Canadian border about Tariffs against our allies and gets applause from both sides of the border.
  
   
  
  Kasich attends a Veterans Day parade in Concord.
  
  
  
  Kasich appears on Tucker Carlson Tonight
  
  
  
  
  November 12th
  
  
  Kasich hits the trail hard by stopping off for an early cup of Coffee in Manchester
  
  
  Kasich goes to Nashua  and talks about how the United States needs a Stronger National Defense
  
  
  Paul Ryan travels to Nevada and campaigns in Reno for Governor Kasich
  
  
  Rex Tillerson heads to South Carolina and campaigns for Rex Tillerson in Charleston and other towns
  
  
  Kasich launches a GOTV effort in NH targeting Young Voters and Minority Voters
  
  
  Kasich has a meeting with various religious leaders in New Hampshire
  
  
  Kasich holds a fundraiser in Concord
  
  
  
  
  
  November 13th
  
  
  Kasich meets with leaders of New Hampshire business
  
  
  Kasich speaks with leaders of the New Hampshire Black and Latino communities
  
  
  Tillerson campaigns heavily in Jim Clyburns district and tries to make an outreach with Black Community Leaders
  
  
  Ryan campaigns in Reno and in Northern Nevada voicing support for the mining industry in the region
  
  
  Kasich holds a rally in Keane
  
  
  Kasich makes a speech in Nashua
  
  
  Kasich holds a fundraiser in Keane
  
  
  
  
  November 14th
  
  
  
  Tillerson continues his efforts in Jim Clyburns district but also campaigns in Charleston and Columbia
  
  
  Paul Ryan continues his campaigning in Nevada going to Las Vegas and talking to people in the city
  
  
  Kasich holds a rally with modest attendance in Nashua
  
  
  Kasich barnstorms in Rural New Hampshire
  
  
  Kasich vists the grave of Josiah Bartlett (Yes that Bartlets Great Great Great Great Grandfather He was a real person) remarking that as a signer of the declaration of Independence he would be remembered throughout history as one of the men who built freedom and democracy in the world.
  
  
  Kasich appears on the 11th hour with Brian Williams.
  
  
  
  
  November 15th
  
  
  Kasich launches his an ad covering the first dozen primary states
  
  
  

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  Kasich holds a meet and greet in Concord
  
  
  Kasich holds a rally in Nashua stating the importance of a strong national defense
  
  
  Rex Tillerson steps up his efforts in rural south carolina
  
  
  Paul Ryan flies to Virginia and begins campaigning in NOVA and Southwestern Virginia
  
  
  Kasich barnstorms in Rural New Hampshire  

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Kasich Campaign Part Two

South Carolina

Kasich holds a rally in Charleston


Kasich holds a rally in Greenville


Kasich barnstorms in rural South Carolina


Kasich has a meet and greet in Colombia




November 17th




Kasich appears on Meet the Press with Chuck Todd


Kasich holds a luncheon with supporters


Paul Ryan campaigns heavily in South Carolina


Rex Tillerson and Paul Ryan campaign with Governor Kasich in Charleston and rural areas


Kasich meets with local black community leaders


Kasich holds a fundraiser priced at $25 a plate


Kasich makes a speech in a black community stressing the importance of police body cameras



November 18th



Kasich meets with Governor McMaster and the Republican and Democrat Leaders of the State Legislature.


Kasich campaigns in Charlestons suburbs while Ryan focuses on the urban areas with Tillerson campaigning in the rural areas of the state.


Kasich meets with Sen. Tim Scott and Lindsey Graham along with the rest of the SC Delegation


Kasich holds a rally in the suburbs of Columbia


Kasich holds a Townhall in a church in Charleston



November 19th


Kasich appears on local news programs and answers a few questions


Kasich Tillerson and Ryan continue campaigning in the Suburbs rural areas and the urban areas respectably.


Kasich talks about the importance of social conservatism in this day and age


Kasich holds a rally and speaks about how he erased the deficit without raising spending





November 20th


Kasich holds a rally where he talks about President Trumps cuts to the military


Kasich Tillerson and Ryan stick with the same formula they had been using in previous day


Kasich makes an appearance at an American Legion Hall where he denounces the Democrats Abolition of ICE


Kasich meets with local chamber of commerce leaders and pledges to cut taxes and reign in the deficit



Kasich says "Trump cut taxes, but he didnt cut spending and just ballooned the Federal Deficit we can't let this happen if we don't want to be on our knees with China anymore we already owe them 4 trillion I think we can stop this now!"


Kasich appears on Megyn Kelly




November 21st


Kasich Tillerson and Ryan continue with the strategy they had been using


Kasich holds a voter registration drive in the suburbs of Charleston and later in the day Colombia


Kasich speaks with local religious leaders about the state the country is heading in.


Kasich has a luncheon with supporters in Greenville.


Kasich tells supporters that "If we are to win then we will need to work hard."


Governor Kasich meets with Small Buisnessmen and talks to them about the effects of the Tax cuts in 2018




November 22nd



Kasich Tillerson and Ryan continue the campaigning regime


Kasich speaks at a VFW Center on his experience with issue involving the Armed Services.


Kasich barnstorms with Rex Tillerson in rural South Carolina



Kasich says "While I support Civil Rights for all Americans I do not agree with President Trump in his decision of expanding Article IX."


Kasich barnstorms in the suburbs of Charleston and Colombia


Kasich has a rally in rural South Carolina hammering Trump on his support of the expansion of Article IX


Rex Tillerson goes on local news to talk about Trumps defense/support of the LGBTQ saying that Kasich is the true Christian Conservative


Paul Ryan goes on Meet the Press and says that Trump is a poser of a Conservative and that Kasich stands for Conservative and Christian Values.




November 23rd-27th

Kasich is at home he attends the Michigan vs. Ohio State football game and he celebrates thanksgiving





November 28th


Kasich barnstorms in rural New Hampshire Ryan and Tillerson continue their campaigning in Urban and Rural centers throughout South Carolina.


Kasich has Pie in a diner in Concord


Kasich goes on local TV to talk about his plan for the economy.


Tillerson goes on TV in Greenville to talk about Trump's lack of Conservatism Socially



November 29th


Kasich holds a fundraiser in Keene


Kasich makes a speech about civil liberties


Kasich holds a rally and hammers Trump on fiscal responsibility


Kasich goes on local news to support more tax cuts for small buisnesses and dairy farmers specifically


Tillerson hammers Trump on Social Conservatism


Ryan campaigns in Urban South Caroliina


Tillerson makes multiple appearances in rural South Carolina mainly in border counties with Georgia


November 30th


Tillerson and Ryan continue campaigning heavily in the Rural and Urban areas specifically

Kasich meets with many social conservative leaders around the US to talk about President Trump's recent acceptance of the gay community

Kasich puts a call in for Vice President Pence

Ryan goes on local news and talks about Governor Kasichs economic plan to revitalize the economy

Tillerson continues to talk about Trumps lack of Social Conservatism this time he does it on Hannity

Kasich goes on Tucker Carlson and he talks about Trumps lack of Fiscal Responsibility. He talks about how he balanced the budget in Ohio without raising taxes.


December 1st

Ryan holds a few rallies in both Charleston and in Columbus while Rex Tillerson holds rallys in rural counties along the south Carolina border.


Kasich blasts Trump about his lack of Fiscal Responsibility on Hannity

Tillerson talks about Trump's lack of Social Conservative ideas on Tucker Carlson

Ryan goes on local news to talk about Governor Kasich's Social Conservative Ideals

Kasich holds a rally in Nashua talking about how he plans on revitalizing the economy with tax cuts


"The word conservatism has many different meanings one of those could be that someone fights against change another one of those is someone who is a traditionalist and another is someone who isn't sure of doing one thing or another." "Donald Trump is never a conservative he has switched ideas and morals on the daily, I John Kasich have believed in my conservative ideas since my days at Ohio State while Trump was at some preppy school I was in our nations heartland. I know what America stands for I am a middle American."

[terp40hitch]

John Delaney is the most favorable candidate in the race

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[terp40hitch]

Turn 2

December 2nd to Janurary 1st

In the News!

The Race to the Left

As the Democrat Primary starts it seems as it will be the race to be the farthest left

Trump wins Support From Former Challengers

Trump was endorsed by two of his former challengers in 2016, Both Cruz and Rubio put 2016 behind them

New Challenger Enters Ring

Newly Elected Senator from Arizona joins the Election fray

RCP Trump Approval Rating

Disapprove: 46%

Approve: 41%

Unsure: 13%

RCP General Election Polling

Generic Democrat: 42%

Donald Trump: 40%

Unsure: 18%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

Donald Trump: 57%

John Kasich: 26%

Unsure: 17%

Trump has expanded his lead after being endorsed by his former competitors showing unity within the party. Trump also won over part of the LGBT community and still, he did not lose the religious vote which many in the media project to happen. Trump did have a set back when a former cabinet member endorsed Kasich. Kasich made large gains in both Iowa and New Hampshire after a very early state-focused approach by the campaign.

RCP Democrat National Polling

Joe Biden: 14%

Michelle Obama: 13%

Sherrod Brown: 10%

Elizabeth Warren: 7%

Kristen Gillibrand: 6%

Kyrsten Sinema: 5%

Chealse Clinton: 5%

Derek Jeter: 4%

John Delaney: 2%

Unsure: 34%

With the exit of Kamala Harris, the fall of Biden and Warren and entrance of Sinema, a large majority are yet to choose their candidate. Obama did make a large gain with African-Americans which has made her the clear favorite in South Carolina. Two rising stars in the Democratic Party also saw a boost this month, Gillibrand and Brown both have launched in polling as they fight each other to be the most liberal. There is also, two other candidates trying to win the most liberal fight but they are far behind. Both Delaney and Jeter were campaigning on progressive ideas and Jeter was endorsed by Sander's supporter Tulsi Gabbard. Many question the weird change in position for Delaney who switched his stance on abolishing ICE which could have hurt him polling wise.

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

Iowa

Donald Trump: 65%

John Kasich: 31%

Unsure: 4%

New Hampshire

John Kasich: 54%

Donald Trump: 45%

Unsure: 1%

South Carolina

Donald Trump: 86%

John Kasich: 7%

Unsure: 7%

Nevada

Donald Trump: 57%

John Kasich: 42%

Unsure: 1%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

Iowa

Sherrod Brown: 19%

Joe Biden: 17%

Michele Obama: 17%

John Delaney: 15%

Elizabeth Warren: 7%

Chealse Clinton: 6%

Krysten Sinema: 4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 4%

Derek Jeter: 2%

Unsure: 9%

New Hampshire

Kristen Gillibrand: 19%

Elizabeth Warren: 12%

Michelle Obama: 11%

Derek Jeter: 10%

Joe Biden: 9%

Sherrod Brown: 9%

Krysten Sinema: 8%

Chealse Clinton: 7%

John Delaney: 2%

Unsure: 13%

Nevada

Michelle Obama: 25%

Krysten Sinema: 22%

Chealse Clinton: 16%

Joe Biden: 13%

Derek Jeter: 13%

Sherrod Brown: 6%

Kristen Gillibrand: 2%

Elizabeth Warren: 1%

John Delaney: 0%

Unsure: 2%

South Carolina

Michelle Obama: 35%

Derek Jeter: 29%

Chealse Clinton: 9%

Joe Biden: 7%

Sherrod Brown: 4%

John Delaney: 4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 2%

Kristen Sinema: 1%

Elizabeth Warren: 0%

Unsure: 13%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Sunday night, at 11:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

There will be no debate during this turn, however, there will be one in Turn Two. You are allowed two endorsements per turn, so make sure to PM me your endorsements so that I can approve of them, and endorsements are first-come, first-serve.

This turn will last the month of December. Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

[terp40hitch]

I announce my candidacy for the Democratic Nomination for President of the United States of America as current Senator of Washington (state). Maria Cantwell.

All these new posters are a bit sus

Please put these comments in the OOC thread

[terp40hitch]

WSJ Republican Debate

Boalder, CO December 5th

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[terp40hitch]

NBC Democratic Debate

Gary, IN December 22nd

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[terp40hitch]

Two Former Candidates Blame Loss On Trump Factor

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[terp40hitch]

Turn 3

Janurary 1st to Febuary 1st

In the News!

Anouther Candidate lays in the Graveyard of Failed Hopefuls

Elizabeth Warren who once was close to becoming frontrunner is now going back to the senate as she ended her presidential bid this month

Trump changes campaign

Trump who had a decent campaign decided to change up his top staff

Joe Biden is back!

Biden had a bad month of November but before the caucus has had a comeback

RCP Trump Approval Rating

Disapprove: 45%

Approve: 43%

Unsure: 12%

RCP General Election Polling

Donald Trump: 44%

Generic Democrat: 43%

Unsure: 13%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

Donald Trump: 59%

John Kasich: 31%

Unsure: 10%

Trump changed his campaign and got endorsements in early states which could help in both Iowa and South Carolina. Trump did make one big mistake, he attacked McCarthy which led to mass representives showing their support for Kasich over Trump which hurt Trump espically in Nevada.

In the Debate, it was a tie because they were playing different games. Trump was on attack but Kasich was just ingorned them and talked about unity and his success he had in Ohio.

RCP Democrat National Polling

Joe Biden: 17%

Michelle Obama: 12%

Sherrod Brown: 10%

Kristen Gillibrand: 9%

Kyrsten Sinema: 6%

Chealse Clinton: 5%

Derek Jeter: 5%

Joaquin Castro: 2%

John Delaney: 1%

Unsure: 33%

After Gillibrand won the debate, she surged and gave much of Elizabeth Warren's support since they have very similar views. Biden also had a good turn with his comeback that helped him pull some of Michelle Obama support away but that might of been since she lost some minority support to Sinema, Jeter, and Castro.

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

Iowa

Donald Trump: 69%

John Kasich: 30%

Unsure: 1%

New Hampshire

John Kasich: 57%

Donald Trump: 41%

Unsure: 2%

South Carolina

Donald Trump: 87%

John Kasich: 9%

Unsure: 4%

Nevada

Donald Trump: 53%

John Kasich: 46%

Unsure: 1%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

Iowa

Sherrod Brown: 27%

Joe Biden: 21%

Michele Obama: 16%

John Delaney: 16%

Chealse Clinton: 5%

Krysten Sinema: 5%

Kristen Gillibrand: 4%

Juaquin Castro: 3%

Derek Jeter: 2%

Unsure: 1%

New Hampshire

Kristen Gillibrand: 22%

Michelle Obama: 15%

Joe Biden: 12%

Krysten Sinema: 11%

Derek Jeter: 10%

Sherrod Brown: 10%

Chealse Clinton: 7%

Juaquin Castro: 2%

John Delaney: 1%

Unsure: 22%

Nevada

Krysten Sinema: 21%

Michelle Obama: 19%

Chealse Clinton: 14%

Joe Biden: 12%

Derek Jeter: 10%

Juaquin Castro: 9%

Sherrod Brown: 5%

Kristen Gillibrand: 4%

John Delaney: 0%

Unsure: 6%

South Carolina

Michelle Obama: 33%

Derek Jeter: 29%

Chealse Clinton: 11%

Juaquin Castro: 8%

Joe Biden: 8%

Sherrod Brown: 5%

John Delaney: 4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 3%

Kristen Sinema: 1%

Unsure: 0%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Sunday night, at 11:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

There will be no debate during this turn, however, there will be one in Turn Two. You are allowed two endorsements per turn, so make sure to PM me your endorsements so that I can approve of them, and endorsements are first-come, first-serve.

This turn will last the month of January and the last turn before the Iowa Caucus. Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

[terp40hitch]

Democrats Iowa Exit Poll 2020[/size]

Iowa:

Sherrod Brown: 23%

Joe Biden: 22%

Michelle Obama: 20%

John Delaney: 18%

Kristen Gillibrand: 7%

Chealse Clinton: 4%

Derek Jeter: 4%

Juaquin Castro: 2%

Genders

Men:

Sherrod Brown: 27%

Joe Biden: 24%

John Delaney: 19%

Michelle Obama: 16%

Derek Jeter: 6%

Chealse Clinton: 4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 3%

Juaquin Castro: 1%

Women:

Michelle Obama: 25%

Sherrod Brown: 23%

Joe Biden: 21%

John Delaney: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 10%

Chealse Clinton: 7%

Derek Jeter: 6%

Juaquin Castro: 1%

Republican Iowa Exit Poll 2020[/size]

Iowa:

Donald Trump: 54%

John Kasich: 46%

Genders

Men:

Donald Trump: 59%

John Kasich: 41%

Women:

John Kasich: 51%

Donald Trump: 49%

[terp40hitch]

America's Choice 2020: Iowa Caucus

Wolf Blitzer: The first caucus results are coming in now but first, let's talk about the last month of the campaign. First the Republicans, Kasich has definitely improved since Kim Reynolds endorsed him especially with women voters but with Trump talking about his successful tax cuts it still looks as if Iowa will be solid Trump. On the Democrat side, the race has gotten much closer between the top four candidates, Brown, Delaney, Obama and Biden. Biden made gains with white collar voters since Brown was moving farther to the populist left and lost those votes. Brown did make gains with the progressive and blue-collar voters after the Sanders endorsement. There is a rivalry brewing between the three progressive candidates Brown, Jeter, and Gillibrand who had large endorsements from progressives. Now lets look at the first results:

Republican Iowa Results (3.7%)

Donald Trump: 52.3%

John Kasich: 47.7%

Democrat Iowa Results (0.2%)

Sherrod Brown: 22.6%

Michelle Obama: 21.1%

Joe Biden: 20.9%

John Delaney: 15.3%

Kristen Gillibrand: 10.2%

Chealse Clinton: 4.7%

Derek Jeter: 4.1%

Juaquin Castro: 1.3%

[terp40hitch]

America's Choice 2020: Iowa Caucus

Wolf Blitzer: The Republican race is started to become less close, Trump has started to pull away from Kasich as more conservative counties are coming in. The Democratic race is now within one percent and the former leader, Brown has drifted to third as more of the sub. of Des Moines are coming in

Republican Iowa Results (6.1%)

Donald Trump: 56.4%

John Kasich: 43.6%

Democrat Iowa Results (4.6%)

Michelle Obama: 21.2%

Joe Biden: 21.1%

Sherrod Brown: 20.7%

John Delaney: 18.6%

Kristen Gillibrand: 9.3%

Derek Jeter: 5.5%

Chealse Clinton: 3.1%

Juaquin Castro: 0.5%

[terp40hitch]

America's Choice 2020: Iowa Caucus

Wolf Blitzer: This race is just getting more and more interesting as more results are coming. In the Republican race, it has become much closer as the college town is coming in but Trump is still having a healthy margin. On the Democratic side, Sherrod Brown has regained ground after more college towns are coming in but he is still behind Michelle Obama who is still leading the pack.

Republican Iowa Results (27.6%)

Donald Trump: 51.3%

John Kasich: 48.3%

Democrat Iowa Results (24.3%)

Michelle Obama: 22.9%

Sherrod Brown: 20.8%

John Delaney: 19.3%

Joe Biden: 19.1%

Kristen Gillibrand: 10.1%

Derek Jeter: 3.6%

Chealse Clinton: 3.3%

Juaquin Castro: 0.9%

[terp40hitch]

America's Choice 2020: Iowa Caucus

Wolf Blitzer: Sherrod Brown has regained his lead and then started to pull away from the other three candidates. Delaney, Obama, and Biden all are in a close three-way race for second but as more city votes come in then Biden could start to pull away since he was leading with white collar voters. We do have an announcement right now in the Republican primary, Trump has officially won the Republican Iowa Caucus.

Republican Iowa Results (57.6%)

Winner: Donald Trump: 55.7%

John Kasich: 44.3%

Democrat Iowa Results (43.9%)

Sherrod Brown: 22.8%

John Delaney: 19.3%

Michelle Obama: 19.1%

Joe Biden: 18.6%

Kristen Gillibrand: 11.4%

Derek Jeter: 6.2%

Chealse Clinton: 2.4%

Juaquin Castro: 1.0%

[terp40hitch]

America's Choice 2020: Iowa Caucus

Wolf Blitzer: At nearly midnight, the Iowa caucus is still unclear for the Democrats and there is a fifth challenger that has risen above 15%. Gillibrand had a sudden rise as more of the former Sanders territory came in which also helped Jeter and Brown. Biden is back in second but Delaney remains in the top three which has surprised many. Many people doubted Delaney and his campaign should already claim victory even if he falls to fourth. Trump has expanded his lead over his now, very viable, contender John Kasich. Many at the start of the campaign didn't see Kasich as a threat to Trump, thinking he would only garner 25% or less outside the north but tonight, I think it is still a victory for him who proved he will be a fierce challenger to President Trump. My belief is both have victories tonight, Trump won Iowa but Kasich had many wins throughout the night since most of the media underestimated him.

Republican Iowa Results (79.3%)

Winner: Donald Trump: 56.4%

John Kasich: 43.6%

Democrat Iowa Results (59.1%)

Sherrod Brown: 22.7%

Joe Biden: 16.8%

John Delaney: 16.5%

Michelle Obama: 16.4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15.3%

Derek Jeter: 6.%

Chealse Clinton: 3.9%

Juaquin Castro: 1.3%

[terp40hitch]

America's Choice 2020: Iowa Caucus

Wolf Blitzer: Big news at this hour, at almost 2 am we are finally able to call Democratic Iowa caucus. Sherrod Brown has won the Iowa caucus but the race for second place is still close between Delaney, Gillibrand, Obama, and Biden but Obama is leading the pack by only 0.3%.

Republican Iowa Results (98.7%)

Winner: Donald Trump: 58.2%

John Kasich: 41.2%

Democrat Iowa Results (78.7%)

winner: Sherrod Brown: 21.8%

Michelle Obama: 16.1%

Joe Biden: 15.8%

John Delaney: 15.3%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15.1%

Derek Jeter: 5.8%

Chealse Clinton: 4.9%

Juaquin Castro: 0.4%

[terp40hitch]

Democrat Race Update

Sherrod Brown: 16

Joe Biden: 10

Michelle Obama: 7

John Delaney: 6

Kristen Gillibrand: 5

Official Democratic Iowa Caucus Results

Sherrod Brown: 20.2%

Joe Biden: 18.7%

Michelle Obama: 15.6%

John Delaney: 15.3%

Kristen Gillibrand: 15.2%

Derek Jeter: 6.2%

Chealse Clinton: 5.0%

Juaquin Castro: 0.2%

[terp40hitch]

Republican Race Update

Donald Trump: 19

John Kasich: 11

Official Republican Iowa Caucus Results

Donald Trump: 57.8%

John Kasich: 42.2%

[terp40hitch]

Mr. Moderator, can I be endorsed by Representative O'Rourke of Texas? I feel the endorsement would fit for me, since we are both from the same state, and stand up for the Dems.!

Granted! but please pm me about endorsments

[terp40hitch]

Turn 4

Febuary 2nd to Febuary 9th

In the News!

Brown and Trump take Iowa

Sherrod Brown and Donald Trump have won Iowa but good performances from Obama, Biden, Delaney and Kasich

All Eyes on New Hampshire

Kasich and Gillibrand look for their first wins while Trump looks for a suprise

Doug Jones Enters field

Jones is hoping to southerns and independents seeing that the rest of the candidates were too far left

RCP Trump Approval Rating

Disapprove: 48%

Approve: 42%

Unsure: 10%

RCP General Election Polling

Generic Democrat: 45%

Donald Trump: 37%

Unsure: 18%

RCP Republican National Polling Average

Donald Trump: 51%

John Kasich: 42%

Unsure: 7%

Iowa has significantly weakened the president since it was so close which boosted Kasich across the nation. Kasich is now leading in Nevada and has expanded his lead in New Hampshire. Trump still does have a chance at pulling back if he does pull New Hampshire close then win big in South Carolina then most likely he will win in Nevada.

RCP Democrat National Polling

Joe Biden: 22%

Sherrod Brown: 19%

Michelle Obama: 13%

Kristen Gillibrand: 10%

Doug Jones: 7%

Derek Jeter: 5%

Chealse Clinton: 4%

John Delaney: 3%

Joaquin Castro: 1%

Unsure: 16%

Brown is surging after winning in Iowa and is now in second. Brown and the entrance of Jones is making New Hampshire a very close five-way race between Jones, Biden, Obama, Brown, and Gillibrand. Castro and Clinton both had poor performances and now are putting all hopes on Nevada.

RCP State Republican Polling Averge

New Hampshire

John Kasich: 58%

Donald Trump: 39%

Unsure: 3%

South Carolina

Donald Trump: 79%

John Kasich: 15%

Unsure: 6%

Nevada

John Kasich: 48%

Donald Trump: 47%

Unsure: 5%

RCP State Democrat National Polling

New Hampshire

Kristen Gillibrand: 19%

Joe Biden: 17%

Michelle Obama: 16%

Sherrod Brown: 12%

Doug Jones: 11%

Derek Jeter: 9%

Chealse Clinton: 6%

John Delaney: 2%

Juaquin Castro: 1%

Unsure: 7%

Nevada

Michelle Obama: 22%

Chealse Clinton: 17%

Juaquin Castro: 16%

Joe Biden: 15%

Derek Jeter: 12%

Sherrod Brown: 7%

Kristen Gillibrand: 5%

Doug Jones: 3%

John Delaney: 1%

Unsure: 2%

South Carolina

Michelle Obama: 23%

Derek Jeter: 22%

Doug Jones: 16%

Chealse Clinton: 12%

John Delaney: 7%

Juaquin Castro: 5%

Joe Biden: 5%

Sherrod Brown: 4%

Kristen Gillibrand: 1%

Unsure: 5%

Moderator's notes: This turn will last until Thursday night, at 11:59:59 PM Eastern Time. Make sure to PM me ASAP if you need an extension, preferably after you read this sentence. Extensions will be given for the requester and the requester only, not for the field at large, so if you need an extension, PM me.

There will be no debate during this turn, however, there will be one in Turn five. You are allowed two endorsements per turn, so make sure to PM me your endorsements so that I can approve of them, and endorsements are first-come, first-serve.

This turn will last the first week of February and the last turn before the New Hampshire Primary. Make sure to schedule your campaign accordingly.

Messaging is key! This turn will be all about setting up your ground game and building your coalition, so make sure to write your speeches/schedule accordingly! Speaking of which...

A schedule is required. You can post 20 speeches or no speeches, but what is required for you to post is your schedule. It doesn't have to be detailed, just give me a short description of each day's (or week's) events.

Advertisements: if you poll more than 15% nationally, you may run three advertisements. If you poll between 10% and 15%, you may run two advertisements, and if you poll below 10% but above 5%, then you can run one advertisement!

[terp40hitch]

Can I drop out as Chelsea Clinton and endorse Kristen Gillibrand and I want to play as Buddy Roemer with Wendy Davis as my running mate

granted, Roemer will be an independent?

[terp40hitch]

New Hampshire Midnight Votes

Democrat Dixville Notch, New Hampshire Results (100%)

Joe Biden: 2

Sherrod Brown: 1

Derek Jeter: 1

Michelle Obama: 0

Kristen Gillibrand: 0

Doug Jones: 0

John Delaney: 0

Joaquin Castro: 0

Republican Dixville Notch, New Hampshire Results (100%)

John Kasich: 4

Donald Trump (Write-In): 1

Democrat Harts Location, New Hampshire Results (100%)

Kristen Gillibrand: 6

Joe Biden: 4

Michelle Obama: 4

Sherrod Brown: 3

Doug Jones: 3

Derek Jeter: 2

John Delaney: 1

Joaquin Castro: 0

Republican Harts Location, New Hampshire Results (100%)

John Kasich: 14

Democrat Millsfield, New Hampshire Results (100%)

Kristen Gillibrand: 3

Joe Biden: 1

Doug Jones: 1

Michelle Obama: 0

Sherrod Brown: 0

Derek Jeter: 0

John Delaney: 0

Joaquin Castro: 0

Republican Millsfield, New Hampshire Results (100%)

John Kasich: 13

Donald Trump (write-in): 3

New Hampshire Democrat Results (0.1%)

Kristen Gillibrand: 9

Joe Biden: 7

Sherrod Brown: 4

Michelle Obama: 4

Doug Jones: 4

Derek Jeter: 3

John Delaney: 1

Joaquin Castro: 0

New Hampshire Republican Results (0.1%)

John Kasich: 31

Donald Trump (write-in): 4

[terp40hitch]

New Hampshire Election Night 2020: First Results

Anderson Cooper: In just two seconds the first results will be coming out of the curcial, first primary state of New Hampshire. On the Republican side, John Kasich is the only Republican left after Donald Trump suprisly quit the race. We do have word from the Trump campaign or should I say the former Trump campaign that he will adress the nation on his sudden exit within the next few days and wether he will offer an endorsment or not. Already people have started to talk about a potential enternacne of an anouther candidate like Mike Pence, Mitt Romney, Ted Cruz or Carly Fiorina who were all preping for runs but dediced against it earlier in the year.

On the Democratic side, it could be a very interseing race to watch. New Hampshire like in Iowa has become exerminly close within the last few days with both Biden and Jones having major bounces in the polls and because of Brown's win in Iowa the other day, he has seen a major boost. Both Obama and Jeter did see a small bump but both of them have their campaigns focused on other states. Without Delaney on the campaign trail, his campaign has fallen flat in New Hampshire which could hurt him later in the race. Castro has put all resources into Nevada which has given a small boost but still a bad night in New Hampshire could still hurt him badly.

Now here are our first results out of New Hampshire:

Official Democratic New Hampshire Results (0.3%)

Joe Biden: 25%

Sherrod Brown: 15%

Kristen Gillibrand: 13%

Michelle Obama: 13%

Doug Jones: 12%

Derek Jeter: 10%

Juaquin Castro: 7%

John Delaney: 5%

Official Republican New Hampshire Results (0.3%)

John Kasich: 64%

Write-In: 34%

Vermin Supreme: 2%