Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
Posts: 22,857
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« on: January 07, 2019, 10:24:27 AM » |
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People have used Trump's 8 point margin in 2016 and Rich Cordray's loss in 2018 as evidence that OH is trending R. But is the state really on track to become MO 2.0 or VA in reverse? I'm not really sure, because it has always been a light red state by voting to the right of the nation almost every election in recent decades. And Dems have controlled the Gov. Mansion only for one term since 1991, which was following a terrible GOP midterm and an outgoing gov. with a major scandal.
The good news for Dems is that they don't need OH to win the WH, but the GOP does. Of course, Trump would have won in '16 without OH, but he doesn't win PA, MI and WI by losing OH. My prediction for 2020 is that the Dem only wins OH in a national landslide by today's standards (at least Obama '08 levels).
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