Trash this poll... FL hasn't been +10 for ANY presidential candidate in 32 years.
Don't trash it. If Biden is ahead by 6-7 points in the state, as both the 538 and RCP averages have at present, an occasional +10 or so (and some correspondingly lower ones) are to be expected.
I'd abide by the law of averages if +5 wasn't rare either. I think the actual truth is FL is tilt Trump/tossup but by less than 50,000 votes. This is going to sound batsh**t crazy but I'd give anything for more OANN polls just so I can gauge the true depth. of the state's conservative counterweight. Low single digit leads blatantly sampled in Trump territory will tell us everything we need to know because +10 amongst heavy Dem areas should be expected
No it's not Tilt Trump, Covid 19 has affected the state and DeSantis is so unpopular. 2016 isnt here forever
This is less about 2016 and more that the only thing that gets as much unconditional support in FL as the Republican Party college football. Trump/DeSantis are just more unpopular in the same places they've always been
Edit: and by the looks of it now we're bound to have a football coach as a senator from Alabama and 300,000 people voted for him because Trump said so. COVID or not... Trump is like a human mind control wave and FL has a good 4.7 million people just chomping at the bit to vote for THEIR president again.
And if Trump wins the election and FL despite all these polls showing Biden running away with it, I'm not gonna sit here suprised. I'm gonna sit here and say "I hope what I said makes a little more sense now. Sorry if it seemed so crazy at the time."
