Reaganfan
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Posts: 14,236
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« on: May 31, 2020, 01:10:11 AM » |
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There is something screwy about polling.
In 2018, the last several polls added on this forum for Ohio Governor were the following:
Cordray +1 Cordray +3 Cordray +5 TIE TIE Cordray+4 Cordray+5
Actual results: DEWINE +4
Those polls were 4-9 points too democrat.
Same thing for Florida Governor.
Gillum +4 Gillum +1 Gillum +2 Gillum +2 Gillum +5 Gillum +7 Gillum +4 DeSantis +3
Actual results: DESANTIS +0.5
Iowa Governor's race, same thing.
Hubbell +5 Hubbell +2 Hubbell +4 Reynolds +4 Hubbell +2 Hubbell +2 Hubbell +3
Actual results: REYNOLDS +3
I could go on and on. My point is, there does seem to be a bias against Republican vote. I don't know if they weight too heavily on education, or if they poll too many big cities (You call 1,000 people in Columbus, Cleveland and Akron you're gonna get a ton of African Americans and college kids who hate Trump, that isn't representative of the entire state).
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