Michigan polling overestimates Dems, yada yada, etc. but it should be obvious Trump is an underdog in Michigan, and that his win was comparable to Obama's win of IN in 2008.
Yeah, he is the underdog but I wouldn’t go as far that comparing his 2016 win to Obama’s win of IN in 2008 which was really a fluke
Why isn’t it comparable? It was a right place, right time, right opponent, right level of effort high water mark that was both predictable and unthinkable.
Michigan was never a D stronghold, Bush came very close to win it in 2004 and Michigan has elected numerous republicans to statewide offices over the past two decades, it’s why the decision of Clinton campaign to ignore the state was foolish. Indiana on the other hand was a republican stronghold which had not voted D since 1964, and most of the time republican victories were not close, in 2004 Bush had won Indiana by more than 20 points, and with the exception of Evan Bayh few democrats were able to win statewide elections in Indiana, it’s why the victory of Obama in 2008 was so surprising
