TX-GOV: O'Rourke thinking about running

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As he has shown during his 2018 senate run and during his presidential run, O’Rourke is too left-wing for Texas, especially his openness to abolish ICE. He answered « Hell yes! We are going to take your AR-15s, your AK-47s », which isn’t popular among gun owners. O’Rourke supported a $10 per barrel tax on oil and after Hurricane Harvey hit Texas, he voted against tax relief for Hurricane Harvey victims.

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Not in a D wave yr where Ds are competetive in OH, with Tim Ryan all but running in Portman's seat, we are so use to Trump approvals at 40 percent and D's picks up seats, in 2018 and 2020, we have a D Prez Biden with a 52 percent approval, but having said that it's Safe R until we see polling

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is such a dumb move, if true. Democrats are not going to flip TX-GOV in 2022. The state really is "not there yet," and even if it was, it is the kind of state where Democrats would suffer a midterm penalty for controlling the WH.

There is no penalty if Biden is at 52 Percent approvals, Trump lost seats because he had an average of 46 approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Abbott wins 55/45 percent, nothing to see

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Beto wants a career as an elected politician then he should find a safe congressional district after redistricting and serve in the House for a decade or two until statewide victory is a realistic possibility for him.

First Representative for ten or so years then Governor or Senator for 4 or 6, then VP in 2040?

Possible. He definitely hobbled himself by running for President in 2020, he should have stayed in-state for a while.

Same as Steve Bullock. He ran for President first - it was less convincing when he returned to Montana to run for Senate and that doomed him. If he hadn't run for President he might have been able to beat Daines since he was a popular Governor - or at least it would have been closer.

Daines isn't a polarizing force and MT, AK, KS and TX trended rightward due to the Ds left turn of the Green New Deal and all othose states are oil states

Beto will never have an Elected position again and Biden doesn't want him for Cabinet

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Beto moderates his gun stance, he could stand a chance.

D's shouldn't spend one nickle on this race but FL Gov with Crist will get competetive

Abbott will win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beto isn't passing on this race, he wants the Gov slot, he thinks he can affect Redistricting