Super Tuesday Results Thread

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/1234816042226065410?s=20

https://twitter.com/NBCNews/status/1234828183641427969?s=20

[Gass3268]

What happens if some of the polling sites were physically damaged from the tornado? Are there backup sites in place for those? Strange thing you gotta deal with (on election day) TN.

My wife, who's from the Nashville area, said they are planning on setting up temporary locations in the effected areas. No idea how they are going to let people know that, but at least it seems like they have a plan.

[Gass3268]

Got done voting here in Arkansas, was able to convince a relative who was for Bloomberg and convinced by the ads to go for Biden instead. 

Good job!

[Gass3268]

Almost Midterm General Election level turnout so far in NoVA:

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234864302177345537?s=20

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234865825632395265?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1234887232747712512?s=20

[Gass3268]

Alexandria, VA at noon has almost surpassed turnout from 2016.

https://twitter.com/justindotnet/status/1234895233499963393?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/notlarrysabato/status/1234887232747712512?s=20

What do you expect when McAuliffe, Kaine, Bobby Scott, Wexton have endorsed Biden? Your Biden clapping is really getting onto me and is totally annoying!

I'm just posting any information that I can find on voting today. If it was good for Sanders I'd post it as well.

[Gass3268]

The Predictit map went from Biden winning 10 states in the Confederacy to Biden winning everything outside of NNE and the Pac/Mountain West.

Looks like they are going heavy off of 538's current projection.

[Gass3268]

Roughly 70% of Vienna Dems Abroad voters are for Bernie:

It is "incredibly important to her that the candidate has a chance against Trump," says architecture student Laura, who has lived in Austria for six years and is participating in a Democrats Abroad area code for the first time. And that, in her opinion, was Sanders, whose policy she also found right overall. "He represents interests that are extremely important in foreign policy, for example," she says.

With Joe Biden, she fears that "a situation like 2016 will repeat itself" when Hillary Clinton was unable to prevail against Trump. That is also what Bill thinks, a little older, who hopes to take steps from Sanders to combat inequality. Anyone who lives in Europe knows that Sanders' social-democratic proposals for health and education systems will work, Sanders is "not a radical". But: "Whoever is the opponent of Trump, I'll choose him - even Bloomberg, although I hate the idea," he says.

https://www.derstandard.at/jetzt/livebericht/2000115280972/redcontent/1000180879/live-am-super-tuesday-laeuft-alles-auf-ein-duell-hinaus?responsive=false

Oh yeah, Sanders is gonna dominate Dems Abroad. It will be fun doing a country by country map of the results.

[Gass3268]

I already know that reading all the comments back and forth that one way or the other tonight is gonna be fun.

[Gass3268]

Loudoun County is going to shatter the turnout from 2016.

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234916905514827781?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/jsanch2s/status/1234845730394820612?s=20

Love reports like this, keep them coming!

[Gass3268]

Looks like Sanders will win Democrats Abroad (no shocker there), Warren will get some delegates (again no shocker there), and maybe Biden hits the threshold.

[Gass3268]

How many delegates do DA actually get?

Almost all of the Westerners I know here like Bernie.

They get 13, so more than the territories (minus Puerto Rico), but 1 less than Wyoming.

[Gass3268]

Update from American Samoa, camapaigns/candidates are still giving their pitches:

https://twitter.com/Fanua/status/1234952090079772672?s=20

[Gass3268]

New York Times Results Page:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-super-tuesday-primary-election.html

Virginia:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/precinct-map-virginia-primary.html

Looks like Minnesota and North Carolina also have precinct maps. Plus Maine, Massachusstes, and Vermont will have results by town.

[Gass3268]

When do first exit polls hit

Should start getting some numbers after 5 PM ET, especially from Virginia and probably North Carolina.

[Gass3268]

Since this is the first big day in the primary, can someone give me a quick rundown on which exit poll questions offer the biggest clues as to who is doing well? I remember in 2016, a key indicator that trump was going to win was if more people say they were angry than dissatisfied.

What is the clue questions this time around?

Maybe in the south look at candidate approval numbers.  That could point in what direction people aren't going. 

MFA seems like a bad metric at this point due to the large support even in areas hostile to Sanders. 

If MFA is near partiy or underwater, that's a good sign for Biden. Might be a good sign for Sanders if the suppor is massive.

[Gass3268]

Will we see an insta-call in VA?

I would be shocked if they don't.

[Gass3268]

When do first exit polls hit

Should start getting some numbers after 5 PM ET, especially from Virginia and probably North Carolina.

Is Vermont not getting an exit poll?

Someone posted here earlier that we are unfortunatley not getting an exit poll from Vermont or Utah. That actually sucks for Sanders as the Netorks will have to wait until they get actual numbers to make a call in Vermont.

[Gass3268]

I've seen the needle and the damage done
A little part of it in everyone
But every junkie's like a settin' sun - Neil Young

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/USPoliticsPoll/status/1234965378738130945

This should narrow, but not a great start for Sanders.

[Gass3268]

The suburbs are rockin' in Virginia:

https://twitter.com/VPM_IanStewart/status/1234964420478013440?s=20

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234966592129241088?s=20

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234960374639792133?s=20

[Gass3268]

TX: 44 White, 32 hispanic, 20 AA.
MN: 87 White, 5 AA, 4 Hispanic

TX also has a good chunk of moderate/conservatives than MN, but that's because of how minorities park themselves in the Democratic party regardless of beliefs. Sanders did will with NV conservatives/moderates because of the Latino vote.

That's the kind of hispanic turnout we want to have a shot in Texas.

It's the same as 2016. Black and White % are both up 1.

[Gass3268]

TX: 44 White, 32 hispanic, 20 AA.
MN: 87 White, 5 AA, 4 Hispanic

TX also has a good chunk of moderate/conservatives than MN, but that's because of how minorities park themselves in the Democratic party regardless of beliefs. Sanders did will with NV conservatives/moderates because of the Latino vote.

That's the kind of hispanic turnout we want to have a shot in Texas.

It's the same as 2016. Black and White % are both up 1.

Exactly. I was worried it'd be lower.

Ah, I assumed the number would be higher and the black number lower.