Most likely Clinton/Trump/Dem '24 county? (user search)
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May 04, 2024, 05:49:45 AM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Most likely Clinton/Trump/Dem '24 county? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Alamosa, CO		  
#2
Burke, GA		  
#3
Scotland, NC		  
#4
Lorain, OH		  
#5
Mahoning, OH		  
#6
Clarendon, SC		  
#7
Dillon, SC		  
#8
Frio, TX		  
#9
Jim Wells, TX		  
#10
Kenedy, TX		  
#11
Kleberg, TX		  
#12
La Salle, TX		  
#13
Reeves, TX		  
#14
Val Verde, TX		  
#15
Zapata, TX		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 14

Author Topic: Most likely Clinton/Trump/Dem '24 county?  (Read 644 times)
Vice President Christian Man
Christian Man
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 11, 2021, 10:54:39 PM »
Clarendon SC. It's in the blue-trending sun belt and voted for him by <1%. I imagine it'll be close, but it's more likely than any of the other ones. RGV is rapidly trending red at WV levels and I doubt any county in that area will flip along with the one in Colorado. The Ohio ones are also unlikely to flip, as it's a heavily WWC area irritated by the effects of automation and globalism, while the other SC county voted for Trump by a bigger margin. The area with the NC county has been trending right since at least The Clinton era. and Trump's agreement with the Lumbee tribe in that nearby area likely gave it a regional boost which was enough to push him over the top.

Burke County Georgia is another candidate, but it went the opposite direction as Georgia so I'm less confident.
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