No. It's going to probably 4% or 5%.
Turns out the counties that are done where Trump won i '20, the GQP is underperforming upwards of 8%-9%.
Masters can't seem to budge above 46% so far and I think that's where he's going to stay.
If you're right, it seems like AZ and NV are diverging. Cortez Masto, if she wins at all, will be lucky to pass a 1% margin.
She's going to win by between 1 and 2% if the mail percentages keep holding. If she'd run against a loon like Masters it would probably be by more, too.
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