Feb. 9th primaries & caucuses--Dem. results thread (user search)
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  Feb. 9th primaries & caucuses--Dem. results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Feb. 9th primaries & caucuses--Dem. results thread  (Read 18918 times)
Alcon
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« on: February 09, 2008, 07:22:16 PM »

More reports coming in.

Seattle city:

Belltown: 5-to-1 Obama
Eastlake: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Cap Hill (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama
Crown Hill: 3-to-1 Obama
Green Lake: 5-to-1 Obama
Interbay: "Obama landslide"
Madison Park: "Very close"
Rainier Beach: 8-to-1 Obama
Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama
South Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama

Other:

Bellingham: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Lake Forest Park (suburban Seattle): 4.5-to-1 Obama
Maple Valley: 1.5-to-1 Obama
Olympia: 3-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (central): 1.5-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2008, 07:35:13 PM »

More reports coming in.

Seattle city:

Belltown: 5-to-1 Obama
Eastlake: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Cap Hill (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama
Crown Hill: 3-to-1 Obama
Green Lake: 5-to-1 Obama
Interbay: "Obama landslide"
Madison Park: "Very close"
Rainier Beach: 8-to-1 Obama
Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama
South Ravenna: 5-to-1 Obama

Other:

Bellingham: 3.5-to-1 Obama
Lake Forest Park (suburban Seattle): 4.5-to-1 Obama
Maple Valley: 1.5-to-1 Obama
Olympia: 3-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (central): 1.5-to-1 Obama
Tacoma (north): 2.5-to-1 Obama

That is interesting. Madison Park is high income, yet Obama is relatively weak there. Obama is doing very well in eclectic, gay and university zones in Seattle, at least in neighborhood names that I recognize.

Eh.

Madison Park is Seattle's oldest area, too.  Keep in mind that these are only one precinct reports too (except for Madison Park, actually, which is two - one narrow each way).

The Lake Hills region of Bellevue, which is very affluent and almost half senior citizen, is reporting a 3-to-1 margin for Obama.

Other reports:

- Obama landslide in Port Townsend
- Strong Obama wins in Everett

Before I call a 2-to-1 landslide, I want reports from Vancouver and Spokane, and rural areas.

But...Obama landslide.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2008, 07:35:39 PM »

CNN.com only has the Washinton primary listed as being on Feb. 19. I thought there was a caucus today where delegates are actually being given. Am I wrong about this?

Kinda.

The Democrats won't count the primary at all, the GOP will count it for half (and the caucuses today as the other half).
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2008, 07:43:56 PM »

Reports of 9-to-1 murder in downtown Olympia

Clinton failing to receive any delegates in Carnation, a small left-leaning town outside of metro Seattle

UW dorms giving Obama votes at 8-to-1 margin

Unless Clinton is doing very well in rural areas...this is way beyond what I'd have ever expected.  My prediction blew.
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Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2008, 07:49:24 PM »

Where are you getting all of this stuff?

Anecdotal newspaper reports, anecdotal reports of people I know, etc.
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Alcon
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« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2008, 07:50:43 PM »

So ive been asleep all day and I only just woke up [yeah I know im hell lazy] can anyone update me briefly on whats been going on so far?

- KS strongly for Huckabee
- WA looking like an Obama landslide
- Limited out of LA, but Obama looks somewhat favored
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: February 09, 2008, 07:52:35 PM »

Where are you getting all of this stuff?

Anecdotal newspaper reports, anecdotal reports of people I know, etc.

You are doing a great job. I had to gin up a neighborhood map of Seattle though, to find some of the names. Smiley

Sorry 'bout that.  I was going to put one up, but some of these are one-precinct reports and - truthfully - there's not much of a correlation.

I'll say this:

- Obama getting massive landslides in college areas
- Obama getting massive landslides in black areas
- The middle-aged rich and elderly "Dems for life" women appear to be Clinton's best group (N. Capitol Hill, Madison Park) but probably even they are voting Obama

As for results like Lake Hills in Bellevue being 3-to-1 Obama, and some of these rural reports...

Chalk it up to caucus craziness.
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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: February 09, 2008, 07:55:15 PM »

2-to-1 Obama in Yakima?  Good god.  The city?  The entire city?  Not the majority Latino part?

Obama apparently 3-to-1'ed a part of Edmonds where nearly half the Democrat voters are Asians.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: February 09, 2008, 08:27:09 PM »

CNN projects Nebraska for Obama.
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Alcon
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« Reply #9 on: February 09, 2008, 08:39:03 PM »

CNN projects Obama in Washington state.
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: February 09, 2008, 08:43:56 PM »

CNN really has no idea what they are talking about.

They just claimed that 40% of the vote came from Adams, Asotin, Benton and Franklin County combined.

Dumbs.  Useless fancy maps!
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: February 09, 2008, 08:52:20 PM »

Pierce is moderating the results, which is unsurprising since we were heavily targeted, but she's still solidly below 40% there.  Ouch.
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: February 09, 2008, 09:02:36 PM »


No she doesn't (thus far).

Pacific is listed at the NYT as 80%-11% Clinton; it should be 55%-41% Obama.

Obama leads in every county, although Franklin will be close.
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Alcon
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« Reply #13 on: February 09, 2008, 09:05:05 PM »

Pacific is listed at the NYT as 80%-11% Clinton; it should be 55%-41% Obama.

Huh?  Why?  CNN has the 80-11 numbers as well.

Weird.

http://www.wa-democrats.org/index.php?page=display&id=273

Washington Democrats say 70-52 Obama, a number that makes much, much more sense.
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Alcon
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« Reply #14 on: February 09, 2008, 09:12:55 PM »

Washington, 65.8% reporting, 67.3% Obama to 31.6% Clinton

Has King county come in yet? If not, could Obama keep Clinton under 30%?

All but the 5th (rich) and 32nd (like two people) are pretty much in.
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Alcon
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« Reply #15 on: February 09, 2008, 09:13:29 PM »

CNN says that Louisiana is the first southern state where Obama has the more "diverse" constituency.
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: February 09, 2008, 09:40:56 PM »

Eww, Douglas County.

Coulee Damn.  Sad
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Alcon
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« Reply #17 on: February 09, 2008, 10:06:20 PM »

Why is there only one vote in Garfield county? Does it only get one delegate to the county convention or something (and in that case what a roudy convention that would be.)

then again it is 100% Obama so I guess I am fine with that.

I think they may have omitted a zero.  They have ten delegates.

Judging on its neighbor Columbia, 10-0 is not out of the realm of possibility.
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Alcon
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« Reply #18 on: February 09, 2008, 10:08:13 PM »

Louisiana called for Obama.
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: February 09, 2008, 10:14:58 PM »

HUGE NIGHT FOR OBAMA!!!!!

I wonder how the Hillary!ites will spin this one. Obama even won the USVI where Hillary!ites were saying Hillary! would win.

Not even vaguely educated ones.

Maybe they were looking at American Samoa or something, but you are aware of what the racial make-up of the Virgin Islands is, right?

Also, stop saying Hillary!.  Really.  Please.  I'm an Obama delegate and you're even annoying the piss out of me.
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Alcon
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« Reply #20 on: February 09, 2008, 10:16:07 PM »

Some of the parish results really do look odd. Assumption parish for one.

Isn't that the weird machine county?
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Alcon
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« Reply #21 on: February 09, 2008, 10:25:35 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

She puts that on her campaign signs. It is annoying. Just like she is.

And you'd think that I want to read campaign signs when I come here why--?
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Alcon
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« Reply #22 on: February 09, 2008, 11:05:32 PM »

"He spoke about a year in public service would allow the government to fund for college tuition."

Well that is more specific. How much will  that cost?  Public service for a year will cost what, and then free tuition will cost what? And how is it paid for?  In fact, how much is Obama going to cost in toto, if he gets all he wants in toto?  Just asking? 

Is there anything on his web site about it?

I don't care much for vagueness in speeches, but damn, if he were to answer that in a stump speech...seriously.
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Alcon
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« Reply #23 on: February 11, 2008, 08:31:05 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2008, 08:44:45 PM by Alcon »

I am very happy to report that the Douglas County results have been corrected, and Obama actually carried the county with 64% of the delegates.  In other words, 39/39 county statewide sweep.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2004177136_webcount11m.html
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