States splitting apart (user search)
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  States splitting apart (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which states will vote for different presidential candidates first?
#1
MS-AL (1840)
 
#2
ND-KS 1896
 
#3
IN-SD 1912
 
#4
ID-UT 1912
 
#5
OK-VA 1920
 
#6
CT-MI 1940
 
#7
OH-TN 1944
 
#8
MT-CO 1944
 
#9
IL-NJ 1948
 
#10
CA-VT 1948
 
#11
RI-HI (1956)
 
#12
AR-LA 1964
 
#13
NC-SC 1964
 
#14
DE-PA 1968
 
#15
WI-NY 1968
 
#16
OR-WA 1968
 
#17
MN-DC 1972
 
#18
FL-AZ 1976
 
#19
NM-IA 1988
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 23

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: States splitting apart  (Read 3919 times)
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


« on: June 12, 2007, 02:19:18 PM »

I'm surprised that people are favoring OH-TN so much.  While it is on my list of near term possibles, it isn't among my top 3.  4th likeliest at best, and more like 5th likeliest.

Why ? OH will vote for the Democrat next year, while TN will not.
I wouldn't rule a Dem win in Tennessee out. By no means. Still, it's certainly a good bit less than 50% likely.
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