Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
May 17, 2024, 09:34:32 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET) (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Democratic Super Tuesday results thread (first polls close at 7pm ET)  (Read 43874 times)
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« on: March 01, 2016, 08:00:56 PM »

Hillary winning majority white Norther GA and Western VA... not a good sign for Bernie at all.

Yeah I gotta agree. I thought that West Virginia poll was junk, but I didn't think it could be that far off.

Complete BS - Sanders is doing very well in Western VA & winning precincts. Same with Georgia, competitive in the north, close by in most areas in the North. He is getting wiped out in the southern areas.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #1 on: March 01, 2016, 08:11:58 PM »

Not big on exit polls. Let 40-50% of the votes coming in & with around a 5% lead, we can say yes, it's look this state is Bernie's.

4 or 5 out of 11 would definitely be huge - No doubt, but I am not getting my hopes up as of now. Also, I hope Bernie gets decent Vote% in loosing states as delegates are awarded proportionally & no doubt he should avoid a drubbing (Hopefully apart from Georgia & Alabama, he can cross the 35% & some places 40%)
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2016, 08:17:25 PM »

Same story, 75% odd for Clinton in Black heavy states, Virginia looks good though, 36% odd for Sanders, not a wash-out & it is delegate heavy.

Sanders takes an early lead in Oklahoma & Massachusetts
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #3 on: March 01, 2016, 08:26:32 PM »

It's switching, you would only get a clear idea in 2 hours odd, no use saying he is winning or she.

Now Clinton ahead in Ok, Sanders in Mass, very little % of votes counted, it's switching. Sanders is sweeping Western MA, Clinton a bit ahead in eastern MA which is population heavy
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2016, 08:53:57 PM »

Sanders gains 3% at Texas & is now at 32.5%. Texas is so delegate heavy, I hope we crack the 35% mark, there's tons of delegates to loose there.

Hopefully we come out of this less than 200 Delegates down & with some wins. After March 15th Sanders has a good chance to get a string of victories.

P.S. - Surprisingly going against exit polls, Sanders seems to pulling ahead in OK, while Clinton is a bit ahead in Mass
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #5 on: March 01, 2016, 09:01:39 PM »

OK - Sanders is pulling away, almost (10K lead - Big lead in a small state with 33% reporting - I think good chance of a win

Mass - Not looking good, Clinton up by 6K votes with 12% precincts reporting - Anyways this will be close I think
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #6 on: March 01, 2016, 09:07:15 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2016, 09:09:08 PM by Shadows »

Clinton 7K with 13% Precincts reporting in Mass - Only hope for Sanders is a big share of Western Mass is yet to come.

*Fingers crossed* - Does not look great or as per today's polls

Ok is good

Edit - Clinton leading by 6K now with 15% reporting
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #7 on: March 01, 2016, 09:11:05 PM »

Just call OK, 12% Lead for Sanders already.

Mass - Lead remains at 6%, Surprisingly Sanders is competitive in the south & east. Clinton is doing very well around Boston where most results have been reported.

Big part of West Mass, yet to come - So there is still a chance.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #8 on: March 01, 2016, 09:15:25 PM »

Big News - Clinton upto 13.3% at Vermont, Can she break the 15% & get some delegates?

Bernie now leading by 16K in OK, huge lead.

Mass  - Clinton still up by around 7K

Exit Polls are a joke, they projected a comfortable Sanders victory in Mass & a loss in OK & it's completely the reverse
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #9 on: March 01, 2016, 09:18:26 PM »

I think Mass to Clinton, 10K lead with 23% reporting - But all of Clinton's leads are coming in Boston whereas Sanders is winning almost everywhere - So I will wait to call this

Ok - To Sanders anyways, 17K lead with 51% reporting (& it's going up everytime)
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #10 on: March 01, 2016, 09:23:11 PM »

Texas is a knock-out although Bernie has more than 30%, but the delegate math is bad. Clinton is getting almost a 100 Delegate advantage plus some delegates in other areas. She will end up with a 200 Delegate lead which I would take

But the delegate split should have been more even with Bernie winning 31-32% in Texas
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #11 on: March 01, 2016, 09:25:42 PM »

Clinton leading by 13K, Just Newtown gave Hillary 6K, the entire Boston area has given Hillary a 15K lead. Overall throughout the state Sanders is winning.

But a 15K loss odd in Boston is giving Mass to Hillary
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #12 on: March 01, 2016, 09:29:54 PM »

Calling Mass to Hillary, the western areas are very low in density, Sanders is winning but by a few 100's. No way he is making up 18K.

Sanders won everywhere in Mass, but Hillary won in & around Boston & got Mass.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #13 on: March 01, 2016, 09:35:29 PM »

Clinton is currently up by 218 pledged delegates. IIRC, her goal for tonight was to be up by 100.

Which retard set that goal? If these are her goals, she will loose this. Texas has 222 Delegates, even if Bernie won 40%, she was going to come up with a 70-80 Delegate lead out of Texas alone, atleast 40 from Georgia. No-way could Minn, Colo, VT, Ok or Mass give Sanders a lead over Tenn & Virginia which are delegate heavy & strong Clinton wins with 60 odd Delegate advantage (Sanders best chances in delegate heavy Mass, MN will be narrow wins providing barely a delegate advantage).

I am not even counting Alabama or Arkansas. This was always going to be a 200-250 Delegate Victory even if Sanders wins 5 states.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #14 on: March 01, 2016, 09:41:59 PM »

After all that debating over Clinton and Latino vote, TX (with a very large Latino population) shows she is winning Latinos big. 65/34. Interesting contrast, the size of the black vote is about the same in both TX and OK, the difference is the Latino vote.  This bodes well for her coming up in FL, AZ and most importantly, CA.

 

65-34 is not a big loss in the South where Clinton is expected to win. Sanders spend 0 in ads, Clinton spend a fortune & neither did Sanders campaign extensively. I would say 35% is a good result for Sanders.

As for Black Votes - OK has around 7%, Texas has 11% so there is difference. Regardless of black or latino votes, Texas was going to be very hard for Bernie anyways
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #15 on: March 01, 2016, 09:45:01 PM »

Where are the votes out right now in Massachussetts? The AP ticker on Google says 41%. If they're out west I can see why no one is calling it yet.

Mostly west & Sanders would probably win most. Sanders area wise has swept most of Mass but the Boston Area have a huge HUGE lead for Hillary, 20K is almost impossible to make-up.

I think they should call it, West Mass does not have that big a population to make a difference
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #16 on: March 01, 2016, 09:53:54 PM »

Very disappointed in Mass, this could have been a good day, 4 or 5 wins would have been decent, especially with the surprisingly good result in Ok.

Mass had decent turnout as well, not Obama level again but not bad like Nevada or SC. Boston killed this fight - Sanders has to look at his strategy, he swept Mass & got beaten soundly due to a Boston washout
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #17 on: March 01, 2016, 10:09:33 PM »

Winning MA or loosing would make no difference in delegates. Ok is good, Colo & MN I hope he wins, those would add delegates - Mass won't make a huge difference as it will be a very narrow loss.

It is psychological & momentum related - 5 states is better than 4 especially when you add Mass to it, looks & sounds better - Especially considering it is such a liberal state!
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #18 on: March 01, 2016, 10:31:42 PM »

Sanders up big in MN, Sanders up decent in Colo. We could take both.

I just feel if Sanders had dumped SC earlier & focused on Mass (The Boston area), we could have had 5 wins.

The media projected only VT win for Sanders & if that was the case, Clinton would have had a 400-450 delegate lead, killing Sanders.

Sanders' worst states, the South (apart from 1-2 more coming) are almost over. I think this is the BEST Possible result for him apart from Mass
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #19 on: March 01, 2016, 10:35:20 PM »

Clinton's Mass lead down to 26K from 29K, still won't make a huge difference. Solid lead none-the-less

Clinton leads Boston around 18K & Newton 16K, this area gave her the state. Smart strategy.

Congrats Clinton supporters on Mass
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #20 on: March 01, 2016, 10:39:38 PM »

I feel like Massachusetts is going to be a lot like Iowa. Boston is almost done and still a lot of Sanders area out there. I'm predicting a very narrow Clinton win.

68% reporting statewide, 95% reporting in Boston. All the other major cities in MA that the NYT has indicated on their maps have fully reported except for Worcester, which has no results in. Sanders (probably) wont overtake Clinton, but it will (hopefully) tighten up from the 3.4% lead she has there now.

Down to 25K now lead, lead is too big to tighten - If only he had focused on Boston a bit more, MA would have been his
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #21 on: March 01, 2016, 10:40:30 PM »

OK, this is bad. Hillary seems to coming back in the Denver area... Sad

Sanders widens lead in CO to 1000 Votes now. Not looking bad
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #22 on: March 01, 2016, 10:49:44 PM »

Sanders ahead by 15% in Colorado as well. Mass is the only letdown, more specifically Boston
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #23 on: March 01, 2016, 10:54:57 PM »

I wonder why the other networks and AP aren't calling MA.

It's precincts reported. Maybe some pro-Sanders heavy population or some college area precincts are left? I don't expect him to win but maybe they expect some tightening
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
« Reply #24 on: March 01, 2016, 10:57:03 PM »

Essex flipped to Bernie, MA lead down to 2.8% & 26K

Edit - Now done to 2.6% & 24K
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 12 queries.