MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone. (user search)
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  MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone. (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-GOV Megathread: 👵🏻 Gram died alone.  (Read 37435 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« on: March 25, 2021, 10:26:45 AM »
Whitmer wins
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2021, 03:21:33 PM »
Quote from: Xing: Tanned, Vaccinated, and Ready on March 25, 2021, 02:56:05 PM
James really shouldn’t be underestimated. He could absolutely win under the right conditions, and while Whitmer isn’t a “weak incumbent”, this forum has generally been overconfident about Michigan. I remember when thinking James had a chance against Peters was “ridiculous.” Toss-Up for now.


Rs have lost supermajorities in MI, WI and PA state Legislature, that's the difference why James is gonna lose, since they peaked out in 2016 due to Hillary and she only lost due to Gary Johnson
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #2 on: March 25, 2021, 08:28:04 PM »
John James is not the one to beat any D, he is a retreas
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2021, 03:48:18 AM »
James is the only CANDIDATE that can run in MI, what happens when he loses this time, they won't have an opponent with Stabenow in 2024
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #4 on: March 28, 2021, 09:18:34 AM »
Quote from: Neptunium on March 28, 2021, 06:37:51 AM
Definitely he would be favored:

(1) He nearly beaten the incumbent senator and did better then Trump did in 2020.

(2 )It is Biden midterm.

(3) MI is a purple state.

I think atlas user will still take him with a grain of salt, yet shocked by how he beaten the incumbent governor and blame the MI voter.  


Lol, Whitmer has a 50 percent approval rating, INCUMBENTs don't lose with a positive approvals

The best bet is Kelly in KS, but she is net positive as well

Rs have been losing seats in the state and federal Legislatures since they peaked in the Midwest under Hillary
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #5 on: March 28, 2021, 07:25:34 PM »
Whitmer is not losing Kelly of KS would lose before Whitmer
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #6 on: April 14, 2021, 07:11:39 PM »
2022 isn't an R favored environment, it's likey a D 3.1 Environment which is neutral because that's how much the Ds won last time
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2021, 02:06:30 PM »
Whitmer isn't losing but Kelly of KS might
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2021, 09:43:12 AM »
Quote from: Chips on April 17, 2021, 08:50:14 AM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on March 25, 2021, 09:55:10 AM
LOL. MI's version of McSally?

Lean D anyways, BUT, Dems are well avised not too take Whitmer's reelection for granted. James came closer than expected last year and 2022 is very likely a less D-friendly cycle than 2020 was. Whether Trump's lack of presence on the ballot will help Dems in MI is another question that is about to be tested. As always, turnout will decide the outcome.

This. I believe it will be a very competitive race in MI next year.

Yeah and Whitmer is gonna win, James is a retread that lost 2 races before
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2021, 03:12:49 PM »
According to Cook ratings MI is a D plus 3 state and WI, PA and NH are D 2 states, James will lose Again
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2021, 05:03:55 PM »
Evers, Wolf and Graham have the same Approvals as DeSantis 53%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #11 on: July 15, 2021, 10:25:35 AM »
Whitmer 52(48
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2021, 11:23:56 AM »

Whitmer is up by 5 against James and down six to Craig, there isn't that much discrepancy in the two R candidates

Biden has the same exact Approvals he had on Election night 51(49 and it was 51/46% Whitmer 52(48

Same goes with WI and NH, we will win them like PA

The most Vulnerable seats are obviously AZ and GA without VR not Northern States
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #13 on: April 06, 2022, 01:19:59 PM »
Whitmer is gonna win anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #14 on: April 07, 2022, 08:11:43 AM »
We haven't seen any WI, PA and MI polls so it's not safe to assume the Rs have it in the bag

I don't know why pollsters won't poll the state there isn't any D primary on any three of them
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #15 on: April 07, 2022, 01:00:14 PM »
RS are being very presumptuous about wďmning this Election so far there has been no polls recent ones in WI, PA and MI why because Suffolk polls blue state Govs there hasn't been any MA or MD Gov polls either from Suffolk

Just like they won't poll the OH Sen race Tim Ryan is a strong Candidate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #16 on: April 07, 2022, 03:48:43 PM »
Kelly is gonna win only partisans think he will lose
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #17 on: April 23, 2022, 09:38:01 PM »
Due to no Voting Rights Rs are gonna do well on Down ballot races the only thing that matters is the S, H and Gov race not AG and SOS and state legislature

Should we net Trifecta we are gonna fix Electoral count and Voting Rights for 24
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #18 on: April 23, 2022, 09:56:15 PM »
« Edited: April 23, 2022, 10:02:57 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
Lol Whirler is gonna win, I told you there is no polling in MI, PA and WI, D's are gonna win MI Stabenow is on the ballot in 24 anyways just like Kaine is in the ballot in VA

Trump isn't gonna do anything but pass another tax cut like he did before for the wealthy why so you think no more stimulus D's tries last yr to raise Corp taxes to 27% and they didn't have the votes in a tied S but had in the H

You guys better watch out for FL DeSantis always underperform polling on Eday he barely won by 0.5 against a socialist Gillian, he isn't winning by 12 but right now it's 54/47

We won far less votes total than 2020 80M in 2018 it was same Day, Trump voters don't come out like they do when he was on ballot that's why Rs underperform KY Gov in 2019 not Trump on ballot

Cali Recall the same thing but in VA and NJ Trump voters did come out
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #19 on: April 24, 2022, 12:17:54 AM »
« Edited: April 24, 2022, 12:28:04 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
D's are favored in the big 3 MI, PA amd WI until we lose it on Eday we are favs in all the 303 states unless we lose them on Eday, just like we were Fav in VA until we lost it narrowly by 2 pts users and Rs act like we lost VA by 20 it was only 2 and they never talk about CA Iin a recall we won in an offyear 63/37 cause it doesn't fit their  agenda of an R sweep

Rs are gonna do quite well in AG, SOS and state legislature it's the Prez, H and S and Gov races that matters unless you live in IL, CA and NY, that have D AG, SOS and state legislature, blue states and red states have down allot R SOS and AGS

CRIST and Deming's can both win and FL state Govt be dominated by RS, because DeSantis win by 0.5 against a socialist Gillum, the reason why Rs say DeSantis is safe due to fact if Rs lose TX or FL GOES WITH IT IT THE H MAJORITY


AZ is gonna have an R SOS and AG but Lake is underpolling and Ducey always won landslides that's why Kelly is Fav Lake might lose and cost Rs the Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #20 on: May 01, 2022, 01:20:24 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 01, 2022, 01:08:05 PM
The GOP's implosion in the PA, WI, and MI gov races is truly something behold.

They weren't gonna win them no ways all the R candidates said Trump won and he didn't
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #21 on: May 01, 2022, 07:52:36 PM »
« Edited: May 01, 2022, 07:58:54 PM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »
The reason why Ds in WI, Pa and MI have so so Approval is that, there are R state legislatures in those states whereas CA, NM, NV,  IL and NY they have solid D state legislature that's why incumbent D Govs are so vulnerable in those states like Evers, Rs are gonna have a super Majority State legislature because I'd Gerrymandering but he is still popular same with Shapiro Wolf is popular but Rs Dominate the R state legislature

But just like for Prez D's elect D Govs and Sen and for Prez D's in those three states

That answers your question why Ds are vulnerable

I have statistics two
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #22 on: May 03, 2022, 10:43:19 AM »
When are they gonna release a poll
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #23 on: May 23, 2022, 08:47:15 PM »
The R party is an Insurrectionists party they can't help themselves and say they win and they didn't even Boehner, and Ryan and Walker said Trump didn't win


Even Kari Lake who is tied with Hobbs says Trump won and he didn't
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,707
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
« Reply #24 on: June 09, 2022, 09:51:01 AM »
This race is over Whitmer, Shapiro, PRITZKER wins 50/45, Evers and SISOLAK win 51/49
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