BRTD's county map predictions

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Obviously subject to change and all that, but yes, I do plan on doing all 50 states except Alaska (just not possible) though don't throw a fit if I don't do Texas or Georgia.

Anyway, I'll start here with the easiest, Delaware and Hawaii:




Yeah, I didn't even have to use Paint!

Next up: Minnesota, North Dakota and Utah.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Why the big swing in Kauai?

Because that's what Akaka got in 2006 when he got about equal to what I think Obama will get.

It's not really THAT big of a swing though since Kerry fell JUST short of 60% there.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

NC's kind of tricky. I don't think it'll look like the 1998 Senate though the numbers should be close. SC won't be much different from 2004 though.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Here's another easy one I forgot about:



I don't see any county changing even shading-wise (though this mostly comes from McCain doing a lot worse nationwide but getting a homestate boost to make up here.) Maybe Yavapai will drop below 60%.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I can't wait for IN, PA, OH, MI, and NH.

PA's likely near the end, since I don't want the thread to be derailed by an argument between me and Phil.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Why is Obama not hitting 60% in Blaine county, BRTD?

Because I didn't realize Kerry came that close and Obama will likely go over the top. Will be changed.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The filename on my hard drive for this is C:\Documents and Settings\Zachary\My Documents\My Pictures\horrendousblackturnoutistheonlythingkeepingmuchoftheeasternshorerepublican.bmp

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Dorchester county?  What?

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Dorchester county?  What?

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.

I must be seeing things, for some reason I thought Wiocomico was only about 51% Bush.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Dorchester county?  What?

Meh, I looked more at the percentage black there than Bush's numbers, yeah that one should be changed.

Wicomico county should also be fixed.  Somerset county is a tossup.

I must be seeing things, for some reason I thought Wiocomico was only about 51% Bush.

Also, is there any reason why Somerset is going Obama, and Anne Arundel isn't?  Somerset is trending harder to the GOP.

-Gore won Somerset.
-It has far more blacks.
-It's far more rural (and thus less partisan.)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Here's the first of the two "States that'll be a real bitch to do for reasons other than sheer number of counties" (WV is the other):

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

This is still happening. No updates for today or yesterday because I was working 10-hour shifts both days, and visited a strip club last night where I got a handjob from a stripper without even asking for it (no lie). Unfortunately I also received a minor head injury giving me a small concussion that night as well, meaning I'm probably going to require a little more sleep than normal the next week or so. I'll try to throw together a few tonight but I'm probably going to sleep a little early. However I'll get most of these done by the end of the weekend (remember, weekend for me = Sunday + Monday), and possibly all. Most likely I'll finish off the west and the other easy states before getting to the ones you guys want though.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Obama +~5

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

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I'm going to go out on a limb with some of these of course. They're not fun if you don't.

Anyway, here's the last one of the night, and probably the most anticipated one so far:

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Clark definitely won't be >60% McCain.

Big mistake. I'll change that.

...visited a strip club last night where I got a handjob from a stripper without even asking for it (no lie)

Dude!  Tell us more.  Was it 'to completion'?

Hmmm, I'll PM this one.

Good work, BRTD. Are you predicting any Kerry counties to go to McCain?

Maybe. I don't think about individual counties until I do the state. Maybe some in Appalachia.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Time for some boring ones:

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]