Oregon 2020 GE PRES Megathread

[Kamala's side hoe]

Could someone get the data for Portland vs the rest of Multnomah County

We have Portland vs. Multonomah County earlier.  I checked three mentioned but not up yet but will check again and maybe someone else is able to get the data for those three.

Multnomah County, Oregon 2020:


Portland:

Trump:   51,633     (13.4%)        (+70.4% Biden)     +5.4% Biden Swing
Biden:  322,031     (83.8%)
Misc:     10,741      ( 2.8%)
TOTAL:  384,405



Non-Portland:

Trump: 31,090     (39.8%)        (+17.0% Biden)       +5.6% Biden Swing
Biden:  44,415     (56.8%)
Misc:     2,622      ( 3.4%)
TOTAL:  78,127

Multnomah County, Oregon 2016:

Portland:

Trump:   42,649    (12.8%)        (+65.0% HRC)
HRC:  259,753      (77.8%)
Misc:     31,131       (9.3%)
TOTAL:  333,533

Non-Portland:

Trump: 25,305     (38.6%)        (+11.4.% HRC)
HRC:  32,808     (50.0%)
Misc:      7,457     (11.4%)
TOTAL:  65,570  

Washington County precinct results are now available on the map. Looks like Biden's vote share slightly increased from Hillary's in higher-income areas closer to Portland proper- but slightly decreased in lower-income areas of Beaverton? The increase in Trump support as you go west from inner Beaverton to downtown Hillsboro is similar to what you see tracing the MAX Blue Line route along the eastside from 82nd Ave to downtown Gresham.

https://results.oregonvotes.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=FED&map=CTY

[Kamala's side hoe]

Also NOVA, I'm curious if you have any takes on the Hispanic vote in Marion County? Glancing over precinct results in Woodburn and Gervais, it seems pretty clear that Biden gained on Clinton in majority Hispanic neighborhoods here, contrary to national swings. Curious if you have any intuition as to why this is the case.

1) The national R swing among Latinos (and Mexicans specifically) wasn’t uniform. Maybe Biden’s weakness/45’s strength with Mexican communities in the Southwest was more for economic reasons, as other members have suggested?

2) White nationalism is a more visible threat to nonwhite individuals and communities in the PNW. 

[Kamala's side hoe]

There are literally no Trump precincts in the suburban PNW. You love to see it.

Sorry to burst your bubble, but I can clearly see some (non-Atlas) red on Skye's map just outside the southernmost part of the Portland-Gresham border, and in what I assume is Happy Valley in Clackamas County. No comment on the suburban-exurban transition area in Clark County, although there's definitely some specks of red in unincorporated Vancouver and in Camas.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Here is Washington County

Banks: Trump 53.74% - Biden 40.98%

Beaverton: Biden 72.3% - Trump 24.41%

Cornelius: Biden 58.94% - Trump 37.73%

Durham: Biden 67.79% - Trump 28.72%

Forest Grove: Biden 55.29% - Trump 40.59%

Gaston: Trump: 57.18% - Biden 38.51%

Hillsboro: Biden 63.56% - Trump 32.41%

King City: Biden 60.24% - Trump 36.82%

North Plains: Biden 52.12% - Trump 44.3%

Sherwood: Biden: 56.62% - Trump 39.66%

Tigard: Biden 66.25% - Trump 30.27%

Tualatin: Biden 62.37% - Trump 33.5%

Yeah I noticed North Plains flipped from Trump to Biden when looking at the State Gov't and NY Times precinct maps. The NYT map says Trump won ~44% both times, so the net swing towards Biden was from 2016 3rd party voters.

Most of Trump's support came from the rural unincorporated parts.  King City was interesting as it is a planned seniors community with average age of 76 and 80% over 65 yet still voted pretty strongly for Biden.  One of the reasons I figured Portland was so Democratic is it is the youngest metro area in US and younger Americans tend to lean more in progressive direction while far from unanimous, seniors due to lean right.  Its one of the big reasons despite being more urbanized than most of the country and slightly less white, Florida still often votes GOP.

Source? I have no hard data to back this up, but I feel like Salt Lake City would be younger. Portland doesn't strike me as a particularly young metro area, it's just really white and slightly less boujee than Seattle.