Oregon 2020 GE PRES Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: Oregon 2020 GE PRES Megathread  (Read 7090 times)
Skye
yeah_93
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« on: December 22, 2020, 06:19:54 PM »

This is a shameless double post.
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Skye
yeah_93
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Posts: 4,587
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« Reply #1 on: December 22, 2020, 06:25:26 PM »

Thanks to NOVA Green, who provided me with the Washington County precinct results (which I missed for some reason). I was able to make a map of the Portland Area.



So the result for the area was Biden 65.1 - Trump 31.8.

I didn't include other counties that are included in the US Census Bureau's definition for the Portland Metropolitan Area since the urban area doesn't extend to them.
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Skye
yeah_93
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Posts: 4,587
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« Reply #2 on: December 23, 2020, 03:49:29 AM »

Awesome work Skye!!!

I have a few questions about the election results from Clackamas County Precinct 006 in the PDF Conversion File...

It appears to match Precinct 006 (Oregon City) which voted:

2016:

HRC:      1,010    (40.7%)        (+5.7% Trump)
Trump:   1,151    (46.4%)
Misc:         318    (12.8%)   
Total:     2,479

2020: 

Biden:    2,374    (47.8%)        (+1.4% Trump)
Trump:   2,442    (49.2%)
Misc:         149    (3.0%)   
Total:     4,965

Precinct 006 also appears to match Oregon City Municipal Precinct Numbers:

https://www.orcity.org/sites/default/files/fileattachments/city_recorder/page/11825/2020-11-23_certified_election_results_from_clackamas_county.pdf

So it gets a bit more confusing...

We have THIS from ClackCo:

https://www.co.washington.or.us/AssessmentTaxation/Elections/ElectionsArchive/upload/Ballots-Cast-per-Contest-with-Precincts.pdf

Precinct numerical results do not appear to match other precinct numerical results...

According to the Clackamas County Elections Office, precinct 006 is located in Oregon City.

https://www.clackamas.us/elections/precincts.html

https://ccgis-mapservice.maps.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=95b7a440c7ec46159e5e67d479ed9c1b

So, I am assuming that your Shapefiles are correct, and also that Trump won a precinct in Oregon City?


I am suspicious about the '16 > '20 results for OC in terms of the dramatic increase in Total Votes (TVs), for this precinct, and without delving into the muck and the mid and mire, either there must have been a new property development within the boundaries or there was precinct consolidation.










Thank you!

With regards to that precinct, I overlapped the new shapefile with the 2016 one, here's how they look:



The one with the red outline is the 2016 006, while the one with the red filling but no outline is the new one. So as you can see, the precinct grew in size considerably.

However, I don't get this:

Quote

That's the Washington County precinct results, it's not from Clackamas.
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