The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Marokai Backbeat]

Does anyone have any explanation for his sudden popularity?

America loves a winner.

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac, Florida --

President Obama up 54-42.  No buyer's remorse in Florida; the President is well ahead of the electoral results there.  


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail/?ReleaseID=1827

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (30% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
40-44% blue
under 40% deep blue

Polls only from after the 2012 election.

[pbrower2a]

A month and a half after the election we already have approval ratings for the President in just over a quarter of all states, 214 electoral votes, and 7 of 15 states decided by less than 10%. President Obama would win again, and at this point he isn't hurting the chance of any high-profile Democrat to win the Presidency in 2016.

A caveat: Richard Nixon was doing even better in 1972.

Don't expect any quick fill of the map. Most polls of approval of the President will arise in polls related to something else. Quinnipiac has gone through most of the few States that it ever polls (it is a good pollster) and will likely repeat those few states, PPP polls about two states a week, and the pollsters that made fools of themselves in 2012 may wisely go into hibernation (as if anyone is curious). The Holidays are coming, and PPP was going into shutdown until Michigan got interesting.

There are plenty of openings for polls west of the Mississippi.

[J. J.]

Yesterday's Gallup:

Approve:  54, +2

Disapprove:  38, -2

His weekly ticked up to 52. 

It has been running about 2 points behind GWB for the same point.  Bush had dropped to 49 points, but it was a period starting on 12/17/04. 

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  56, +1

Disapprove:  43, -u

Strongly Approve:  32, u

Strongly Disapprove:  33, u

[Tender Branson]

Gallup:

56-37 approve

Best Gallup ratings since October 2009 ...

[J. J.]

Gallup:

56-37 approve

Best Gallup ratings since October 2009 ...

Where do you get the old Gallup numbers? 

[Tender Branson]

Gallup:

56-37 approve

Best Gallup ratings since October 2009 ...

Where do you get the old Gallup numbers? 

If you click on the 56-37 figures on the main Gallup site, you are directed to a site with a historic green chart and if you hover of the chart you see the old numbers.

[Tender Branson]

Obama approvals hit record-high at Gallup and Rasmussen today:

Gallup: 58-36 approve
Rasmussen: 57-42 approve

[DINGO Joe]

Obama approvals hit record-high at Gallup and Rasmussen today:

Gallup: 58-36 approve
Rasmussen: 57-42 approve

And since it's Gallup and Rasmussen, the real number is about 3 pts higher.

[Frodo]

Obviously no Republican in Congress gives a damn...   

[J. J.]

Rasmussen

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  56, -1

Disapprove:  43, +1

Strongly Approve:  32, -1

Strongly Disapprove:  34, u

Gallup

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  57, -1

Disapprove:  37, +1

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Holy S*** his ratings could be 70% soon.

[Tender Branson]

Holy S*** his ratings could be 70% soon.

Obama's ratings are unlikely to go even beyond 60% anytime soon, unless there's a 9/11-like situation.

80% of Republicans will always disapprove, so will 35-40% of Independents.

35 x 0.8 = 28% disapproval from Republicans
30 x 0.4 = 12% disapproval from Independents

Plus a few who disapprove on the DEM side and Obama peaks at about 58-60% approval.

I don't think that the 2nd inauguration will change that by a lot.

[King]

Holy S*** his ratings could be 70% soon.

Obama's ratings are unlikely to go even beyond 60% anytime soon, unless there's a 9/11-like situation.

No, far-rights will only more fervently disapprove of this President for allowing a 9/11 type situation.

[pbrower2a]

Holy S*** his ratings could be 70% soon.

Obama's ratings are unlikely to go even beyond 60% anytime soon, unless there's a 9/11-like situation.

No, far-rights will only more fervently disapprove of this President for allowing a 9/11 type situation.

To get Presidential approvals in the 70s one would now need the abject surrender of a defeated Evil Empire of recent years to the US. Besides, political momentum is a delusion.

The Hard Right will never accept this President. Moderate conservatives could, but they are effectively shut out of representation in Congress. They are a big part of the electorate, and if Rasmussen can find a Presidential approval of 56% or so, then the President has the support of the  Left side of the political spectrum  other than its extreme (basically those people who want a Socialist America with Marxist economics)  maybe 3% of the public. The 4th to 60th percentile of people in the right-left ideological spectrum are with him, which is probably about the inverse of how Americans saw Ronald Reagan (40th to 96th percentiles of Americans on the left-right continuum approved of him). In a mature democracy with clearly-delineated sides on issues one is not going to get the 23rd to 78th percentile with him. Resource-grabbers and environmentalists are not going to find themselves backing the same politicians.   

Except for Obamacare that violates the 'principle' of profit-directed medicine, President Obama has done much that a competent conservative Republican President could have done. Lily Ledbetter? Good idea. Putting an end to American involvement in pointless, budget-wrecking wars? Eisenhower won some support for the end of the Korean War. Aborting the worst economic meltdown in 80 years? I can't imagine anyone opposing that abortion. Whacking the anti-American terrorist with the largest amount of American blood on his hands  that any terrorist has ever had? Such is not an ideological choice. Tax cuts for the non-rich? They worked. Avoiding scandals, corruption, and military or diplomatic debacles? One would think that such would be the minimum of good government. 

Now that the invective against this President has abated due to its irrelevance as he can no longer be defeated in an election Americans get to see him for what he is. People who in 2009 said that their first priority was to ensure that Barack Obama be a one-term President have failed at that.

Perhaps the best thing that can happen while we have Barack Obama is the revival of a sane, humane conservatism that respects reason and science while promoting thrift and investment as the means of sustainable growth. We haven't had that sort of conservatism for a long time. We have instead had thinly-disguised racism, anti-rational and bigoted religiosity, crony capitalism, wars for profit, and economic policies suited to a fascist dictatorship posing as conservatism. Conservatism succeeds when people commonly recognize that they have a stake in a system that promotes growth with equity, that they can hold fast to science and reason, and can reject demagoguery of both the Right and Left. 

[pbrower2a]

Last Rasmussen poll for 2012:

Monday, December 31, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 57% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat approve of President Obama's job performance. Forty-one percent (41%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends).

That 57% rating is up 11 points from a year ago. It's also up nine points from the last day of 2010 and up 11 points from the last day of 2009.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Next release from Rasmussen -- Thursday, January 3, 2013.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  57, u

Disapprove:  42,

Strongly Approve:  32, -2

Strongly Disapprove:  34, +1

[J. J.]

Gallup

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  53, u

Disapprove:  41, -1

[The numbers will be all over the place with the holiday.]

[pbrower2a]

PPP will be polling two critical states of the 2012 election this weekend. Don't expect any states added to the state map, because those two are Pennsylvania and Virginia. Quinnipiac has gone through most of its circuit.   

[J. J.]

Friday 1/4/13

Gallup

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  50, -3

Disapprove:  43, +2

Holiday numbers?

[King]

Fiscal cliff deal bounce

Gallup
Approve 54 (+4)
Disapprove 39 (-4)

Gallup also reports consumer holiday spending is now back to pre-recession levels.

It's over.  Republicans are finished.

[old timey villain]

Fiscal cliff deal bounce

Gallup
Approve 54 (+4)
Disapprove 39 (-4)

Gallup also reports consumer holiday spending is now back to pre-recession levels.

It's over.  Republicans are finished.

I wish. But in the second term Republicans will probably shift from economic attacks to social attacks on him (big government, baby killer, soft on defense)

[J. J.]

Gallup  1/8/12

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve:  54, u

Disapprove:  39, u

[J. J.]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Approve:  53, -1

Disapprove:  45, +2

Strongly Approve:  31, +1

Strongly Disapprove:  34, +2