California by city

[mileslunn]

San Diego county is now up so wonder if anyone would do that one.  I can get the 2020 data and if someone has 2016 could use for comparison.

[HAnnA MArin County]

San Diego county is now up so wonder if anyone would do that one.  I can get the 2020 data and if someone has 2016 could use for comparison.

I have the data (with write-ins, of course) for 2016 (and 2012, and 2008) for San Diego County if and when you need it, I'd be happy to pass it along to you for comparisons.

[mileslunn]

San Diego county is now up so wonder if anyone would do that one.  I can get the 2020 data and if someone has 2016 could use for comparison.

I have the data (with write-ins, of course) for 2016 (and 2012, and 2008) for San Diego County if and when you need it, I'd be happy to pass it along to you for comparisons.

No Problem I will in the next day post the 2020 results and you can supply the comparisons.

[SDdem]

Is Oakland proper out ?? What is the results out of there ?

[SDdem]

San Diego county is now up so wonder if anyone would do that one.  I can get the 2020 data and if someone has 2016 could use for comparison.

Wish there were San Diego County 2004 results by precinct available.. I wonder where Dubya did very well to win by 6%

[mileslunn]

Here is San Diego County for 2020.  Biden My Time can provide the comparisons from 2016.

San Diego: Biden 68.5% - Trump 29.1% = D+39.4

Oceanside: Biden 55.86 - Trump 41.46 = D+14.4

Carlsbad: Biden 57.75 - Trump 40.19 = D+17.56

Encinitas: Biden 66.89 - Trump 30.89 = D+36

Solana Beach: Biden 65.19 - Trump 32.50 = D+32.69

Del Mar: Biden 63.51 - Trump 34.23 = D+29.28

Vista: Biden 57.29 - Trump 40.03 = D+17.26

San Marcos: Biden 57.25 - Trump 40.40 = D+16.85

Coronado: Biden 52.57 - Trump 45.31 = D+7.26

Imperial Beach: Biden 57.24 - Trump 39.53 = D+17.71

Escondido: Biden 55.26 - Trump 42.17 = D+13.09

Poway:  Biden 51 - Trump 46.41 = D+4.59

Santee: Trump 54.41 - Biden 43.04 = R+11.37

El Cajon: Trump 50.67 - Biden 46.99 = R+3.68

La Mesa: Biden 63.34 - Trump 34.01 = D+29.33

Lemon Grove: Biden 64.71 - Trump 32.78 = D+31.93

National City: Biden 66.78 - Trump 31.04 = D+35.74

Chula Vista:  Biden 64.6 - Trump 33.45 = D+31.15

So only Santee and El Cajon voted for Trump which is quite a change as San Diego County used to traditionally be a red county, even Bob Dole in 1996 won it.  That being said a lot of Trump's support was in the unincorporated parts so wonder if he won that overall?

[SDdem]

I wonder where did Bush do so well that made him win SD by 6% in 04. Is there an archive site for old data/precincts ?? Btw Biden flipped Coronado

[HAnnA MArin County]

Is Oakland proper out ?? What is the results out of there ?

I just finished crunching the numbers for Oakland this morning (write-ins included in both 2016 and 2020):

OAKLAND
2016: Clinton 88.03% — Trump 4.69% = D+ 83.34
2020: Biden 90.98% — Trump 6.91% = D+ 84.07
SWING: D+ 00.73

I also finished Fremont and Hayward, so now we have all of Alameda County except Emeryville.

Fremont
2016: Clinton 72.00% — Trump 21.08% = D+ 50.92
2020: Biden 72.94% — Trump 25.15% = D+ 47.79
SWING: R+ 03.13

Hayward
2016: Clinton 78.40% — Trump 15.05% = D+ 63.35
2020: Biden 77.14% — Trump 20.83% = D+ 56.31
SWING: R+ 07.04

I wonder where did Bush do so well that made him win SD by 6% in 04. Is there an archive site for old data/precincts ?? Btw Biden flipped Coronado

Here are the 2004 results for San Diego County with precincts.

[SDdem]

Wow so the Bush-Biden cities are Carlsbad Coronado Chula Vista Escondido Imperial Beach
LaMesa Oceanside Poway San Marcos Vista

No wonder it went from Bush +6 to Biden +23

[HAnnA MArin County]

Here is San Diego County for 2020.  Biden My Time can provide the comparisons from 2016.

Thanks, Mileslunn! Here are the 2016 comparisons/swings:

Carlsbad
2016: Clinton 51.52% — Trump 41.19% = D+ 10.33
2020: Biden 57.75% — Trump 40.19% = D+ 17.56
SWING: D+ 07.23

Chula Vista
2016: Clinton 65.47% — Trump 28.39% = D+ 37.08
2020: Biden 64.60% — Trump 33.45% = D+ 31.15
SWING: R+ 05.93

Coronado
2016: Trump 47.71% — Clinton 45.57% = R+ 02.14
2020: Biden 52.57% — Trump 45.31% = D+ 07.26
SWING: D+ 09.40

Del Mar
2016: Clinton 61.36% — Trump 32.12% = D+ 29.24
2020: Biden 63.51% — Trump 34.23% = D+ 29.28
SWING: D+ 00.04

El Cajon
2016: Trump 48.38% — Clinton 44.86% = R+ 03.52
2020: Trump 50.67% — Biden 46.99% = R+ 03.68
SWING: R+ 00.16

Encinitas
2016: Clinton 61.62% — Trump 30.64% = D+ 30.98
2020: Biden 66.89% — Trump 30.89% = D+ 36.00
SWING: D+ 05.02

Escondido
2016: Clinton 48.57% — Trump 43.46% = D+ 05.11
2020: Biden 55.26% — Trump 42.17% = D+ 13.09
SWING: D+ 07.98

Imperial Beach
2016: Clinton 56.95% — Trump 34.95% = D+ 22.00
2020: Biden 57.24% — Trump 39.53% = D+ 17.71
SWING: R+ 04.29

La Mesa
2016: Clinton 56.59% — Trump 35.30% = D+ 21.29
2020: Biden 63.34% — Trump 34.01% = D+ 29.33
SWING: D+ 08.04

Lemon Grove
2016: Clinton 61.06% — Trump 31.36% = D+ 29.70
2020: Biden 64.71% — Trump 32.78% = D+ 31.93
SWING: D+ 02.23

National City
2016: Clinton 73.10% — Trump 20.81% = D+ 52.29
2020: Biden 66.78% — Trump 31.04% = D+ 35.74
SWING: R+ 16.55

Oceanside
2016: Clinton 50.30% — Trump 42.12% = D+ 08.18
2020: Biden 55.86% — Trump 41.46% = D+ 14.40
SWING: D+ 06.22

Poway
2016: Trump 48.27% — Clinton 43.72% = R+ 04.55
2020: Biden 51.00% — Trump 46.41% = D+ 04.59
SWING: D+ 09.14

San Diego
2016: Clinton 65.07% — Trump 27.67% = D+ 37.40
2020: Biden 68.50% — Trump 29.10% = D+ 39.40
SWING: D+ 02.00

San Marcos
2016: Clinton 50.87% — Trump 41.63% = D+ 09.24
2020: Biden 57.25% — Trump 40.40% = D+ 16.85
SWING: D+ 07.61

Santee
2016: Trump 55.75% — Clinton 36.79% = R+ 18.96
2020: Trump 54.41% — Biden 43.04% = R+ 11.37
SWING: D+ 07.59

Solana Beach
2016: Clinton 59.45% — Trump 34.33% = D+ 25.12
2020: Biden 65.19% — Trump 32.50% = D+ 32.69
SWING: D+ 07.57

Vista
2016: Clinton 50.87% — Trump 40.84% = D+ 10.03
2020: Biden 57.29% — Trump 40.03% = D+ 17.26
SWING: D+ 07.23

[Figueira]

Would be interested in seeing the two cities of San Benito County.

[SDdem]

I'm assuming Biden made huge gains among college whites near La Jolla in particular to cancel out his likely losses among latinos. That's the only way he must've improved in San Diego proper. What's the raw results of SD proper and Oakland btw, you have them ?

[If my soul was made of stone]

Fascinating to see Coronado finally flip, although it was essentially a foregone conclusion between its 2016 results and Trump's relationship to the military. I would be curious to see results for the unincorporated areas of the county and a comparison between the presidential topline and the results in CA-50 (Issa won Congressional zombification by eight points even).

[SDdem]

Fascinating to see Coronado finally flip, although it was essentially a foregone conclusion between its 2016 results and Trump's relationship to the military. I would be curious to see results for the unincorporated areas of the county and a comparison between the presidential topline and the results in CA-50 (Issa won Congressional zombification by eight points even).

As someone who was born in San Diego, I never knew Coronado had been republican lol

[Kamala's side hoe]

Is Oakland proper out ?? What is the results out of there ?

I just finished crunching the numbers for Oakland this morning (write-ins included in both 2016 and 2020):

OAKLAND
2016: Clinton 88.03% — Trump 4.69% = D+ 83.34
2020: Biden 90.98% — Trump 6.91% = D+ 84.07
SWING: D+ 00.73

I also finished Fremont and Hayward, so now we have all of Alameda County except Emeryville.

Fremont
2016: Clinton 72.00% — Trump 21.08% = D+ 50.92
2020: Biden 72.94% — Trump 25.15% = D+ 47.79
SWING: R+ 03.13

Hayward
2016: Clinton 78.40% — Trump 15.05% = D+ 63.35
2020: Biden 77.14% — Trump 20.83% = D+ 56.31
SWING: R+ 07.04

Oakland not swinging R isn't that surprising when you consider its high educational attainment, gentrification, and cultural differences from SF.

Hayward and Fremont also aren't that surprising when you consider income and racial ancestry. Downscale, plurality Latino Hayward swung R by a lot more, but was still more D than affluent and majority Asian Fremont.

[mileslunn]

Fascinating to see Coronado finally flip, although it was essentially a foregone conclusion between its 2016 results and Trump's relationship to the military. I would be curious to see results for the unincorporated areas of the county and a comparison between the presidential topline and the results in CA-50 (Issa won Congressional zombification by eight points even).

As someone who was born in San Diego, I never knew Coronado had been republican lol

It is right near military base and in past military generally went heavily GOP.  Still many do as generally GOP tends to be for more funding and they tend to lean conservative, but I suspect Trump's temperament as well him calling them suckers and losers probably led to him doing much worse with military than GOP normally does.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Would be interested in seeing the two cities of San Benito County.

SAN BENITO COUNTY (Write-ins included for both 2016 and 2020)
Hollister
2016: Clinton 63.36% — Trump 28.82% = D+ 34.54
2020: Biden 67.05% — Trump 30.65% = D+ 36.40
SWING: D+ 01.86

San Juan Bautista
2016: Clinton 66.17% — Trump 26.52% = D+ 39.65
2020: Biden 68.26% — Trump 29.09% = D+ 39.17
SWING: R+ 00.48

[H. Ross Peron]

Fresno County next please

[tinman64]

Request for San Joaquin County, pls

[mileslunn]

And when you have a chance no rush, Solano County.  Also Alpine, Mono, and Inyo counties which I suspect are pretty easy.

[cvparty]

VENTURA COUNTY (Write-ins included in final percentages for both 2016 and 2020)
Camarillo
2016: Clinton 47.65% — Trump 43.33% = D+ 04.32
2020: Biden 53.79% — Trump 44.00% = D+ 09.79
SWING: D+ 05.47

Fillmore
2016: Clinton 60.32% — Trump 32.23% = D+ 28.09
2020: Biden 62.62% — Trump 35.33% = D+ 27.29
SWING: R+ 00.80

Moorpark
2016: Clinton 49.60% — Trump 41.59% = D+ 08.01
2020: Biden 55.74% — Trump 42.25% = D+ 13.49
SWING: D+ 05.48

Ojai
2016: Clinton 63.92% — Trump 26.78% = D+ 37.14
2020: Biden 70.86% — Trump 26.91% = D+ 43.95
SWING: D+ 06.81

Oxnard
2016: Clinton 71.13% — Trump 21.90% = D+ 49.23
2020: Biden 71.84% — Trump 26.04% = D+ 45.80
SWING: R+ 03.43

Port Hueneme
2016: Clinton 63.00% — Trump 28.53% = D+ 34.47
2020: Biden 65.91% — Trump 31.42% = D+ 34.49
SWING: D+ 00.02

San Buenaventura
2016: Clinton 56.90% — Trump 33.76% = D+ 23.14
2020: Biden 63.25% — Trump 34.27% = D+ 28.98
SWING: D+ 05.84

Santa Paula
2016: Clinton 66.22% — Trump 26.77% = D+ 39.45
2020: Biden 67.65% — Trump 30.53% = D+ 37.12
SWING: R+ 02.33

Simi Valley
2016: Trump 47.88% — Clinton 43.86% = R+ 04.02
2020: Biden 49.34% — Trump 48.45% = D+ 00.89
SWING: D+ 04.91

Thousand Oaks
2016: Clinton 50.78% — Trump 41.28% = D+ 09.50
2020: Biden 56.77% — Trump 41.21% = D+ 15.56
SWING: D+ 06.06

County sweep for Joe Biden, who made history here in this county by being the first Democratic presidential nominee to win Simi Valley, home of the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library and the resting place of the former GOP savior.

do you have the numerical votes by city for biden and trump? i can't navigate that 35000-page PDF

[DrScholl]

                Biden        Trump      Total votes
Camarillo   22269   18214   41397
Fillmore   4013   2264   6408
Moorpark   11364   8613   20386
Ojai   3392   1288   4787
Oxnard   50253   18214   69952
Port Hueneme   5695   2715   8641
Santa Paula   7494   3382   11007
Simi Valley   35225   34590   71399
Thousand Oaks   43330   31455   76329
Ventura   38953   21107   61583
Unincorporated   29400   20365   50866

The interesting thing is in raw votes Trump's numbers are stagnant or only slightly higher that George W. Bush's in 2004. Republicans are pretty much winning the same people, but adding very few new votes.

[Sbane]

Is Oakland proper out ?? What is the results out of there ?

I just finished crunching the numbers for Oakland this morning (write-ins included in both 2016 and 2020):

OAKLAND
2016: Clinton 88.03% — Trump 4.69% = D+ 83.34
2020: Biden 90.98% — Trump 6.91% = D+ 84.07
SWING: D+ 00.73

I also finished Fremont and Hayward, so now we have all of Alameda County except Emeryville.

Fremont
2016: Clinton 72.00% — Trump 21.08% = D+ 50.92
2020: Biden 72.94% — Trump 25.15% = D+ 47.79
SWING: R+ 03.13

Hayward
2016: Clinton 78.40% — Trump 15.05% = D+ 63.35
2020: Biden 77.14% — Trump 20.83% = D+ 56.31
SWING: R+ 07.04

I wonder where did Bush do so well that made him win SD by 6% in 04. Is there an archive site for old data/precincts ?? Btw Biden flipped Coronado

Here are the 2004 results for San Diego County with precincts.

It is interesting to compare Union city and Fremont, cities that are right adjacent to each other. Union city swung almost 9 points to Trump while Fremont only swung 3 points. At first glance they are similar demographically at about 50% Asian. But if you look at the breakdown of the Asian population, there are some differences. Filipinos make up 20% of Union city's population while only 6 % of Fremont. Fremont is 36% Chinese or Indian while 24% of Union city is Chinese or Indian. Fremont also has a slightly higher median income (111k vs 133k) and is 57% college educated while Union City is 40% college educated.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

And when you have a chance no rush, Solano County.  Also Alpine, Mono, and Inyo counties which I suspect are pretty easy.

Alpine has no incorporated cities. Only 5 precincts though.

Mono and Inyo only have Mammoth Lakes and Bishop, IIRC. Neither Mammoth Lakes nor Bishop are the county seats though. Inyo would be interesting to do precinct by precinct if anyone is interested in that.

Also, random note about Dixon. I’ve met the (now) former mayor; he owns the auto shop I take some of my work trucks to. It was a pretty close race and he lost something like 34-32, with two or three other candidates I think.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Fresno County next please

I was unable to track down all the results in Fresno County. I'm missing Clovis, Fresno, Kingsburg, Orange Cove, and Reedley. But here's what I have for the rest of the county with write-in results included in both 2016 and 2020.

FRESNO COUNTY
Coalinga
2016: Trump 48.89% — Clinton 43.64% = R+ 05.25
2020: Trump 51.65% — Biden 46.33% = R+ 05.32
SWING: R+ 00.07

Firebaugh
2016: Clinton 68.94% — Trump 23.90% = D+ 45.04
2020: Biden 69.43% — Trump 28.71% = D+ 40.72
SWING: R+ 04.32

Fowler
2016: Clinton 56.16% — Trump 37.32% = D+ 18.84
2020: Biden 56.80% — Trump 42.18% = D+ 14.62
SWING: R+ 04.22

Huron
2016: Clinton 86.98% — Trump 7.46% = D+ 79.52
2020: Biden 81.83% — Trump 16.37% = D+ 65.46
SWING: R+ 14.06

Kerman
2016: Clinton 58.95% — Trump 33.72% = D+ 25.23
2020: Biden 59.60% — Trump 39.03% = D+ 20.57
SWING: R+ 04.66

Mendota
2016: Clinton 81.05% — Trump 14.80% = D+ 66.25
2020: Biden 73.45% — Trump 25.34% = D+ 48.11
SWING: R+ 18.14

Parlier
2016: Clinton 82.33% — Trump 11.96% = D+ 70.37
2020: Biden 75.74% — Trump 22.56% = D+ 53.18
SWING: R+ 17.19

San Joaquin
2016: Clinton 84.38% — Trump 11.21% = D+ 73.17
2020: Biden 83.41% — Trump 16.43% = D+ 66.98
SWING: R+ 06.19

Sanger
2016: Clinton 62.17% — Trump 31.40% = D+ 30.77
2020: Biden 62.14% — Trump 36.17% = D+ 25.97
SWING: R+ 04.80

Selma
2016: Clinton 58.35% — Trump 35.94% = D+ 22.41
2020: Biden 58.99% — Trump 39.66% = D+ 19.33
SWING: R+ 03.08