California by city

[mileslunn]

Sacramento County would be interesting.  I gather Trump won Citrus Heights and unincorporated while Biden everything else so interesting to see that one.  Marin and Santa Cruz counties I am assuming are all Biden blowouts.

Here are the official results for Sacramento County. I didn't include the swings since write-in votes were not made available by city in 2016 (and there were a lot here; write-ins made up 1.72% of the final countywide vote in 2016), so take the 2016 results with a grain of salt. Write-ins ARE, however, included in the 2020 final percentages.

SACRAMENTO COUNTY
Citrus Heights
2016: Trump 50.56% — Clinton 42.12% = R+ 08.44
2020: Trump 50.89% — Biden 46.19% = R+ 04.70

Elk Grove
2016: Clinton 60.69% — Trump 33.49% = D+ 27.20
2020: Biden 62.50% — Trump 35.42% = D+ 27.08

Folsom
2016: Clinton 46.59% — Trump 46.09% = D+ 00.50
2020: Biden 52.17% — Trump 45.25% = D+ 06.92

Galt
2016: Trump 50.44% — Clinton 42.76% = R+ 07.68
2020: Trump 53.17% — Biden 44.02% = R+ 09.15

Isleton
2016: Clinton 55.29% — Trump 37.25% = D+ 18.04
2020: Biden 49.53% — Trump 47.04% = D+ 02.49

Rancho Cordova
2016: Clinton 53.98% — Trump 38.31% = D+ 15.67
2020: Biden 56.17% — Trump 41.12% = D+ 15.05

Sacramento
2016: Clinton 73.82% — Trump 20.01% = D+ 53.81
2020: Biden 75.09% — Trump 22.44% = D+ 52.65

To calculate for another thread what was Sacramento county excluding Sacramento?

[ottermax]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%

Dear Lord, what happened here?! Beverly Hills is like the epitome of the white latte liberal city that generally swung to Biden this year. I remember it swinging pretty Republican in 2008 and 2012 but then it swung pretty hard to Hillary in 2016, now only to swing against Biden pretty substantially. What the heck is going on in 90210?!

I don't think Beverly Hills is a good example of a white latte liberal city... it's largest demographic is Persian Jews who are an unusual bunch. Also lots of wealth without "a college degree" types. Look at Palos Verdes and other beach cities for more of the "latte liberal" where there was a swing towards Biden.

Biden really underperformed in Los Angeles County!! It's like all the groups he struggled with - Hispanics in stunning margins from Vernon to Maymood to Cudahy and El Monte... Asians in some areas... and even Armenians in Glendale!

[ottermax]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Agoura Hills   63.17%   35.03%   3.75%
Alhambra   70.75%   27.42%   -7.02%
Arcadia   59.84%   38.75%   1.74%
Artesia   61.69%   36.26%   -13.66%
Avalon   59.40%   37.89%   9.88%
Azusa   66.72%   30.97%   -5.59%
Baldwin Park   73.61%   24.33%   -15.71%
Bell   78.94%   18.44%   -15.97%
Bell Gardens   80.10%   18.13%   -17.35%
Bellflower   67.15%   30.43%   -7.64%
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%
Bradbury   51.70%   46.90%   5.58%
Burbank   67.63%   30.35%   -1.81%
Calabasas   63.75%   34.52%   -1.06%
Carson   75.09%   23.08%   -10.79%
Cerritos   62.49%   35.82%   -4.46%
Claremont   68.07%   29.83%   1.94%
Commerce   78.35%   19.37%   -12.35%
Compton   86.58%   11.00%   -11.87%
Covina   60.91%   36.95%   -1.00%
Cudahy   80.01%   16.95%   -16.53%
Culver City   83.25%   14.83%   1.51%
Diamond Bar   58.92%   39.54%   -2.14%
Downey   66.52%   31.39%   -9.06%
Duarte   67.07%   31.00%   -3.22%
El Monte   70.28%   27.91%   -17.96%
El Segundo   63.59%    ]33.96%   6.47%
Gardena   75.38%   22.46%   -10.16%
Glendale   58.93%   39.21%   -11.04%
Glendora   48.57%   49.10%   5.82%
Hawaiian Gardens   72.12%   25.30%   -15.91%
Hawthorne   78.28%   19.39%   -9.35%
Hermosa Beach   69.35%   27.89%   4.91%
Hidden Hills   58.33%   40.18%   -3.10%
Huntington Park   80.91%   17.46%   -15.92%
Industry   45.45%   46.59%   -22.30%
Inglewood   88.62%   9.56%   -6.85%
Irwindale   69.78%   29.35%   -10.51%
La Canada Flintridge   62.18%   36.18%   6.11%
La Habra Heights   43.88%   54.49%   6.22%
La Mirada   53.47%   44.57%   -1.36%
La Puente   73.23%   24.28%   -13.96%
La Verne   50.53%   47.52%   3.71%
Lakewood   60.37%   37.45%   1.02%
Lancaster   57.71%   39.54%   5.88%
Lawndale   72.35%   25.30%   -11.09%
Lomita   58.46%   38.86%   1.41%
Long Beach   72.49%   25.01%   -0.67%
Los Angeles   76.56%   21.43%   -6.96%
Lynwood   82.00%   15.10%   -16.71%
Malibu   66.20%   31.85%   0.04%
Manhattan Beach   66.43%   31.14%   3.53%
Maywood   80.02%   17.20%   -17.33%
Monrovia   65.86%   31.71%   3.00%
Montebello   73.96%   23.92%   -9.61%
Monterey Park   68.09%   30.27%   -7.66%
Norwalk   69.27%   28.42%   -11.79%
Palmdale   63.14%   34.56%   -1.53%
Palos Verdes Estates   54.84%   42.94%   6.42%
Paramount   78.32%   19.14%   -14.43%
Pasadena   77.00%   20.84%   0.06%
Pico Rivera   74.81%   23.24%   -12.13%
Pomona   70.82%   26.64%   -9.32%
Rancho Palos Verdes   57.65%   40.15%   6.40%
Redondo Beach   67.56%   30.25%   5.62%
Rolling Hills   43.02%   54.86%   11.77%
Rolling Hills Estates   55.61%   42.58%   8.24%
Rosemead   66.91%   31.62%   -19.95%
San Dimas   50.27%   47.67%   1.66%
San Fernando   76.59%   21.05%   -11.57%
San Gabriel   66.01%   32.08%   -7.53%
San Marino   59.26%   38.71%   5.00%
Santa Clarita   53.07%   44.93%   4.94%
Santa Fe Springs   67.71%   29.82%   -11.32%
Santa Monica   81.45%   16.76%   -1.07%
Sierra Madre   65.89%   31.55%   5.86%
Signal Hill   73.46%   24.26%   1.45%
South El Monte   73.52%   23.81%   -18.53%
South Gate   78.58%   19.08%   -15.62%
South Pasadena   78.98%   18.80%   3.83%
Temple City   59.98%   38.24%   -1.88%
Torrance   60.23%   37.53%   3.27%
Vernon   68.04%   31.96%   -20.17%
Walnut   61.51%   37.04%   -4.44%
West Covina   65.01%   33.23%   -6.67%
West Hollywood   82.20%   16.42%   -6.75%
Westlake Village   57.51%   40.45%   4.79%
Whittier   62.74%   35.01%   -0.50%

I apologize if I made any errors with the colors anywhere. This is a big one.

There are no real surprises here when you look at overall trends everywhere else. Los Angeles County has a great deal of restaurant and retail jobs in the suburban areas that swung towards Trump, so Trump campaigning on re-opening everything probably helped him a great deal. Most of Biden's gains were in areas with higher white populations.

Thank you for your work on this. Seeing these results are really shocking and I haven't had time to really analyze them... but seeing some of these places like Redondo Beach and other wealthy white areas vote left of some Hispanic cities is rather shocking. Overall it looks like 2016 was a bit of a fluke for Democrats in some areas... but Trump really had some appeal. So curious what everyone else thinks.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)

-snip-

There are no real surprises here when you look at overall trends everywhere else. Los Angeles County has a great deal of restaurant and retail jobs in the suburban areas that swung towards Trump, so Trump campaigning on re-opening everything probably helped him a great deal. Most of Biden's gains were in areas with higher white populations.

Thank you for your work on this. Seeing these results are really shocking and I haven't had time to really analyze them... but seeing some of these places like Redondo Beach and other wealthy white areas vote left of some Hispanic cities is rather shocking. Overall it looks like 2016 was a bit of a fluke for Democrats in some areas... but Trump really had some appeal. So curious what everyone else thinks.

Sounds just like what you said in a different thread. COVID caused massive R swings among working-class, nonwhite service sector employees who were inadequately supported through the lockdowns.

[DrScholl]

You can find non-chain restaurants and small stores on just about every corner in Los Angeles County. Those were the places that took the biggest hits during quarantine and the idea that Trump was going to keep everything open while Biden would shut it was clearly influential on a lot of people. These are very working class areas.

[DrScholl]

And I'll add that as much as Republicans complained about vote by mail it probably helped them in California. Sending ballots out to every registered voter most likely gained Trump some low information voters.

[CityByTheValley]

I just wanted to say, as someone who lived in Santa Clara County for a Year (Cupertino) back in the early 2010s with a Tech Sector contract temporary job project assignment, this was a fascinating and well written "Executive Level Summary" of Santa Clara County.

Also, for a relatively new poster this is clearly an effort level and high quality post--- Belated welcome to the Forum!

One item which may have impacted some of the larger swings among working-class Latino and Asian-American voters within Silicon Valley, is the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 employment picture.

There was an article I read several Months back (Politico?) that described the dual structure of employment.

Large Tech Facilities basically shuttered their doors, moved all of their direct employees to working remotely, while simultaneously paying working-class contract employees more heavily involved in Facility Services (Custodial, Food Service, etc...) for a period of time.

Now that arrangement has effectively ended in most tech facilities in the South Bay and direct tech sector employees are basically "permanently" working remotely and "support workers" are out of work and filing for unemployment.

Considering that many of these workers are effectively highly skilled within their occupational categories, and are effectively SMEs in working their respective trades within highly demanding Tech Sector SOWs and MSAs, there really isn't anywhere for them to go without taking significant pay cuts, especially with increased competition for jobs, with similar occupational categories in public schools also shut down.

Thoughts?

Thanks NOVA Green! I lurked this forum for a couple years occasionally before posting and a lot of your posts got me interested in the forum. I do think you're right in terms of the shutdowns adversely affecting a lot of cafe workers and related laid off people, many of whom live in San Jose and not in West Valley, contributing to swings we see. School closures are a tricky issue since most parents I'm familiar with are adamant on remaining at home for safety reasons, although this is far more feasible for older students who are less impacted than younger ones. I think Prop 16 definitely played a part in driving up vote shares for Republicans in certain areas, particularly in areas where parents are less wealthy. For these parents, affirmative action harms them far more than it does a parent who can pay their child's way in the old school way or through the million expensive extracurricular activities their children partake in.

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Agoura Hills   63.17%   35.03%   3.75%
Arcadia   59.84%   38.75%   1.74%
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%
Bradbury   51.70%   46.90%   5.58%
Calabasas   63.75%   34.52%   -1.06%
Hermosa Beach   69.35%   27.89%   4.91%
Hidden Hills   58.33%   40.18%   -3.10%
La Canada Flintridge   62.18%   36.18%   6.11%
Malibu   66.20%   31.85%   0.04%
Manhattan Beach   66.43%   31.14%   3.53%
Palos Verdes Estates   54.84%   42.94%   6.42%
Rancho Palos Verdes   57.65%   40.15%   6.40%
Redondo Beach   67.56%   30.25%   5.62%
Rolling Hills   43.02%   54.86%   11.77%
Rolling Hills Estates   55.61%   42.58%   8.24%
San Marino   59.26%   38.71%   5.00%
Santa Monica   81.45%   16.76%   -1.07%
Westlake Village   57.51%   40.45%   4.79%

It seems like Biden gained the most ground in the southern beach cities and Palos Verdes peninsula, saw some gain in the San Gabriel area and by the Ventura border, but seems to have actually lost ground in Beverly Hills, Santa Monica, and the Valley out of the affluent parts of LA County. Is there any explanation for these swings?

As far as I can tell, BH is full of Persian Jews who swung to Trump like most Jews nationally. I think this pattern will probably also be seen in Great Neck where many of this demographic reside. As for Santa Monica, Calabasas, and Hidden Hills, I feel as though the wealthy in these areas generally work in entertainment (along with those in BH), and the stay-at-home orders motivated their vote against Democrats. It seems this theory somewhat holds in Malibu as well, which is another spot for people like this, but less so given its distant location from the entertainment centers of LA County.

Is this a full explanation, though? Or is there something else that explains these divided swings that aren't as uniform as those Hillary got?

[H. Ross Peron]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%

Dear Lord, what happened here?! Beverly Hills is like the epitome of the white latte liberal city that generally swung to Biden this year. I remember it swinging pretty Republican in 2008 and 2012 but then it swung pretty hard to Hillary in 2016, now only to swing against Biden pretty substantially. What the heck is going on in 90210?!

Beverly Hills isn't a latte liberal city like Malibu, Santa Monica, or adjoining parts of Westside LA. It's more akin to the Palos Verde Peninsula or Newport Beach in Orange County in being a city of wealthy but relatively conservative people without a culturally liberal ethos. Add to that the Persian Jewish vote which paralleled voting habits of Miami Cubans or many wealthier Asians in trending towards Trump this year and it makes sense it swung right this year.

[Mr. Smith]

So what do we gots for El Dorado?

I'm guessing Placerville narrowly stayed Trump, El Dorado Hills followed Rancho Cordova, Pollock Pines was heavy Trump, and South Lake Tahoe was heavy Biden.

[DrScholl]

It seems like Biden gained the most ground in the southern beach cities and Palos Verdes peninsula, saw some gain in the San Gabriel area and by the Ventura border, but seems to have actually lost ground in Beverly Hills, Santa Monica, and the Valley out of the affluent parts of LA County. Is there any explanation for these swings?

As far as I can tell, BH is full of Persian Jews who swung to Trump like most Jews nationally. I think this pattern will probably also be seen in Great Neck where many of this demographic reside. As for Santa Monica, Calabasas, and Hidden Hills, I feel as though the wealthy in these areas generally work in entertainment (along with those in BH), and the stay-at-home orders motivated their vote against Democrats. It seems this theory somewhat holds in Malibu as well, which is another spot for people like this, but less so given its distant location from the entertainment centers of LA County.

Is this a full explanation, though? Or is there something else that explains these divided swings that aren't as uniform as those Hillary got?

Biden also did say that he would raise taxes on the wealthy which is really something that Clinton never really said so that could explain some of the difference along with quarantine orders. Malibu is affluent, but is more environmentally conscious that other wealthy areas.

[H. Ross Peron]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Agoura Hills   63.17%   35.03%   3.75%
Alhambra   70.75%   27.42%   -7.02%
Arcadia   59.84%   38.75%   1.74%
Artesia   61.69%   36.26%   -13.66%
Avalon   59.40%   37.89%   9.88%
Azusa   66.72%   30.97%   -5.59%
Baldwin Park   73.61%   24.33%   -15.71%
Bell   78.94%   18.44%   -15.97%
Bell Gardens   80.10%   18.13%   -17.35%
Bellflower   67.15%   30.43%   -7.64%
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%
Bradbury   51.70%   46.90%   5.58%
Burbank   67.63%   30.35%   -1.81%
Calabasas   63.75%   34.52%   -1.06%
Carson   75.09%   23.08%   -10.79%
Cerritos   62.49%   35.82%   -4.46%
Claremont   68.07%   29.83%   1.94%
Commerce   78.35%   19.37%   -12.35%
Compton   86.58%   11.00%   -11.87%
Covina   60.91%   36.95%   -1.00%
Cudahy   80.01%   16.95%   -16.53%
Culver City   83.25%   14.83%   1.51%
Diamond Bar   58.92%   39.54%   -2.14%
Downey   66.52%   31.39%   -9.06%
Duarte   67.07%   31.00%   -3.22%
El Monte   70.28%   27.91%   -17.96%
El Segundo   63.59%    ]33.96%   6.47%
Gardena   75.38%   22.46%   -10.16%
Glendale   58.93%   39.21%   -11.04%
Glendora   48.57%   49.10%   5.82%
Hawaiian Gardens   72.12%   25.30%   -15.91%
Hawthorne   78.28%   19.39%   -9.35%
Hermosa Beach   69.35%   27.89%   4.91%
Hidden Hills   58.33%   40.18%   -3.10%
Huntington Park   80.91%   17.46%   -15.92%
Industry   45.45%   46.59%   -22.30%
Inglewood   88.62%   9.56%   -6.85%
Irwindale   69.78%   29.35%   -10.51%
La Canada Flintridge   62.18%   36.18%   6.11%
La Habra Heights   43.88%   54.49%   6.22%
La Mirada   53.47%   44.57%   -1.36%
La Puente   73.23%   24.28%   -13.96%
La Verne   50.53%   47.52%   3.71%
Lakewood   60.37%   37.45%   1.02%
Lancaster   57.71%   39.54%   5.88%
Lawndale   72.35%   25.30%   -11.09%
Lomita   58.46%   38.86%   1.41%
Long Beach   72.49%   25.01%   -0.67%
Los Angeles   76.56%   21.43%   -6.96%
Lynwood   82.00%   15.10%   -16.71%
Malibu   66.20%   31.85%   0.04%
Manhattan Beach   66.43%   31.14%   3.53%
Maywood   80.02%   17.20%   -17.33%
Monrovia   65.86%   31.71%   3.00%
Montebello   73.96%   23.92%   -9.61%
Monterey Park   68.09%   30.27%   -7.66%
Norwalk   69.27%   28.42%   -11.79%
Palmdale   63.14%   34.56%   -1.53%
Palos Verdes Estates   54.84%   42.94%   6.42%
Paramount   78.32%   19.14%   -14.43%
Pasadena   77.00%   20.84%   0.06%
Pico Rivera   74.81%   23.24%   -12.13%
Pomona   70.82%   26.64%   -9.32%
Rancho Palos Verdes   57.65%   40.15%   6.40%
Redondo Beach   67.56%   30.25%   5.62%
Rolling Hills   43.02%   54.86%   11.77%
Rolling Hills Estates   55.61%   42.58%   8.24%
Rosemead   66.91%   31.62%   -19.95%
San Dimas   50.27%   47.67%   1.66%
San Fernando   76.59%   21.05%   -11.57%
San Gabriel   66.01%   32.08%   -7.53%
San Marino   59.26%   38.71%   5.00%
Santa Clarita   53.07%   44.93%   4.94%
Santa Fe Springs   67.71%   29.82%   -11.32%
Santa Monica   81.45%   16.76%   -1.07%
Sierra Madre   65.89%   31.55%   5.86%
Signal Hill   73.46%   24.26%   1.45%
South El Monte   73.52%   23.81%   -18.53%
South Gate   78.58%   19.08%   -15.62%
South Pasadena   78.98%   18.80%   3.83%
Temple City   59.98%   38.24%   -1.88%
Torrance   60.23%   37.53%   3.27%
Vernon   68.04%   31.96%   -20.17%
Walnut   61.51%   37.04%   -4.44%
West Covina   65.01%   33.23%   -6.67%
West Hollywood   82.20%   16.42%   -6.75%
Westlake Village   57.51%   40.45%   4.79%
Whittier   62.74%   35.01%   -0.50%

I apologize if I made any errors with the colors anywhere. This is a big one.

There are no real surprises here when you look at overall trends everywhere else. Los Angeles County has a great deal of restaurant and retail jobs in the suburban areas that swung towards Trump, so Trump campaigning on re-opening everything probably helped him a great deal. Most of Biden's gains were in areas with higher white populations.

Great work!

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%. Looks like Trump flipped the tiny City of Industry (most of which as the name suggests is zoned for commercial and industrial activity) while Biden flipped Glendora.

[mileslunn]

It seems like Biden gained the most ground in the southern beach cities and Palos Verdes peninsula, saw some gain in the San Gabriel area and by the Ventura border, but seems to have actually lost ground in Beverly Hills, Santa Monica, and the Valley out of the affluent parts of LA County. Is there any explanation for these swings?

As far as I can tell, BH is full of Persian Jews who swung to Trump like most Jews nationally. I think this pattern will probably also be seen in Great Neck where many of this demographic reside. As for Santa Monica, Calabasas, and Hidden Hills, I feel as though the wealthy in these areas generally work in entertainment (along with those in BH), and the stay-at-home orders motivated their vote against Democrats. It seems this theory somewhat holds in Malibu as well, which is another spot for people like this, but less so given its distant location from the entertainment centers of LA County.

Is this a full explanation, though? Or is there something else that explains these divided swings that aren't as uniform as those Hillary got?

Biden also did say that he would raise taxes on the wealthy which is really something that Clinton never really said so that could explain some of the difference along with quarantine orders. Malibu is affluent, but is more environmentally conscious that other wealthy areas.

Biden's tax plan might help rich in California as many Democrats want to scrap SALT cap of 10K as Trump's tax cuts actually cut taxes for rich in red states, but raised them in most blue states.

[DrScholl]

So what do we gots for El Dorado?

I'm guessing Placerville narrowly stayed Trump, El Dorado Hills followed Rancho Cordova, Pollock Pines was heavy Trump, and South Lake Tahoe was heavy Biden.

                       Biden        Trump   Swing
Placerville   51.23%   46.04%   5.26%
South Lake Tahoe   66.60%   30.80%   7.91%

I have to calculated the unincorporated areas individually by precinct, but the combined unincorporated area total for the entire county was 55.74% Trump to 41.98% Biden.

[DrScholl]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Agoura Hills   63.17%   35.03%   3.75%
Alhambra   70.75%   27.42%   -7.02%
Arcadia   59.84%   38.75%   1.74%
Artesia   61.69%   36.26%   -13.66%
Avalon   59.40%   37.89%   9.88%
Azusa   66.72%   30.97%   -5.59%
Baldwin Park   73.61%   24.33%   -15.71%
Bell   78.94%   18.44%   -15.97%
Bell Gardens   80.10%   18.13%   -17.35%
Bellflower   67.15%   30.43%   -7.64%
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%
Bradbury   51.70%   46.90%   5.58%
Burbank   67.63%   30.35%   -1.81%
Calabasas   63.75%   34.52%   -1.06%
Carson   75.09%   23.08%   -10.79%
Cerritos   62.49%   35.82%   -4.46%
Claremont   68.07%   29.83%   1.94%
Commerce   78.35%   19.37%   -12.35%
Compton   86.58%   11.00%   -11.87%
Covina   60.91%   36.95%   -1.00%
Cudahy   80.01%   16.95%   -16.53%
Culver City   83.25%   14.83%   1.51%
Diamond Bar   58.92%   39.54%   -2.14%
Downey   66.52%   31.39%   -9.06%
Duarte   67.07%   31.00%   -3.22%
El Monte   70.28%   27.91%   -17.96%
El Segundo   63.59%    ]33.96%   6.47%
Gardena   75.38%   22.46%   -10.16%
Glendale   58.93%   39.21%   -11.04%
Glendora   48.57%   49.10%   5.82%
Hawaiian Gardens   72.12%   25.30%   -15.91%
Hawthorne   78.28%   19.39%   -9.35%
Hermosa Beach   69.35%   27.89%   4.91%
Hidden Hills   58.33%   40.18%   -3.10%
Huntington Park   80.91%   17.46%   -15.92%
Industry   45.45%   46.59%   -22.30%
Inglewood   88.62%   9.56%   -6.85%
Irwindale   69.78%   29.35%   -10.51%
La Canada Flintridge   62.18%   36.18%   6.11%
La Habra Heights   43.88%   54.49%   6.22%
La Mirada   53.47%   44.57%   -1.36%
La Puente   73.23%   24.28%   -13.96%
La Verne   50.53%   47.52%   3.71%
Lakewood   60.37%   37.45%   1.02%
Lancaster   57.71%   39.54%   5.88%
Lawndale   72.35%   25.30%   -11.09%
Lomita   58.46%   38.86%   1.41%
Long Beach   72.49%   25.01%   -0.67%
Los Angeles   76.56%   21.43%   -6.96%
Lynwood   82.00%   15.10%   -16.71%
Malibu   66.20%   31.85%   0.04%
Manhattan Beach   66.43%   31.14%   3.53%
Maywood   80.02%   17.20%   -17.33%
Monrovia   65.86%   31.71%   3.00%
Montebello   73.96%   23.92%   -9.61%
Monterey Park   68.09%   30.27%   -7.66%
Norwalk   69.27%   28.42%   -11.79%
Palmdale   63.14%   34.56%   -1.53%
Palos Verdes Estates   54.84%   42.94%   6.42%
Paramount   78.32%   19.14%   -14.43%
Pasadena   77.00%   20.84%   0.06%
Pico Rivera   74.81%   23.24%   -12.13%
Pomona   70.82%   26.64%   -9.32%
Rancho Palos Verdes   57.65%   40.15%   6.40%
Redondo Beach   67.56%   30.25%   5.62%
Rolling Hills   43.02%   54.86%   11.77%
Rolling Hills Estates   55.61%   42.58%   8.24%
Rosemead   66.91%   31.62%   -19.95%
San Dimas   50.27%   47.67%   1.66%
San Fernando   76.59%   21.05%   -11.57%
San Gabriel   66.01%   32.08%   -7.53%
San Marino   59.26%   38.71%   5.00%
Santa Clarita   53.07%   44.93%   4.94%
Santa Fe Springs   67.71%   29.82%   -11.32%
Santa Monica   81.45%   16.76%   -1.07%
Sierra Madre   65.89%   31.55%   5.86%
Signal Hill   73.46%   24.26%   1.45%
South El Monte   73.52%   23.81%   -18.53%
South Gate   78.58%   19.08%   -15.62%
South Pasadena   78.98%   18.80%   3.83%
Temple City   59.98%   38.24%   -1.88%
Torrance   60.23%   37.53%   3.27%
Vernon   68.04%   31.96%   -20.17%
Walnut   61.51%   37.04%   -4.44%
West Covina   65.01%   33.23%   -6.67%
West Hollywood   82.20%   16.42%   -6.75%
Westlake Village   57.51%   40.45%   4.79%
Whittier   62.74%   35.01%   -0.50%

I apologize if I made any errors with the colors anywhere. This is a big one.

There are no real surprises here when you look at overall trends everywhere else. Los Angeles County has a great deal of restaurant and retail jobs in the suburban areas that swung towards Trump, so Trump campaigning on re-opening everything probably helped him a great deal. Most of Biden's gains were in areas with higher white populations.

Great work!

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%. Looks like Trump flipped the tiny City of Industry (most of which as the name suggests is zoned for commercial and industrial activity) while Biden flipped Glendora.

Trump barely won Glendora, but Biden did get a 5% swing. Biden flipped Bradbury and La Verne. The compression of the results is mostly do to the fact that 90% precincts in the county are within Los Angeles proper, mainly South Los Angeles.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%.

That one really surprised me. At the very least, you'd expect Biden to crack 90% in West Hollywood. Must be the Russian community.

[HAnnA MArin County]

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%.

That one really surprised me. At the very least, you'd expect Biden to crack 90% in West Hollywood. Must be the Russian community.

..there's a Russian community in WeHo? Interesting. Wonder how many of the gays there have TrumPutin fantasies, ha. Hillary only cracked >90% in Compton and Inglewood in LA County in 2016.

Speaking of Compton, I see where somebody has already updated their Wikipedia page:
"Compton is one of the most consistently Democratic cities in California's political history. From 1976-2016, no Democrat received less than 90% of the vote in a presidential election. In 2020, Joe Biden won Compton with 86.58% of the vote, the worst showing for a Democratic nominee since George McGovern."

That's upsetting but if winning with 86.58% of the vote is the worst showing, I'd say that's nothing to be ashamed of.

[mileslunn]

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%.

That one really surprised me. At the very least, you'd expect Biden to crack 90% in West Hollywood. Must be the Russian community.

..there's a Russian community in WeHo? Interesting. Wonder how many of the gays there have TrumPutin fantasies, ha. Hillary only cracked >90% in Compton and Inglewood in LA County in 2016.

Speaking of Compton, I see where somebody has already updated their Wikipedia page:
"Compton is one of the most consistently Democratic cities in California's political history. From 1976-2016, no Democrat received less than 90% of the vote in a presidential election. In 2020, Joe Biden won Compton with 86.58% of the vote, the worst showing for a Democratic nominee since George McGovern."

That's upsetting but if winning with 86.58% of the vote is the worst showing, I'd say that's nothing to be ashamed of.

Compton's demographics have also changed.  Through most of its history, it was predominately African-American, now Hispanics are the majority.  Hispanics favor Democrats but not by same lopsided margin as African-Americans do so once African-Americans became a minority it was unlikely that level of support would hold for Democrats.

[NOVA Green]

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%.

That one really surprised me. At the very least, you'd expect Biden to crack 90% in West Hollywood. Must be the Russian community.

..there's a Russian community in WeHo? Interesting. Wonder how many of the gays there have TrumPutin fantasies, ha. Hillary only cracked >90% in Compton and Inglewood in LA County in 2016.

Speaking of Compton, I see where somebody has already updated their Wikipedia page:
"Compton is one of the most consistently Democratic cities in California's political history. From 1976-2016, no Democrat received less than 90% of the vote in a presidential election. In 2020, Joe Biden won Compton with 86.58% of the vote, the worst showing for a Democratic nominee since George McGovern."

That's upsetting but if winning with 86.58% of the vote is the worst showing, I'd say that's nothing to be ashamed of.

Compton's demographics have also changed.  Through most of its history, it was predominately African-American, now Hispanics are the majority.  Hispanics favor Democrats but not by same lopsided margin as African-Americans do so once African-Americans became a minority it was unlikely that level of support would hold for Democrats.

I did some work on Southern California during the 2020 Democratic Primary during the COVID-19 lockdown, here is the thread which discusses some of the Demographics and PRIM results by place including Social-Demographic Characteristics and election results....

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=368535.msg7309176#msg7309176

*** It would be interesting if someone were to look at 2020 GE PRES results for certain municipalities in California compared against 2020 PRIM DEM results and look at '16 > '20 DEM/PUB Swings ***

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I'm gonna be lazy and repost my Inland Empire results here:

RIVERSIDE COUNTY
Coachella: Biden 78.10% — Trump 19.73% = D+ 58.37
Palm Springs: Biden 77.54% — Trump 21.45% = D+ 56.09
Perris: Biden 70.76% — Trump 27.15% = D+ 43.62
Cathedral City: Biden 70.42% — Trump 28.17% = D+ 42.25
Moreno Valley: Biden 67.23% — Trump 30.79% = D+ 36.44
Desert Hot Springs: Biden 63.84% — Trump 33.80% = D+ 30.04
Indio: Biden 59.99% — Trump 38.48% = D+ 21.51
Riverside: Biden 58.58% — Trump 39.07% = D+ 19.52
Jurupa Valley: Biden 57.80% — Trump 40.05% = D+ 17.75
Rancho Mirage: Biden 57.81% — Trump 41.18% = D+ 16.63
San Jacinto: Biden 54.53% — Trump 42.87% = D+ 11.66
Eastvale: Biden 54.26% — Trump 44.09% = D+ 10.18
Palm Desert: Biden 53.04% — Trump 45.44% = D+ 7.60
Corona: Biden 51.53% — Trump 46.27% = D+ 5.25
Banning: Biden 50.20% — Trump 47.77% = D+ 2.43
La Quinta: Biden 50.18% — Trump 48.23% = D+ 1.95
Lake Elsinore: Biden 49.70% — Trump 48.38% = D+ 1.31
Hemet: Biden 49.25% — Trump 48.80% = D+ 0.45
Beaumont: Trump 49.67% — Biden 48.26% = R+ 1.41
Unincorporated Area: Trump 51.63% — Biden 46.45% =  R+ 5.18
Temecula: Trump 52.60% — Biden 44.95% =  R+ 7.66
Blythe: Trump 53.38% — Biden 44.20% =  R+ 9.18
Menifee: Trump 54.70% — Biden 43.56% =  R+ 11.14
Murrieta: Trump 55.51% — Biden 42.45% =  R+ 13.06
Wildomar: Trump 59.14% — Biden 38.84% =  R+ 20.31
Indian Wells: Trump 59.65% — Biden 38.96% =  R+ 20.70
Calimesa: Trump 63.23% — Biden 34.70% =  R+ 28.53
Norco: Trump 67.50% — Biden 30.55% =  R+ 36.96
Canyon Lake: Trump 75.34% — Biden 23.54% = R+ 51.81

FLIPS (2016-2020)
Palm Desert
Hemet
La Quinta
Banning
Lake Elsinore

SWINGS (2016-2020)
Unincorporated Area: D+ 17.36%
Rancho Mirage: D+ 13.83%
Indian Wells: D+ 13.67%
Temecula: D+ 9.83%
Palm Desert: D+ 9.60%
Hemet: D+ 9.31%
Palm Springs: D+ 8.76%
La Quinta: D+ 8.61%
Murrieta: D+ 8.07%
Menifee: D+ 6.82%
Banning: D+ 5.39%
Beaumont: D+ 5.09%
Cathedral City: D+ 4.07%
Lake Elsinore: D+ 3.50%
Calimesa: D+ 3.18%
Corona: D+ 1.97%
Desert Hot Springs: D+ 1.86%
Canyon Lake: D+ 1.28%
San Jacinto: D+ 0.68%
Riverside: D+ 0.30%
Norco: R+ 0.57%
Indio: R+ 0.89%
Jurupa Valley: R+ 2.79%
Moreno Valley: R+ 3.70%
Eastvale: R+ 5.04%
Blythe: R+ 6.46%
Wildomar: R+ 10.84%
Perris: R+ 12.51%
Coachella: R+ 17.01%


SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
Rialto: Biden 70.16% — Trump 27.63% = D+ 42.53
Montclair: Biden 66.85% — Trump 30.45% = D+ 36.39
Colton: Biden 66.80% — Trump 30.83% = D+ 35.97
Adelanto: Biden 66.39% — Trump 31.11% = D+ 35.28
San Bernardino: Biden 65.60% — Trump 31.87% = D+ 33.73
Fontana: Biden 65.23% — Trump 32.62% = D+ 32.61
Ontario: Biden 63.59% — Trump 34.22% = D+ 29.36
Victorville: Biden 57.68% — Trump 39.85% = D+ 17.83
Loma Linda: Biden 57.28% — Trump 39.86% = D+ 17.43
Highland: Biden 54.51% — Trump 43.26% = D+ 11.24
Redlands: Biden 54.09% — Trump 43.25% = D+ 10.84
Upland: Biden 53.94% — Trump 43.91% = D+ 10.03
Chino: Biden 54.03% — Trump 44.11% = D+ 9.91
Grand Terrace: Biden 52.12% — Trump 45.41% = D+ 6.72
Chino Hills: Biden 52.39% — Trump 45.95% = D+ 6.44
Rancho Cucamonga: Biden 51.84% — Trump 46.14% = D+ 5.70
Barstow: Trump 49.14% — Biden 48.19% = R+ 0.95
Twentynine Palms: Trump 49.71% — Biden 44.71% =  R+ 5.00
Unincorprated Area: Trump 53.97% — Biden 43.68% =  R+ 10.29
Hesparia: Trump 54.76% — Biden 43.20% =  R+ 11.56
Yucca Valley: Trump 57.98% — Biden 39.29% =  R+ 18.69
Big Bear Lake: Trump 59.45% — Biden 38.54% =  R+ 20.91
Needles: Trump 59.77% — Biden 38.06% =  R+ 21.70
Apple Valley: Trump 60.90% — Biden 36.97% =  R+ 23.93
Yucapia: Trump 63.10% — Biden 34.79% =  R+ 28.31

SWINGS (2016-2020)
Twentynine Palms: D+ 13.16%
Yucca Valley: D+ 11.34%
Big Bear Lake: D+ 7.83%
Redlands: D+ 6.04%
Apple Valley: D+ 5.66%
Grand Terrace: D+ 4.72%
Upland: D+ 4.21%
Unincorporated Area: D+ 2.94%
Hesparia: D+ 2.26%
Loma Linda: D+ 2.16%
Chino Hills: D+ 2.01%
Yucaipa: D+ 1.97%
Rancho Cucamonga: D+ 1.70%
Barstow: D+ 1.61%
Needles: D+ 0.83%
Victorville: D+ 0.13%
Highland: R+ 0.22%
Chino: R+ 1.57%
San Bernardino: R+ 4.88%
Adelanto: R+ 5.62%
Ontario: R+ 5.81%
Colton: R+ 8.32%
Montclair: R+ 8.39%
Rialto: R+ 9.35%
Fontana: R+ 10.13%

[Sbane]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%

Dear Lord, what happened here?! Beverly Hills is like the epitome of the white latte liberal city that generally swung to Biden this year. I remember it swinging pretty Republican in 2008 and 2012 but then it swung pretty hard to Hillary in 2016, now only to swing against Biden pretty substantially. What the heck is going on in 90210?!

As mentioned above, it was likely the Persian Jews. Them and Armenians would explain the swings in the San Fernando Valley as well, especially in wealthy places like Calabasas or Hidden Hills.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Sacramento
2016: Clinton 73.82% — Trump 20.01% = D+ 53.81
2020: Biden 75.09% — Trump 22.44% = D+ 52.65

To calculate for another thread what was Sacramento county excluding Sacramento?

Hey Mileslunn, I must've overlooked this. Without the city of Sacramento, the county would have been D+ 12.77 (Biden 55.10% — Trump 42.33%).

Here's Sacramento's neighbor Yolo County's results (with write-ins included in final percentages for both 2016 and 2020):

YOLO COUNTY
Davis
2016: Clinton 80.50% — Trump 11.53% = D+ 68.97
2020: Biden 85.09% — Trump 12.46% = D+ 72.63
SWING: D+ 03.66

West Sacramento
2016: Clinton 60.35% — Trump 31.54% = D+ 28.81
2020: Biden 62.88% — Trump 34.76% = D+ 28.12
SWING: R+ 00.69

Winters
2016: Clinton 57.43% — Trump 34.78% = D+ 22.65
2020: Biden 59.06% — Trump 38.08% = D+ 20.98
SWING: R+ 01.67

Woodland
2016: Clinton 58.13% — Trump 33.71% = D+ 24.42
2020: Biden 62.39% — Trump 35.05% = D+ 27.34
SWING: D+ 02.92

[DrScholl]

It's interesting how "compressed" the results are despite Biden getting over 70% in LA County, with very few cities being above the 80% mark for Biden and none above 90%.

That one really surprised me. At the very least, you'd expect Biden to crack 90% in West Hollywood. Must be the Russian community.

..there's a Russian community in WeHo? Interesting. Wonder how many of the gays there have TrumPutin fantasies, ha. Hillary only cracked >90% in Compton and Inglewood in LA County in 2016.

Speaking of Compton, I see where somebody has already updated their Wikipedia page:
"Compton is one of the most consistently Democratic cities in California's political history. From 1976-2016, no Democrat received less than 90% of the vote in a presidential election. In 2020, Joe Biden won Compton with 86.58% of the vote, the worst showing for a Democratic nominee since George McGovern."

That's upsetting but if winning with 86.58% of the vote is the worst showing, I'd say that's nothing to be ashamed of.

Compton's demographics have also changed.  Through most of its history, it was predominately African-American, now Hispanics are the majority.  Hispanics favor Democrats but not by same lopsided margin as African-Americans do so once African-Americans became a minority it was unlikely that level of support would hold for Democrats.

It was predominately black starting in the 1960s, but before that it was a white suburb (same with Inglewood). The black population has dropped in the past couple of decades, but by voter registration the electorate still tilts very black.

[Kamala's side hoe]

I just wanted to say, as someone who lived in Santa Clara County for a Year (Cupertino) back in the early 2010s with a Tech Sector contract temporary job project assignment, this was a fascinating and well written "Executive Level Summary" of Santa Clara County.

Also, for a relatively new poster this is clearly an effort level and high quality post--- Belated welcome to the Forum!

One item which may have impacted some of the larger swings among working-class Latino and Asian-American voters within Silicon Valley, is the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 employment picture.

There was an article I read several Months back (Politico?) that described the dual structure of employment.

Large Tech Facilities basically shuttered their doors, moved all of their direct employees to working remotely, while simultaneously paying working-class contract employees more heavily involved in Facility Services (Custodial, Food Service, etc...) for a period of time.

Now that arrangement has effectively ended in most tech facilities in the South Bay and direct tech sector employees are basically "permanently" working remotely and "support workers" are out of work and filing for unemployment.

Considering that many of these workers are effectively highly skilled within their occupational categories, and are effectively SMEs in working their respective trades within highly demanding Tech Sector SOWs and MSAs, there really isn't anywhere for them to go without taking significant pay cuts, especially with increased competition for jobs, with similar occupational categories in public schools also shut down.

Thoughts?

Thanks NOVA Green! I lurked this forum for a couple years occasionally before posting and a lot of your posts got me interested in the forum. I do think you're right in terms of the shutdowns adversely affecting a lot of cafe workers and related laid off people, many of whom live in San Jose and not in West Valley, contributing to swings we see. School closures are a tricky issue since most parents I'm familiar with are adamant on remaining at home for safety reasons, although this is far more feasible for older students who are less impacted than younger ones. I think Prop 16 definitely played a part in driving up vote shares for Republicans in certain areas, particularly in areas where parents are less wealthy. For these parents, affirmative action harms them far more than it does a parent who can pay their child's way in the old school way or through the million expensive extracurricular activities their children partake in.

This explanation makes a lot of sense, thanks for sharing. I think it would also apply to more overtly socioeconomic-based affirmative action schemes for college admissions. People in places like East San Jose and Milpitas aren’t professional class or 1%ers, but they aren’t necessarily below the poverty line or even working class (income wise) either. In any case, I wish people were more aware of how many less well-off and blue-collar Asian Americans there are out there.

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Long Beach   72.49%   25.01%   -0.67%

Back on topic- I find it interesting how Long Beach barely swung R, given how racially diverse urban areas/counties mostly swung hard R this cycle. 40% Latino, 30% Non-Hispanic White, and 13% Black and Asian each. Long Beach Asians are mostly Filipino and Cambodian- both more working-class groups.

[HAnnA MArin County]

VENTURA COUNTY (Write-ins included in final percentages for both 2016 and 2020)
Camarillo
2016: Clinton 47.65% — Trump 43.33% = D+ 04.32
2020: Biden 53.79% — Trump 44.00% = D+ 09.79
SWING: D+ 05.47

Fillmore
2016: Clinton 60.32% — Trump 32.23% = D+ 28.09
2020: Biden 62.62% — Trump 35.33% = D+ 27.29
SWING: R+ 00.80

Moorpark
2016: Clinton 49.60% — Trump 41.59% = D+ 08.01
2020: Biden 55.74% — Trump 42.25% = D+ 13.49
SWING: D+ 05.48

Ojai
2016: Clinton 63.92% — Trump 26.78% = D+ 37.14
2020: Biden 70.86% — Trump 26.91% = D+ 43.95
SWING: D+ 06.81

Oxnard
2016: Clinton 71.13% — Trump 21.90% = D+ 49.23
2020: Biden 71.84% — Trump 26.04% = D+ 45.80
SWING: R+ 03.43

Port Hueneme
2016: Clinton 63.00% — Trump 28.53% = D+ 34.47
2020: Biden 65.91% — Trump 31.42% = D+ 34.49
SWING: D+ 00.02

San Buenaventura
2016: Clinton 56.90% — Trump 33.76% = D+ 23.14
2020: Biden 63.25% — Trump 34.27% = D+ 28.98
SWING: D+ 05.84

Santa Paula
2016: Clinton 66.22% — Trump 26.77% = D+ 39.45
2020: Biden 67.65% — Trump 30.53% = D+ 37.12
SWING: R+ 02.33

Simi Valley
2016: Trump 47.88% — Clinton 43.86% = R+ 04.02
2020: Biden 49.34% — Trump 48.45% = D+ 00.89
SWING: D+ 04.91

Thousand Oaks
2016: Clinton 50.78% — Trump 41.28% = D+ 09.50
2020: Biden 56.77% — Trump 41.21% = D+ 15.56
SWING: D+ 06.06

County sweep for Joe Biden, who made history here in this county by being the first Democratic presidential nominee to win Simi Valley, home of the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library and the resting place of the former GOP savior.

[vileplume]

Los Angeles County, CA results (by city)
                        Biden        Trump
Beverly Hills   55.07%   43.86%   -19.97%

Dear Lord, what happened here?! Beverly Hills is like the epitome of the white latte liberal city that generally swung to Biden this year. I remember it swinging pretty Republican in 2008 and 2012 but then it swung pretty hard to Hillary in 2016, now only to swing against Biden pretty substantially. What the heck is going on in 90210?!

It's home to lot of Iranian Jews, who I've read tend to like Trump for whatever reason (possibly in part due to him withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal?) and are probably trending Republican long term too.
 
Plus I don't think Beverley Hills's liberal-left reputation is deserved, it always supports the more 'conservative' candidates in Democratic primaries, Bernie came a poor third in the primary this year (behind Bloomberg) failing to even get 10% in the northern part of the city. Beverley Hills is the kind of place that would be a stronghold of the right in literally any other country and it's only the GOP seemingly going out of their way to put off well-to-do urban voters and the Democrats staying relatively centrist that's keeping it non-Altas-blue. Whilst I think AOC (or a similar type) may well do significantly better in a presidential election than many on the right assume (many Dem trending formally GOP suburbs are not particularly economically right-leaning anymore) Beverley Hills is a good example of a place where she genuinely would lose badly, especially if the Republican nominee was a lot less 'gauche' than Trump.