Will Trump get 1,237 delegates?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

i'm rather afraid the party bosses don't have a choice

Who are the Trump delegates?  Are they party people, or are they Trump true believers?  If the rest of the delegation says to the 1150 Trump delegates, "no," what then?  Can the party tighten the screws? ("Fall in line or go in our book of shame and you can forget about serving our party in any capacity ever again.")

Varies I believe, a lot of them will be party people though.

not nearly enough to install a candidate besides drumpf  or zodiac ted, i should think

[windjammer]

If Trump doesn't get the nomination, I guess he will run third party.

[Vosem]

Voted "no, he won't be the nominee (brokered convention)" but it seems increasingly clear to me that the convention will not be brokered at all and will in fact be under the firm control of Ted Cruz.

[President Johnson]

Of course he will.

[Penelope]

He'll probably come within ~50 delegate of the 1,237 target. Then Ted Cruz will steal it from him at the convention and either lead America into a new age of darkness, or lead the Republican Party into a new age of political obscurity.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

He'll probably come within ~50 delegate of the 1,237 target. Then Ted Cruz will steal it from him at the convention and either lead America into a new age of darkness, or lead the Republican Party into a new age of political obscurity.

The GOP is no longer a party that can win Presidential elections.  They are structured to allow the right third of the political spectrum to control Congress, which in a way, makes the entire presidential primary process a zoo, and stacks the deck against them.   A Ted Cruz candidacy may teach them - finally - that a "true conservative" will never win, because you cannot win a nationwide election appealing to 1/3 of America.

But a Cruz defeat would keep the party together.  Hillary Clinton would become president, the five-ring circus that is the GOP would rally together to oppose her, they'll keep voting to repeal Obamacare, they'll filibuster Scalia's replacement, they'll filibuster Ginsburg's replacement, and they may even bring impeachment procedures against her at regular intervals.

And they will keep marginal control of the House and filibuster control of the Senate, unless or until the other 2/3 of America actually stands up to them in midterm and local elections, which is how they gain and maintain disproportionate power.

[/]

No, but he'll come close and they'll probably just give it to him at the convention.

People will literally be murdered in the streets if he doesn't get the nomination.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

No, but he'll come close and they'll probably just give it to him at the convention.

People will literally be murdered in the streets if he doesn't get the nomination.

(Michael Jackson eating popcorn dot jpg)

[ElectionsGuy]

Most likely right now he does, but just barely.

[Meclazine for Israel]

No. We've hit Peak Trump. It's all downhill for him from here (and not in a good way).

I dont know if we have. It's an interesting call.

I am concerned he is still too controversial at a stage in the campaign when he needs to demonstrate a level headed approach.

The Cruz-wife saga, the KKK, Megyn Kelly and the very impersonal nature to opposition figures in the political world.

You really need a 'world event' like Mexican muslims hijacking a Chinese jet for Trump's fears to becomenyour reality.

If he gets into the General, the question will be "Can he attract new voters?". Can he get a higher voter turnout?

I think he will have yugely successful moments during the GE, but you need to be in front on the scoreboard on election day.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

If he gets into the General, the question will be "Can he attract new voters?". Can he get a higher voter turnout?

As loathsome as Clinton is to so many Americans, she will pass the gut check when the alternative is Donald Trump.  I keep telling myself this during sleepless nights.