UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 17, 2024, 01:29:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (search mode)
Thread note
Any attempt at thread derailing will result in banishment. (Edit: damn, you guys really behaved yourselves)


Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 75687 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« on: December 12, 2019, 05:11:57 PM »

I don't really think Labour deserved to do any better than this--I've been probably the maroon avatar most critical of them on the antisemitism issue--but this is obviously a terrible result for British working people, and seeing the most personally loathsome individual on the forum gloating about this is enough to make me hurl. I'm going out to celebrate Our Lady of Guadalupe. I might be back for a hot-take postmortem later.

It's arguably a good result in the long term. Corbynism is dead if this exit poll is reflected in the actual result.

My one word reaction was "Woah!", which I think will be a widespread one.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 05:17:41 PM »

John McDonnell is sounding very weary.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2019, 05:22:36 PM »

Are there popular vote shares for the exit poll or is it just seat projections?

Don't think so, but Electoral Calculus thinks it is 41-27.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2019, 05:25:01 PM »


If so, that's the best Tory vote share since 1959.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2019, 05:32:57 PM »

Tories will definitely govern for longer than they did under Thatcher and Major.

Yeah, well, that's, just, like, your opinion, man.

Welcome to the forum.

Tbh, the Conservatives would still be vulnerable in 2024, it is more that Corbyn has lost than Boris has won. They also campaigned on promises like an end to austerity and getting Brexit done that they are either unable or unwilling to achieve. Still, starting so far behind and such a grim result in Scotland makes it look very hard for Labour to win an outright majority in 2024, hung parliament then certainly possible. 5 grim years beforehand though, and this election should have been a Labour win, so it is really a tragic result.

Labour would have to gain 130 seats to get even near to be a government; Blair did 145 in 1997, so it is not outside the realm of possibility. But Labour needs to pick the right leader.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2019, 05:47:31 PM »

Labour sources are seriously concerned about Blaneau Gwent. Al might have something to say about that.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2019, 05:55:43 PM »

Where are people seeing seat-by-seat exit poll projections?

BBC website.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2019, 06:16:52 PM »

John Bercow is on fine form in Sky News.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2019, 06:26:12 PM »

Possibly. More likely it's Labour voters being so put off by Corbyn they are voting Conservative.  The working class Labour voter can be pretty right wing on some issues such as crime and foreign policy.

Also, be interesting to see what happens in Dagenham and Rainham; the rather young Tory leader of Havering Council is up against Labour Leaver Jon Cruddas. That could be close.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2019, 06:28:19 PM »

Labour hold Newcastle Central.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #10 on: December 12, 2019, 06:32:23 PM »


Not exactly with a big majority, but still that's a big loss for Labour.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #11 on: December 12, 2019, 07:04:21 PM »

Ian Levy, the new Tory MP for Blyth Valley, is apparently an NHS worker specialising in mental health. Take that one on board.

if there is going to be a Red Wedding in the North, then you might get some very interesting new MPs in the Commons who never expected to be there.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2019, 07:14:20 PM »

Labour dropped over 7,000 votes in Blyth Valley; the Tories only went up around 16,000. Overall turnout was down there.

Suggests a lot of people simply didn't vote there. Big turnouts reported elsewhere don't seem to have happened there.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2019, 07:27:38 PM »

Skinner looks like losing Bolsover. He would have been Father of the House had he won.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #14 on: December 12, 2019, 08:09:42 PM »

Do elections before universal suffrage count in these discussions?
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #15 on: December 12, 2019, 08:10:48 PM »

Recount in Wansbeck and reports that Redcar has gone Tory.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #16 on: December 12, 2019, 08:12:15 PM »

Labour source is saying they have lost Redcar. That was projected to stay Labour in the exit poll.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #17 on: December 12, 2019, 08:25:27 PM »

Labour had held that seat continuously with one exception since 1918.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #18 on: December 12, 2019, 08:28:55 PM »

CON gain Darlington!
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #19 on: December 12, 2019, 08:36:55 PM »

Yep. After the fourth Tory victory in a row in 1992 came 1997.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #20 on: December 12, 2019, 08:41:20 PM »

1964 then. Tories went from a landslide in 1959 to a narrow loss to Labour.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #21 on: December 12, 2019, 08:47:34 PM »

Con GAIN Peterborough - Lisa Forbes won the seat for Labour after the recall election in June... and is now unemployed.

I've had longer temp jobs.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #22 on: December 12, 2019, 08:53:53 PM »

Lab gain Putney!
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #23 on: December 12, 2019, 09:58:22 PM »

BBC is saying that the leader of the DUP could lose to Sinn Féin.

Confirmed. Nigel Dodds is gone.
Logged
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,353
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #24 on: December 12, 2019, 10:07:45 PM »

Conservative majority of 64 now projected.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 12 queries.