Arizona

[Bomster]

Arizona is my homestate. It has consistently gone Republican in the past, in fact between 1948 and now the state had gone Democratic in a presidential election only once, in 1996. Arizona gave us Republicans like Barry Goldwater and John McCain. But since 2016 it seems the state is actually getting bluer. This was especially true in 2018, where Democrats won the majority of the popular vote in the house elections and Arizonans elected a Democratic senator (I was one of those arizonans). In fact if you were looking at the polls for Trump vs Biden and McSally vs Kelly without any context you'd assume that Arizona was atleast a lean Democrat state. What caused such a massive shift in the state? And is all of this real, or simply a mirage in the Sonora Desert?

[Bomster]

Arizona is fools gold for Dems

Then why is Biden leading there? If Biden was at 45 and Trump at like 40 it could be assumed that Trump would win, but no Biden is at 48-50%, higher than any Democrat recently. Even Hillary couldn’t stay this consistently high.