IL-GOV 2022 megathread

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Pritzker wins but posts a worse showing downstate than Quinn did.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Safe D, but someone from downstate could really run up the numbers there by painting JB as a Chicago Democrat who was elected by Chicago to serve Chicago and governs from Chicago, not Springfield, and has almost gone out of his way to alienate voters from outside Chicagoland. He’s easy to paint as out of touch with everyday life in Illinois outside of Chicago as a billionaire but also being from Chicago.

“JB Pritzker. Elected by Chicago, for Chicago.”

It wouldn’t be enough to win the race but would be enough to roll up record margins outside Chicagoland. They would do well not to mention his COVID-19 response which has been good.

To win, though, they’d need a different message for the suburbs since the anti-Chicago message wouldn’t cut it there. I have a hard time seeing an opening for Republicans to win in DuPage/Lake/Will/McHenry/Kane and the Cook suburbs by enough to win. Remember in 2014 Quinn came within a few percentage points of winning by carrying only Chicago, a few liberal suburbs, and East St. Louis. Their message in the suburbs should include Pritzker’s attempt to ram through an unpopular progressive tax amendment which failed badly in the suburbs and pretty much everywhere else. It should also rehash Pritzker’s toilet fiasco in light of that.

But like I originally said, it’s not happening. He’s safe as long as he wants to be governor.