Trump won it by +27 and Brown lost it. Since WW2 only Clinton (because of a third party ticket) and LBJ (in a landslide) won it. It's a stupid question. Safe R. It was close in 2012 because Obama was a good fit for that county, while Romney must have been a terrible one, but politics have changed since 2012. The political environment is completely different.
But some Atlas posters told me that 2012 is more relevant to the 2020 race than 2016/2018 will be. Who am I to question their wisdom? Especially after these same people told me that Democrats would sweep the Senate/gubernatorial races in crimson red states (but Nevada was still a toss up!) and that Obama/Trump districts were more likely to flip than Romney/Clinton districts.
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