NH-SEN 2022 Megathread: General Dysfunction

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

HE'S NOT RUNNING FOR SENATE.

As a partisan, I’m pleasantly surprised.

As an Atlas blogger, I apologise for suggesting this state would be easier for Republicans than AZ/GA/NV/PA. I bet it all on a SunuNUT map.

[SnowLabrador]

He's not running for Senate. That's pretty shocking.

[GALeftist]

https://twitter.com/stephanie_murr/status/1458081092200718336?s=21

LET'S

F[inks]ING

GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

[Pollster]

Never bet on a politician taking a risk when a clearly safe choice is also an option.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/stephanie_murr/status/1458081092200718336?s=21

Yeah, making this Announcement in Concord all but closed the Door on a Senate Run. He is citing Partisan Gridlock why he is running for a fourth Term.

[MT Treasurer]

Remember when the majority of Atlas posters thought that this was "by far" the easiest GOP pick-up opportunity in the Senate and that Sununu would mop the floor with weak Hassan even if Kelly/CCM/Warnock all held on?

That said, I really didn’t see this one coming.

[2016]

Yeah he's going for a fourth term as Gov.

Yeah, I am not surprised. He thinks he is more effective as Governor fighting Bidens & the Progressives Overreach with Vaccine Mandates, etc.

[Woody]

https://twitter.com/stephanie_murr/status/1458081092200718336?s=21

LET'S

F[inks]ING

GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Hassan's approvals are underwater by double digits. Any competent candidate could make this competitive against this garbage senator.

[Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins]

This can still be a pickup opportunity. But it is harder now.

Who runs now? Ayotte?  Scott Brown?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/stephanie_murr/status/1458081092200718336?s=21

LET'S

F[inks]ING

GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Hassan's approvals are underwater by double digits. Any competent candidate could make this competitive against this garbage senator.

Yeah a five or lead is  so difficult to overcome in 365 days, we can still win the 304 battleground, NH, WI and MI have small R leads but Biden didn't win 60% he won 50% of the vote don't count chickens because Ayotte was ahead on final weekend of campaign


MT Treasurer said WARNOCK was a socialist and lose to Perdue

He is now saying it against Barnes lol the map is gonna follow the 304 blue wall Biden is ahead by 4


Don't count chickenis🐔🐔🐔especially the 304 map

[Brother Jonathan]

Probably the best outcome for the Republicans though, in my mind anyway. The Senate seat should be fairly competitive with someone like Ayotte anyway (though the primary will be a lot harder for her, and Trump could really rock the boat) and Sununu will probably be well placed to win a fourth term. If he had run for Senate, it would have still been a close race, and the race for Governor would have probably favored the Democrats (who, in the right circumstances, could also take back the State House and Senate). So on net, I think this is probably the best move for the party as a whole.

[ElectionsGuy]

Seems like he's in. You don't make a "long-awaited announcement" to not run, usually.

Usually. What a fakeout.

I personally think it's the right decision for him too.

[Ferguson97]

Oh thank god

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

This has honestly not been a great recruitment cycle for the GOP… but that’s probably not going to matter in the end.

[KaiserDave]

Wow
Well I’ll be

[2016]

Let's be blunt here: In these times you have waaaay more influence as Governor of a State even if it is only a small one compared to the 100 Clowns in the Senate!

[Dan the Roman]

What happened in Virginia must have emboldened him.

This is true, though I think the race would lean toward him even if McAuliffe won in VA. Now he has pretty much nothing to fear if he does make a bid. As for myself I'm on the fence about who to support if he runs. I usually oppose Republicans and Phil Scott and Charlie Baker are more my type, but Sununu doesn't seem too bad, though I wish he'd made NH enter the interstate climate agreement that Baker, Scott and Larry Hogan put their states in.

I'm a moderate Republican who voted for Biden too. But if you're at the point where your heart wants the Democrat to win most of the time, that should tell you that you're not a centrist Republican, you're a centrist Democrat. Sununu is very moderate. Any self-described moderate Republican should support him.

>implying he hasn't been a rubber stamp for our legislature
>implying our legislature isn't as right wing as texas

Neither of those is true. You may wish he resisted the legislature more, but he has fought a lot with them. And the legislature failed to pass right to work and other stuff. Now there is a solid 45% that is very right-wing, which may be a concern come 2023 if neither Sununu or Ayotte is there and the GOP makes further gains in the legislature. But that is potentially a reason to vote differently for legislature and/or governor.*

I think Ayotte would like Sununu block crazier stuff. But if she doesn't run and it is some generic R of the Guinta variety I would worry with slightly larger R majorities.

[Mr. Illini]

Good for him, I’d want to stay out of Washington as well.

Also good for him for helping Dems keep the Senate

[Pheurton Skeurto]

This is one of the best breaks Democrats could have gotten for the midterms.

[Woody]

Good for him, I’d want to stay out of Washington as well.

Also good for him for helping Dems keep the Senate

Only in your mind.

Democrats are struggling in New Jersey and Virginia and you believe they are capable of keeping the senate?

[Ferguson97]

Good for him, I’d want to stay out of Washington as well.

Also good for him for helping Dems keep the Senate

Only in your mind.

Democrats are struggling in New Jersey and Virginia and you believe they are capable of keeping the senate?

Gubernatorial races are different from Senate races.

New Jersey had a Republican Governor for the majority of Obama’s presidency.

Andy Beshar won the KY GOV in 2018. Charlie Baker has won MA Gov.

[wbrocks67]

Does anyone think Ayotte will actually jump in?

[Nyvin]

Surprising

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/natalie_allison/status/1458085707541516293?s=21


HAHAHA

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Tilt R -> Tilt D. Hassan is still very vulnerable in the national environment, but it might come down to candidate quality.