Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[Hope For A New Era]

This hasn't been mentioned. Don't forget that even Joe Biden isn't at 50% in Georgia.  The Libertarian Party is around 2.5% of the vote in Georgia (in the Perdue-Ossoff Senate race) and historically their voters go heavily to the Republicans in any runoff.

I'm sure some of that 2.5% (114,483 votes right now) for the Libertarian candidate wasn't for the Libertarians but was a 'none of the above vote' but, the Libertarian Party does have a good organization in Georgia (relatively speaking) so, there are a fair number of genuine Libertarian voters in Georgia and historically they've gone heavily to the Republican in any runoff.

"historically" does not mean now.

Especially not when these are Libertarians and the Republican Party has become dramatically more authoritarian in recent years.

[Hope For A New Era]

Democrats need to go all-in on these races. Obnoxious Republican-style hyperbolic "stakes" ads, mountains out of molehills, fearmongering everywhere...fire with fire. Be the bad guy so we can be the good guy later. This party cannot continue being the victim.

[Hope For A New Era]

For what it's worth, I just applied the YouTube Comment Method™ to these races. It seems like the Democrats have an advantage.

[Hope For A New Era]

Well, today we find out.

[Hope For A New Era]

Betting markets have shifted slightly back to Ossoff

ElectionBettingOdds.com

Ossoff 51.1%
Perdue 48.8%

Warnock 61.5%
Loeffler 38.4%

Does this predict certainty or margin?

I think the 61.5-38.4 there makes pretty clear that it's certainty.

[Hope For A New Era]

Just thought I’d point out that Webster has less than 3000 people.

[Hope For A New Era]

Wow. I go away for about an hour, come back expecting the worst, and...it's better than I ever thought possible. Knock on wood.

[Hope For A New Era]

Just curious; if Dems pull both these off, what will be considered the tipping point seat in the Senate?

The tipping point will be whatever the narrowest D Senate win is. If it's not one of Ossoff or Warnock, it will be Peters.

[Hope For A New Era]

IN ABRAMS WE TRUST

[Hope For A New Era]

Gabriel Sterling is FF!

[Hope For A New Era]

We need an ATL avatar.

[Hope For A New Era]

It's over probably. Hawley 2024.

Watched Brett Baier interview him today. Not impressive and I'm not just saying that because I hate him. Trumpist Romney charisma wise at best, extremely boring, no oomph.

Yes. He will flop. He won in 2018 because of partisanship alone.

[Hope For A New Era]

Ossoff will be the first millennial in the U.S. Senate.

I think he will be the youngest Senator since Biden was 1st elected to the Senate (although I could be incorrect... I know he will be the youngest in the last 40 years).

I mean, Biden himself was elected 48 years ago, so

[Hope For A New Era]

I'm more disappointed its my own state than anything else atm.  Also the fact that we are now perma-blue is disgusting.

I need to vomit.

 

You'll live.

[Hope For A New Era]

Ironically, this thread is at it's emptiest when the media officially projects that these races will flip the Senate to Democrats

I think we’re all a bit focused on something else at the moment.