AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[Comrade Funk]

So, we have Kari Lake probably jumping in, we have Stanton clearing the way for Gallego, and we have Gallego about to make his candidacy official.

Let me be the first to congratulate Senator-elect Gallego on his upcoming victory.

Sinema will end up probably getting less than 5% of the vote, receiving support only from a few Republican dead-enders who think that voting for Sinema triggers the libs or something.

She will almost certainly get over 5% of the vote. In 2016, even Green party activist Gary Swing got 5.5% in the senate race. Last year, Betsy Johnson got 8.6% without incumbency. Sinema is such a well known name, she likely gets at least 10% probably over 15%.

15% is almost impossible. She might poll at that level, but that polling will dwindle the closer you get to November as polarization (plus a presidential election) kicks in. She gets 7% tops imo. If she runs.

[Comrade Funk]

Republicans seem so willing to just throw this race away.