Red state turning blue

[bore]

Is Mississippi getting blacker?

36.66% in 2000, 37.00% in 2010. Hispanics are growing too (like everywhere else), but this is all probably neutralized by the fact that Mississippi whites are becoming even more Republican with yellow dog types dying out, like Gene Taylor found out. It's highly unlikely this state will change much politically on presidential level in foreseeable future.

Popular, moderate Democratic incumbent (like Clinton in 1996) could win Dakotas if he decided to target them intentionally as "crown jewels" in a successful reelection bid, but that's unlikely because Dakotas are not worth much electorally.

You can't get much more republican than 90-10.

[bore]

Is Mississippi getting blacker?

36.66% in 2000, 37.00% in 2010. Hispanics are growing too (like everywhere else), but this is all probably neutralized by the fact that Mississippi whites are becoming even more Republican with yellow dog types dying out, like Gene Taylor found out. It's highly unlikely this state will change much politically on presidential level in foreseeable future.

Popular, moderate Democratic incumbent (like Clinton in 1996) could win Dakotas if he decided to target them intentionally as "crown jewels" in a successful reelection bid, but that's unlikely because Dakotas are not worth much electorally.

You can't get much more republican than 90-10.

I thought it was more like 85-15. But Republicans definitely don't need much since minority growth is rather slow in Mississippi.

I agree that there is no danger of mississippi swinging anytime soon but that won't be because of whites trending republican but as you say slow minority growth.

Here's the exit poll: http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/states/exitpolls/mississippi.html