How many CDs has Biden won?

[Devils30]

In NJ it's pretty clear Biden won 5,7 and 11 and the rest and Trump won 2 and 4. 3 is very close

[Devils30]

TX is going to be interesting in redistricting because there are so many GOPers to protect, new seats to add. They may have honestly been better off had they lost a couple this year, they can pack Austin but its really hard to see them keeping the whole delegation, adding 2 of the new 3 seats and not losing 5-7 seats if there is a Dem wave in 2026 etc.

In addition they have to decide if TX-15, 28, 34 are worth going for. All 3 are meant as D vote sinks but hard to pack them even more. If they try to make them more R, then that is fewer voters to shore up 10, 21, 25, 31. It's one of the tougher gerrymander calls out there.

[Devils30]

Biden won GA-6 55-44% after Hillary lost it by 1.5%. That one is probably close to or at the top.

[Devils30]

Remember when everyone was upset in June 2017 after that special election. That district did exactly the reverse of PA-12 in the late 2000s, early 2010s.

[Devils30]

Utah:

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1331397731752038410

Dems should probably shore up 2 and 5 a bit with the redraw once census numbers out.

[Devils30]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1333908436036280323

Hope Malliotakis enjoys her 2 years in Congress.

Yeah, Dems are going to obliterate this district and probably give Rose a chance to return. I would say NY-11 becomes solid blue and NY-2 can easily become lean blue while 1 becomes titanium red. I expect NY-22 to get Syracuse and 23/24 to combine Katko/Reed into one ultra red district.

[Devils30]

Yep...
Tax lien Cox
Lotto winner Cisneros

[Devils30]

NJ-07: Biden +9-10

Ancestral Republican places like here, OC still have downballot life for the GOP.

[Devils30]

TX numbers show that the GOP will really have trouble adding to its seats. 2,3,6,10,21,22,23,24,25 and 31 all need tightening. GOP coalition bc of ultra red east and west TX isn't as efficient for them there as in GA.

[Devils30]

California from DKE:

https://twitter.com/dkelections/status/1338604746106691585?s=21

Trump only won three districts by more than 10 points.

Trump only won CA-22 (Devin Nunes) by 5.4%,  was 9.5% in 2016.

Kinda interesting how CA-10 barely changed at all except a drop in third party votes,  was 3% Clinton and now 2.9% Biden.

If Dems keep gaining with college grads and their Hispanic slip reverses in 2024-28, the GOP in Cali House could be truly apoplectic.