How many CDs has Biden won? (user search)
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  How many CDs has Biden won? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How many CDs has Biden won?  (Read 17577 times)
Gass3268
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« on: November 10, 2020, 01:59:20 PM »


Dang didn't realize Trump was held under 60% in VA-06.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: November 14, 2020, 02:49:20 PM »

Biden numbers in MI-5 are very weak, he did even worse than Clinton




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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2020, 11:34:24 AM »



Why do you suppose that is, VAR? (As in why did AR-03 shift comparatively leftwards from 2016?)

Northwest Arkansas/Fayetteville metro swung to Clinton in 2016 as well. This year, Washington County, which includes Fayetteville, went from Trump +10 to Trump +4. Suburban Benton County went from Trump +34 to Trump +26. The rurals didn't swing R nearly enough, which is why it shifted 7% leftwards.

Little Rock suburbs (AR-02), though, barely swung to Biden.

If Arkansas Republicans are smart, they'll split Benton and Washington counties in the new map and prevent the district from becoming even possibly competative by the end of the 2020's.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2020, 01:41:28 PM »



If this is accurate, then Richard Hudson underperformed Trump in NC-08.

Not surprising honestly.  That area has really strong ancestral Dem streak downballot.  This area of NC is surprisingly industrial and experiencing the same trends as eastern OH, northern WI, etc. 

Plus Cabarrus County is the most Dem friendly suburban/exurban county in the Charlotte area. Will probably go Democratic by the end of the 2020's.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: November 19, 2020, 12:19:24 PM »

Legitimatly hope Republicans go nuts with redistricting this next cycle so there can be a push for a Michigan style reform package in its wake.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2020, 03:35:51 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: November 29, 2020, 11:07:29 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: November 29, 2020, 11:16:26 PM »



So 11 is the only flip then?

Correct
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: December 01, 2020, 06:17:30 PM »



Hope Malliotakis enjoys her 2 years in Congress.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: December 06, 2020, 03:08:49 PM »



Trump won the 17th again. The more upscale portions of Peoria and Rockford are actually not in the 17th district which explains why it voted for Trump again despite some decent swings in Rock Island/Peoria/Rockford.

Good, will make it easier to shore up.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: December 09, 2020, 07:25:54 PM »

Wow.  Can the democrats just gerrymander out that one Republican district in Maryland?  Now that SCOTUS says gerrymandering is perfectly ok.  The numbers would seem to work.

Oh yeah totally, they have supermajorities in both chambers. Only threat would be the now Republican/Conservative Maryland State Supreme Court.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: December 14, 2020, 06:38:02 PM »

California from DKE:



Trump only won three districts by more than 10 points.
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