OK, what happened in Maryland???

[jaichind]

This one is a total shock.  I used to live in Montgomery County MD.  Looking at results from that county I would have said that Dems win in MD.  The victory comes from unexpected GOP strength in Howard and Baltimore County.  There seems to be two elections, one for places like Montgomery and PG which has been trending D for a while now with higher AA share of the population and another election in the rest of MD.  Since no one saw this coming there are no exit polls so we have no clue why and how this took place.

[jaichind]

The only way to explain this is a much larger white turnout and the GOP taking a much bigger share of the white vote.  In fact in this election whites is voting as a bloc which usually seems to take place in places like Mississippi but now perhaps with the non-white population in MD growing to be larger than 40% this is triggering a white conscious.  Absent of exit polls I have to extrapolate it.

in 2012 Prez it was
                                       GOP vote
White (59%)                       55%
Non-White (41%)                  9%
----------------------------------------------
                                          36%

This time the GOP captured about 54% of the vote.  Lets assume the large minority turnout for Obama in 2012 has subsided and Whites now make up 65% of the voting electorate.  I think an implied exit poll should look like this

                                      GOP vote
White (65%)                     75%
Non-White  (35%)             16%
---------------------------------------------
                                        54%

And that is assuming that the GOP made some gains among the minority voting bloc since 2012 (9% to 16%).  Any argument that the GOP vote share the white vote is less than 75% by arguing that the  GOP vote share of the non-White vote is higher than 16% runs in the problem of the GOP getting in Prince George County only 15% of the vote in 2014 where Whites makes up 20% of the population and most likely around 22-23% of the electorate this time around.  Such a low vote share must imply that the GOP in PG county is losing the non-White vote by massive margins.  This in turn imply that the GOP must be winning the White vote by massive margins.

[jaichind]

White racist silent majority.

Sorry if you meant this tongue-in-cheek but by your logic are not the minority vote that voted in even larger margin for the D candidate also racist (by clearly voting against the "white" candidate for being the "white" candidate.)