Polish Politics and Elections

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Massive turnout in Warsaw, low turnout in the SE rurals even though PISS offered bribes.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

KKKonfederacja getting less than 2019 (IIRC they got like 7%) after all this fanfare would be a hilarious result.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

What would be the most likely coalition with this exit poll? PiS might lose power even in when they come in first, though I'm not sure whether Tusk can actually put a majority together.

But it seems like polls were relatively accurate. Polling still works in Europe, unlike in the US.

KO-TD-Lewica already said they'd work together. The exit polls show a 99% chance of them getting a combined majority.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Almost everyone in Poland expects swearing in of new "real" government on 13th December (42nd anniversary of declaring martial laws by communists).

Wouldn't the coalition want to try to avoid that symbolism if they can? Giorgia Meloni was definitely nervous about her inauguration getting close to the 100th anniversary of the March on Rome. I guess she had a lot more control over the timing of the process given Italian institutional norms, though.

Well I think a big part of that was that Meloni was accused of being a fascist. Literally no one aside from the most blatant hacks think either PiS or PO are Communists, so it wouldn't be as applicable.