CA-SEN 2024: Who wins Orange County in the runoff?

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Who wins my home county in the runoff? I imagine Porter would if it's Porter vs another Democrat. What if it's Schiff vs Lee or a D vs R runoff?

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If Porter doesn't make it past the primary, I imagine Schiff wins it.

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Aren't Schiff and Porter likely to do better in Orange than in Los Angeles and San Diego?

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Maybe Porter or Schiff?

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Aren't Schiff and Porter likely to do better in Orange than in Los Angeles and San Diego?

Schiff is probably gonna do very well in Los Angeles no matter what pretty much all the major electeds here are backing him besides Mayor Bass. I expect Lee to to do well in the black parts of downtown La and Porter to do decent in the arts districts but Schiff will likely handidly win everywhere else.

What about OC and SD?

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Aren't Schiff and Porter likely to do better in Orange than in Los Angeles and San Diego?

Schiff is probably gonna do very well in Los Angeles no matter what pretty much all the major electeds here are backing him besides Mayor Bass. I expect Lee to to do well in the black parts of downtown La and Porter to do decent in the arts districts but Schiff will likely handidly win everywhere else.

What about OC and SD?

Porter will probably win OC in the primary no matter what it's probably her only safe county. In the general she's favored there too but if she doesn't make it id expect Schiff to do pretty well there. The 2018 Senate race showed the wealthy republicans in the county really don't like progressives.

As for SD I'm not super familiar with there politics but they tend to elect more moderate Dem politicians so I'd expect schiff to do well there but there probably some parts of SD that Porter or Lee will do well in. Schiff will generally have a regional advantage in socal and do pretty well in all the counties down here.

Would Lee do better in San Diego than Orange County?