I voted Trump primarily because if he loses I genuinely don't think he will know how to have a quiet retirement. Combined with how he'll inevitably comment and criticize anything Biden says or does, I think there's a good chance he'd run and a strong chance he would win the nomination.
Yes and failing that it'll be Don Jr.
I'm a little skeptical of Don Jr.'s political skills (and apparently so is Trump himself) but him winning a Republican party nomination in the future would not surprise me.
Well the MAGA base loves Don Jr. and he seems to me to be very much his fathers son so thats what I'm basing it on. Plus name recognition will give Don an early advantage over DeSantis and the rest cos he has a more famous second name
Why is there an assumption the Trump's want to stay in politics? It will just end up like one of their business venture's that failed and they'll move on and do something else. Possibly start up a cable news show to rival Fox (which will fail)
I actually predict none of the Trump's will run again and it wouldn't shock me if a conventional Republican won.
Trump had something that resonated with the GOP base but I don't know its easily replicated. That wing of the party was split in 2012 over a number of candidates (Gingrich, Santorum, Bachmann, Cain, Perry etc), but Trump managed to unify them, no guarantee they'll have a unifying figure in 2024.
Lets not forget also the GOP establishment will make it much tougher for an outsider to win next time round. Trump wasn't attacked by his rivals till February in 2016 by then it was too late.