Post your BOLD takes for the 2022 midterms

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Democrats will do far better than expected.

-Limiting the House losses to 25 seats or less (I'm least confident on this)
-They will break even, possibly gaining a governorship or two
-They will break even or possibly gain a Senate seat or two; the map isn't that friendly to Republicans based upon the seats up this year.

Trump and the GOP inward split that he's creating is going to haunt the party in November.  He's goingt to drag some candidates down.

We'll see

You will be very disappointed.

Rich coming from a guy whose 'predictions' are more like wishcasting (CO will not be 'very close,' given that it was Biden+13, is trending leftwards fast, and that the GOP candidate is an extremist even by the GOP's standards).
There's a very GOP bias in your predictions and your reactions to other predictions - you're willing to accept 'hot takes' that the GOP will do massively well in 2022, including quite a few ludicrous 'predictions' that you and others have made, but if someone offers a hot take that seems like it'll help the Democrats, you're suddenly not so open-minded and very much on the offensive. I feel like you'd more readily accept the 'predictions' of a doomer like SnowLabrador than someone who predicts Democrats will do decently in 2022. When there's a very bold and unlikely claim of 260+ seats for the GOP, you simply consider it 'interesting.' On the other hand, when a less bold claim is made that the Democrats'll do good in 2022, your reaction is that they'll be 'very disappointed.' No - it is you who will be disappointed when Oz doesn't win by even 3 points (if he wins at all), when Bennet wins in CO by over 6 points, and when Perdue loses the nomination.

lol we'll see in November

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats will do far better than expected.

-Limiting the House losses to 25 seats or less (I'm least confident on this)
-They will break even, possibly gaining a governorship or two
-They will break even or possibly gain a Senate seat or two; the map isn't that friendly to Republicans based upon the seats up this year.

Trump and the GOP inward split that he's creating is going to haunt the party in November.  He's goingt to drag some candidates down.

We'll see

You will be very disappointed.

Rich coming from a guy whose 'predictions' are more like wishcasting (CO will not be 'very close,' given that it was Biden+13, is trending leftwards fast, and that the GOP candidate is an extremist even by the GOP's standards).
There's a very GOP bias in your predictions and your reactions to other predictions - you're willing to accept 'hot takes' that the GOP will do massively well in 2022, including quite a few ludicrous 'predictions' that you and others have made, but if someone offers a hot take that seems like it'll help the Democrats, you're suddenly not so open-minded and very much on the offensive. I feel like you'd more readily accept the 'predictions' of a doomer like SnowLabrador than someone who predicts Democrats will do decently in 2022. When there's a very bold and unlikely claim of 260+ seats for the GOP, you simply consider it 'interesting.' On the other hand, when a less bold claim is made that the Democrats'll do good in 2022, your reaction is that they'll be 'very disappointed.' No - it is you who will be disappointed when Oz doesn't win by even 3 points (if he wins at all), when Bennet wins in CO by over 6 points, and when Perdue loses the nomination.

lol we'll see in November

They haven't polled any 278 states except for NV, we are still waiting on the big three MI, PA and WIand KS Gov right now the polls are inflated biased towards Rs they have Biden at 33/59% on NV and CCM is only down 39/42% c'mon


You guys are trailing in OR Gov and Betsy Johnson is beating Tina Kotek 30/24/17R

They haven't poll NM, MD and MA Gov those are two automatic pickups, the Rs aren't getting 30 Govs like 2010 it was 10% unemployment and 90M vote we have 110/150M vote and 3.8% unemployment don't get your hopes up for 30 Govs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden and Bernie and Obama are gonna campaign for D's Obama in GA, Bernie in WI like he did with Baldwin in 2018 and Biden in PA with Fetterman, that's why we aren't gonna be slaughter in 22

Lol 33/59 Biden Approvals in NV 40)46 with Latino voters but they won't poll MD Gov race or NM where Biden is popular with LATINO, Lol just lol

[Schiff for Senate]

Democrats will do far better than expected.

-Limiting the House losses to 25 seats or less (I'm least confident on this)
-They will break even, possibly gaining a governorship or two
-They will break even or possibly gain a Senate seat or two; the map isn't that friendly to Republicans based upon the seats up this year.

Trump and the GOP inward split that he's creating is going to haunt the party in November.  He's goingt to drag some candidates down.

We'll see

You will be very disappointed.

Rich coming from a guy whose 'predictions' are more like wishcasting (CO will not be 'very close,' given that it was Biden+13, is trending leftwards fast, and that the GOP candidate is an extremist even by the GOP's standards).
There's a very GOP bias in your predictions and your reactions to other predictions - you're willing to accept 'hot takes' that the GOP will do massively well in 2022, including quite a few ludicrous 'predictions' that you and others have made, but if someone offers a hot take that seems like it'll help the Democrats, you're suddenly not so open-minded and very much on the offensive. I feel like you'd more readily accept the 'predictions' of a doomer like SnowLabrador than someone who predicts Democrats will do decently in 2022. When there's a very bold and unlikely claim of 260+ seats for the GOP, you simply consider it 'interesting.' On the other hand, when a less bold claim is made that the Democrats'll do good in 2022, your reaction is that they'll be 'very disappointed.' No - it is you who will be disappointed when Oz doesn't win by even 3 points (if he wins at all), when Bennet wins in CO by over 6 points, and when Perdue loses the nomination.

lol we'll see in November

Very much what I'm thinking too 

[Burke Bro]

Republicans win Oregon-GOV and come very close in Maine and Connecticut. Republican gains in the house beyond districts that already lean to the right nationally are primarily concentrated in suburban/college educated white districts.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Republicans win Oregon-GOV and come very close in Maine and Connecticut. Republican gains in the house beyond districts that already lean to the right nationally are primarily concentrated in suburban/college educated white districts.

Lol go to the Gov Board and look at OR Gov Johnson is ahead 30/24/17 over Generic D

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Governors
OR Gov flips R but MN Gov doesn't
Kemp(GA) and Schmidt(KS) win by about 6, but that's less than what republicans win by in NV, and WI

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Governors
OR Gov flips R but MN Gov doesn't
Kemp(GA) and Schmidt(KS) win by about 6, but that's less than what republicans win by in NV, and WI

Lol Betsy Johnson is well ahead of R challenge she is up 30/24/17

[Ferguson97]

GA-GOV is closer than GA-SEN.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Debbie Wasserman Schultz's race is low single digits

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Blake Masters won't win.

[LAB-LIB]

Mark Ronchetti wins in New Mexico, while Whitmer and Shapiro win in Pennsylvania and Michigan.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's aren't losing NM, NEXT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is so funny that users say D's are gonna lose a bunch of H seats and Cook H ratings have stayed the same just like the Rs think they're gonna sweep the Senate and Cook has the S a Tossup is funny, all because of Approvals that aren't votes casted and D's got 80M votes last time and it's VBM not same day

THESE ARE DOOMER SCENARIOS AND ITS ALL BASED ON Approvals 33% THATS NOT REAL VOTES CASTED

.News flash 33% approvals aren't vote, they're polls, just like R nut maps aren't real it's a mock prediction ..

That's why I don't make R nut maps, D's won 80M votes last time

[LAB-LIB]

D's aren't losing NM, NEXT

Ronchetti only lost the Senate race by 6 points in a D+4 environment. This is a state race, and Gov. Grisham had the sexual harassment suit against her recently. The R+2 environment alone would be enough, but there are these other two factors as well. It's easy to see how Ronchetti makes up the last six points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not an R PLUS 2 environment, the Approvals aren't even real I told you that they are just that numbers before the polls close they're not votes casted it's a 303 map anyways do you think Rs are ahead in OR by 20 pts no they're not, NXT

We Ds won 80M votes to Rs 75M and it's stilll VBM, NXT, if we were showing weakness in NM then SISOLAK wouldn't be up 46/33 in a NV why because of LATINO vote, but nevertheless they need to poll all the states

Approvals are just numbers before we cast our ballots they're not real until they are duplicate on EDay some users think they are actual votes cast no they are not

[Vern]

Democrats only win 180 to 185 seats in the house.
Republicans pick up 4 senate seats.

[MillennialModerate]

House gains might be lower but 2022 will go down as one of the worst midterms ever.

Democrats won’t control either branch of congress till 2028 at the earliest.

GOP wins AZ, GA, PA, WI and NV.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

House gains might be lower but 2022 will go down as one of the worst midterms ever.

Democrats won’t control either branch of congress till 2028 at the earliest.

GOP wins AZ, GA, PA, WI and NV.

So, you think 80M votes we got last don't mean diddly squatt you're wrong with your Predictive maps because Approval ratings mean NOTHING UNLESS THEY ARE REPLICATE ON EDAY

We're not getting swept on the best nights for Rs because MA and MD Govs are gonna go D that alone can help us with our NPVI and we're gonna win them with 60%

Blks and Latinos and Females the D VOTE not White men the R vote are very excited out in IL and.CA, NV and AZ to vote D I know