Lean R. Bayh was up by like 20 points several months before the election and many posters said that it would be best for the NRSC to triage the race. No, I’m not saying that 2018 will be as Republican-friendly a year as 2016 and Bredesen obviously shouldn’t be underestimated, but I do think Blackburn is still the slight favorite here.
I agree, but I think Bayh is a poor comparison. Bayh had a reputation as a Midwestern Blue Dog due to his tenure as Indiana Governor but had grown more liberal in the Senate over time. Bredesen still has the advantage of keeping his Southern Blue Dog rep intact.
