|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 19, 2020, 08:15:32 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TN-PPP: Bredesen +5
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: TN-PPP: Bredesen +5  (Read 2617 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 744
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 21, 2018, 12:34:05 am »
« edited: March 21, 2018, 10:18:50 am by TheRocketRaccoon »

https://amp.tennessean.com/amp/443326002

Bredesen 46
Blackburn 41

Generic D 41
Generic R 51

Trump approval 54/42
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,887
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2018, 12:38:43 am »



But 46% might be about what Bredesen gets.
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,563
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2018, 12:40:27 am »

I believe
Logged
The Hunt for the Red October Surprise
Fubart Solman
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,070
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2018, 01:27:52 am »

I believe in Harvey Dent the Blue Wave. 🌊
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2018, 02:52:44 am »

Push poll by pro-ACA group

Fake news
Logged
TheRocketRaccoon
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 744
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2018, 03:16:26 am »

Push poll by pro-ACA group

Fake news

How can you tell this with no polling script?
Logged
Lean Branson
Doctor Imperialism
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,035


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2018, 03:32:34 am »

Logged
Beto/Biden/Allred voter 4 Cornyn's NUT maps
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,213
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2018, 05:50:00 am »

Lean R. Bayh was up by like 20 points several months before the election and many posters said that it would be best for the NRSC to triage the race. No, Iím not saying that 2018 will be as Republican-friendly a year as 2016 and Bredesen obviously shouldnít be underestimated, but I do think Blackburn is still the slight favorite here.
Logged
libertpaulian
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,042
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2018, 06:35:06 am »

Lean R. Bayh was up by like 20 points several months before the election and many posters said that it would be best for the NRSC to triage the race. No, Iím not saying that 2018 will be as Republican-friendly a year as 2016 and Bredesen obviously shouldnít be underestimated, but I do think Blackburn is still the slight favorite here.
I agree, but I think Bayh is a poor comparison.  Bayh had a reputation as a Midwestern Blue Dog due to his tenure as Indiana Governor but had grown more liberal in the Senate over time.  Bredesen still has the advantage of keeping his Southern Blue Dog rep intact.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,992
Venezuela



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2018, 06:52:58 am »

Lean R. Bayh was up by like 20 points several months before the election and many posters said that it would be best for the NRSC to triage the race. No, Iím not saying that 2018 will be as Republican-friendly a year as 2016 and Bredesen obviously shouldnít be underestimated, but I do think Blackburn is still the slight favorite here.

Their profiles are similar, but I think it depends on the quality of his campaign. Bayh's campaign was a disaster the minute it started and didn't get any better.
Logged
Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,241
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2018, 07:03:10 am »

Lean R. Bayh was up by like 20 points several months before the election and many posters said that it would be best for the NRSC to triage the race. No, Iím not saying that 2018 will be as Republican-friendly a year as 2016 and Bredesen obviously shouldnít be underestimated, but I do think Blackburn is still the slight favorite here.
^^^^
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,614
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2018, 07:20:12 am »

I don't see crosstabs, but at the very bottom of the page that the OP posted, 83 percent of respondents were white while 14 percent were black. Maybe blacks are slightly overrepresented or something else?
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,153


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2018, 07:52:05 am »

I seriously think Blackburnís gender is hurting, potentially fatally. This is helpful for Dems but ultimately terrible for democracy.
Logged
DTC
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,608


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.50

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2018, 07:58:09 am »

Push poll by pro-ACA group

Fake news

Trump's approval is 54-42 according to this poll.

It was only 50-44 in TN according to gallup, and I've seen a lot of polls where Trump is basically even in TN.

I don't think this is a push poll if Trump's approval is a lot higher than in other polls, lol.

Logged
Jeppe
Bosse
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,759
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: March 21, 2018, 08:58:45 am »

I seriously think Blackburnís gender is hurting, potentially fatally. This is helpful for Dems but ultimately terrible for democracy.

Democrat women have been doing pretty well in primaries, but Republican women havenít had the same luck. I donít think gender is hurting Blackburn, Deb Fischer easily won a race very similar to this one in 2012, in an even less red state.
Logged
Pollster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,049


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2018, 02:49:44 pm »

Important to note that Blackburn is barely within the MOE here. This is an incredibly tight race.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,415
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: March 21, 2018, 02:53:57 pm »

Freedom poll. Nevertheless, this is toss-up at very best, more likely "lean Republican".
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,482
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: March 21, 2018, 02:57:42 pm »

Tennessee being competitive is a mainstay of any GOP doomsday scenario, LOL.  The fact that it's remotely close is embarrassing.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,153


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: March 21, 2018, 04:13:57 pm »

I seriously think Blackburnís gender is hurting, potentially fatally. This is helpful for Dems but ultimately terrible for democracy.

Democrat women have been doing pretty well in primaries, but Republican women havenít had the same luck. I donít think gender is hurting Blackburn, Deb Fischer easily won a race very similar to this one in 2012, in an even less red state.

My thesis is that itís regional to the southeast, where few women have emerged as conservative leaders (although we can all name those few) and where male conservative politicians are more likely to treat women as followers and second-class elected officials than equals. Bredesen has rare credibility as a Democrat to capitalize on this because of his track record.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.13 seconds with 14 queries.