French Presidential Election; Results Thread (1st round)

[Tender Branson]

I just realized Sarkozy has some good-looking step-daughters !



PS: It´s the 2 blondes, the woman on the left is his wife ...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Why? Do they ususally vote UMP there?

Historically it's tended to vote for the Right

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Amusingly enough, Le Pen is actually from Brittany; Morbihan department.

[Verily]

Darn, you beat me. That one's a surprise.

Why? Do they ususally vote UMP there? I've always liked Bretagne (Brittany). It was also the only major region of France to vote Yes on the Constitution last year.

They must really hate Le Pen there, look at Le Pen's result in Finistere: (6.5%)! He almost got beaten by Besancenot (5%).

It's not a UMP stronghold by any means, but it's definitely mildly right-wing.

[Verily]

Alas, Le Pen has managed a third-place finish in Pas-de-Calais, and a narrow (by 13 votes) one in Pyrenees-Orientales.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Interesting that Royal came second in Pas-de-Calais, despite Sarkozy polling well below average; Besancenot, Buffet and Laguiller all did well there.

[afleitch]

Frances own 'Home Counties' beyond Paris seem to be plumping strongly for Sarkozy

[Cubby]

Why? Do they ususally vote UMP there?

Historically it's tended to vote for the Right

It's not a UMP stronghold by any means, but it's definitely mildly right-wing.

Well that sucks. I thought Bretagne was cool!

Amusingly enough, Le Pen is actually from Brittany; Morbihan department.

Ha ha!  It looks like he did worse in Morbihan than in most other departments. Not only is he 4th place but at only 9%, he has less than half of Bayrou's total.

Morbihan sounds very Welsh. Nice to see Brittany hasn't been completely Gaullicized (sp?)

[afleitch]

[Cubby]

Is this accurate?:

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I thought there's a runoff no matter how close the top 2 candidates are.

So if Candidate A was at 45% and runner-up B is at 25%, they would still have a runoff, right? It has to be over 50% to win.

[Verily]

Is this accurate?:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I thought there's a runoff no matter how close the top 2 candidates are.

So if Candidate A was at 45% and runner-up B is at 25%, they would still have a runoff, right? It has to be over 50% to win.

Yes, CNN just doesn't know what they're talking about. That's pretty much what happened in 1969.

[Hatman 🍁]

Is this accurate?:

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I thought there's a runoff no matter how close the top 2 candidates are.

So if Candidate A was at 45% and runner-up B is at 25%, they would still have a runoff, right? It has to be over 50% to win.

"Close" being a misnomer here. 49-1 would be "close" under this definition while 51-49 wouldn't be.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

More results coming in now

[afleitch]

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Sarkozy coming first in one of his worst departments (Pas-de-Calais) is amusing, no?
If proof were needed that the far-left in France still has some electoral clout... there it is...

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Only the big urban centres left now.

Btw, it's interesting to see how SFIO-ish Royal's pattern of support seems to be (with exceptions like Brittany, obviously).

[Harry Hayfield]

TV5 Monde Final Projection (and change on 2002)

Nicolas Sarkozy: 30.93% (+11.05%)
Segolene Royal: 25.50% (+9.32%)
Francois Bayrou: 18.51% (+11.67%)
Jean Marie Le Pen: 10.73% (-6.13%)
Others 14.33% (-25.91%)

Groupings (and change) (based on exit poll)

Left: 25 + 5 + 2 + 2 + 1 = 35% (-3%)
Right: 30 + 3 = 33% (+1%)
Centre: 18 + 1 = 19% (+19%)
Far Right: 11% = 11% (-8%)
Others: 2 + 2 + 1 = 5% (-6%)

Swing from Left to Right of 2%

[afleitch]

[Harry Hayfield]

I am now transferring my recording to DVD and will attempt to post some of the election graphics tomorrow as well as post regular postings of the CAC 40 Index which opens at 0900 CET tomorrow morning. As a reminder, the CAC 40 Index closed the day before the 2002 Presidential Elections at 4,606.42 and opened on the Monday after at 4,597.21 (a drop of 9.21 points) before closing at 4,559.46 (a drop of 46.96 points).

The CAC 40 Index closed on Friday at 5,938.90 (up 1,332.48 points +28.9%) but I can't find anything about the CAC 40 Futures

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Le Pen has collapsed in Alpes-Martimes; to the clear benefit of Sarkozy who polled over 40% there.

[ThePrezMex]

They just announced the results in Alpes Maritimes and Var, which I guess were historically some of Le Pen's strongholds. He did very poorly, less than 14 percent in each. Big victory for Sarkozy in those: 43.6% in Alpes Maritime (17.90 for Royal) and 39.74% in Var (18.7 for Royal). So a good number of Le Pen voters went for Sarkozy in the first round as well.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Sarkozy has come first in Paris

[afleitch]

Sarkozy has come first in Paris

Fantastic

[Democratic Hawk]

Whoever wins, the world won't be any better off. It will still be Non, Non, Non obstructionism all the way

Still with the centrist candidate out, I'm edging to the center-LEFT

Dave

[useful idiot]

Is it unusual that Sarkozy did so well in Seine-Saint-Denis?

Royal 34.1%
Sarkozy 26.7%
Bayrou 16.7
Le Pen: 9%

I thought that was basically a North African colony within France

[Joe Republic]

85% turnout?!  Jeez.