Last week's elections cemented Marion as a Safe D county, perhaps even Titanium D. They've also shifted Hamilton County from Safe to Likely R.
The Dem's chances to flip the 5th have also increased.
Increased from 0% to 1%?
My best friend from law school lives in Carmel. He's been attesting to the changes in HamCo for quite some time.
"It's changing" doesn't mean "it's going to flip communist" all of the sudden. For example Rhode Island trended hard R in 2016, but you don't see folks on the right screeching some deluded fantasy about it "flipping" in 2020.