Clinton in 2016 general election: bottom 5 states
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  Clinton in 2016 general election: bottom 5 states
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Poll
Question: If Clinton is the Dem nominee in 2016, will Arkansas or West Virginia be in the bottom 5 of her PV%
#1
AR only
 
#2
WV only
 
#3
Both
 
#4
Neither
 
#5
Clinton won't be the nominee
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: Clinton in 2016 general election: bottom 5 states  (Read 319 times)
SingingAnalyst
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« on: February 09, 2016, 02:42:23 PM »

I say WV, with UT-WY-ID-OK rounding out the bottom 5.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2016, 02:42:56 PM »

I say WV, with UT-WY-ID-OK rounding out the bottom 5.

Agreed.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #2 on: February 09, 2016, 02:46:27 PM »
« Edited: February 09, 2016, 02:49:23 PM by mathstatman »

I'd put AR 6th from the bottom though. Omaha, NE is more diverse and less conservative, and even ID has growing Dem pockets.
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sportydude
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« Reply #3 on: February 09, 2016, 02:51:58 PM »

Neither.

OK, ID, WY, MS and AL will be her bottom five.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #4 on: February 09, 2016, 02:55:33 PM »

Neither.

OK, ID, WY, MS and AL will be her bottom five.
I definitely agree with OK, ID, WY. MS and AL have growing Black populations after a quarter-century of reverse Black migration to the South, and white support for Dems has probably already bottomed out (at around 10% in MS and 15-20% in AL). I believe the strong GOP tilt in WV will persist.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #5 on: February 09, 2016, 02:59:06 PM »

Neither.

OK, ID, WY, MS and AL will be her bottom five.

Uh, what? You realize that Black voters in MS are voting 95%+ DEM, no matter who gets the Democratic nomination?

The South is probably going to look like this for her (from worst to best):

OK
AL
TN
AR
KY
LA
TX
MS
SC
GA
NC
FL
Rookie Sportydude's prediction may come to pass if Black turnout drops significantly in MS, as it did from 1968 to 1972. I don't think it will, though.
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