Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I definitely think it's gonna be a 3.5 Election our max in the Senate is 3 not 8 and we still can hold the House in a neutral cycle.

It's gonna be close either way not a landslide, any Approvals showing a landslide and Covid is rising and we are still on in a Pandemic is wrong.

We won the PVI by 8 in 2018 and our Election resurrected the EC blue wall, that is what's gonna happen in 2022, too. IL, MI, WI and PA, not OH, IA or FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna be a 3.5 Dem Election it's not gonna be D+8 at least not yet Nelson leads 48-44 that's not a landslide in WI.

Like previous pollster says it's not a landslide 60 pt Approvals Biden Approvals are at 53 percent

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If you believe the polls, I feel bad for you.

You don't need to look at a poll in order to see that the Trump was a far more controversial and despised figure during his first year in office than Joe Biden currently is right now.

At this same time in 2017 it felt like I could not go anywhere without everybody around me talking about the latest trump tweet or controversy. Even my co-workers who voted for Trump told me that they wished that he would focus more on doing the job of president and tweet less

So far I simply not seeing the same level of hate for Joe Biden that I saw for Trump, Obama or even Hillary in 2016. Trust me people around here are not shy about attacking Dems and if Biden really was facing a growing backlash among voters or if he did became as hated as Trump was than I would have seen evidence of it by now

Yes, we were promised in 2020 by AOC a Supermajority Senate and D's lost the wave insurance seats. pbower2A said that D's are gonna win IA Senate, if Grassley stays he is a safe bet to win reelection

The Ds won the PVI by 3.1 in 2020 and D's won the PVI by 8 2018 and still lost OH, IA and FL Gov, DeSantis can lose in a large enough wave but as far as Senate it will be 53/47 and OH and NC can substitute for GA


PVI is probably gonna be somewhere around D+3.5 not 8

These rosey 60 percent poll should not be taken that much into account

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Ds were supposed to have a Supermajority Senate and they failed, and they said D's were gonna have 230 seats in House, we aren't in a Prez race we are in a Congressial Midterm

Maggie Hassan and WARNOCK may lose, She is down to Sununu by double digits and WARNOCK is Vulnerable too

Landslide Lyndon predicted an AOC Supermajority Senate

Covid cases are riding again, that isn't good news to Congressial Ds

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I guest since WARNOCK and Hassan trailing, there is no need for a Rosey map today 60 percent Approvals, Covid cases are rising. Biden had a Great Honeymoon, but it's reality now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are still on track for a D 3.5 Election but things can change in 500 days

WI, PA and NH Senate goes D

GA goes R and replaced by OH or NC

Approval with Biden at 53% shows that, it's won't be a landslide


Biden is not at 59% with Covid cases rising

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why I said a lot can change in 500 days it won't be an D plus 8 but D 3 or 5 Environment is possible

D's must perform marginally better than 3.1 percent in order to keep the House

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't donate to any D like Ryan, Jackson due to fact we need to see a Mason Dixon poll in the last half of 2022 to verify they are gonna win

We were fooled last time with so many seats that have a Supermajority Senate. MT, KS, IA, ME, NC etc and Landslide Lyndon said there was gonna be a Supermajority he is nowhere to be found, naturally or he is under a different user name

But, in a 3.1 Environment, you can donate to WI, PA and NH Ds

But D's have to perform marginally better than last time to ensure a D controlled H. D+4 which will give us 55 seats

As of now, it's anyones guest

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I never seen a non rosey scenario for Ds on pbower2A Approvals.

2016 he was wrong, 2020 was definitely wrong with high Approvals in MT that was the biggy right there and TX

Now these Approvals, he should come down on his Approvals, they aren't matching Election outcomes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I never seen a non rosey scenario for Ds on pbower2A Approvals.

2016 he was wrong, 2020 was definitely wrong with high Approvals in MT that was the biggy right there and TX

Now these Approvals, he should come down on his Approvals, they aren't matching Election outcomes

Go off

Go off, the Approvals aren't 59 it's 53, he has IA and TX positive it's not

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I never seen a non rosey scenario for Ds on pbower2A Approvals.

2016 he was wrong, 2020 was definitely wrong with high Approvals in MT that was the biggy right there and TX

Now these Approvals, he should come down on his Approvals, they aren't matching Election outcomes

Go off

I also remember people going on the 2024 Election and say FL is a solid R state and no stopping DeSantis

We are gonna have a 3.1 PVI Election but Biden hasn't done enough to improve on Covid in order to have a wave insurence Election that's why Cook and Sabato ratings are the way they are stuck at a 3.1 Election.

Things can change next yr

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Also Rahm Emmanuel was key in D's locking in 257 seats in 2008, and he resigned and became a bad mayor in Chicago, after D's los t 53 seats in the House, in 2010 due to parking meters

The DCCC campaign chairmen can't spearhead what Emmanuel did with Obama.  

But, DeSantis and Mandel are weak candidates and we may win NC so D's chances of maintaining both H with 55 seats are good

FL maybe in play due today Gaetz story and Rs still think DeSANTIS is not endangered

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The same Rs that want D's defeated just got stimulus checks, I don't see how anyone can criticize the Ds after 2K and 300 more in stimulus checks, you can't have your cake and eat it to

It's a PVI 3.1 D Election but the Ds want it to be more to ensure we hold the H which can become 3-5 percent

FL has the Gaetz scandal

NC is a purple state

OH has Mandel and IA is IA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well NH and GA looks gone now that Sununu is leading in another NH poll

Like it or not Rs may very well pull it off, where is landslide Lyndon or wbrooks now

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well NH and GA looks gone now that Sununu is leading in another NH poll

Like it or not Rs may very well pull it off, where is landslide Lyndon or wbrooks now

New Hampshire is typically close in statewide elections. 2008 and 2020 were not close for the Presidency -- well, it was the economy in 2008, and Trump was a steaming pile to NH voters in 2016.

Dems may lose a seat in 2022 but GA is less valuable than NH due to blue wall

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1378368158617247747

The generic ballots are D+4 as mentioned in the article which currently could be enough to hold the house. Although things will change with redistricting and get more unfavourable as time goes on.

What else is new? The cyclical voting patterns in our country will undermine progress once again. It's always going to happen.

Not really, the reason why Rs are putting voting suppression laws on ballot and it might hurt us in FL and GA, but still have OH, NC as wave insurence is VBM

The Rs thought they had Newsom, but because we had a huge turnout in District 30 thru VBM, the polls are showing a landslide for Newsom, They are gonna lose VA, NJ Elections this year too

Sake day voting is the only way Rs can survives and it's being taken away in favor of VBM

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know the same users that are Rs got 2K stimulus checks and maybe getting 300 a week more than everyone on UBI benefits called Unemployment, are the very ones trying to get Rs back in office

Mcconnell and Johnson already objected to Extended Stimulus benefits in the last session and Trump was for it.

They will work their hardest to keep Corporate taxes low and no Entitlements

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs will never be able to get total control the Senate maps, 2022/2024/26 with Ernst and Collins gonna lose, will prevent any more tax cuts for the rich

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Not 59 percent but what do you expect in a Covid Environment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't see it as an outlier, the voters are greatful of the 2K stimulus checks, but are concerned about the Covid cases growing. D's can win next yr but the Covid needs to zero in order for D's to succeed, hopefully it is but we have a homeless crisis that are super spreaders and they aren't mandated to get the vaccine.

On Skid Row they say they won't get vaccine, just like when we had TB, they won't get the chest x-ray when they test positive

Ordinary people aren't super spreaders, homeless are, but the Ds are ahead on Generic ballot it's gonna be a 2.5 or better Environment, I don't see the Rs ever being ahead on PVI. The last time they won was 2016, plus 1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's the problem with Biden and his infrastructure plan they are gonna spend 2T on a infrastructure, and D's need more stimulus money due to fact Covid is not over

The 1.9 T plan was solely based on the improvement of Covid cases, it's the same as last yr when Trump passed the 1200 it doesn't last

Infrastructure spending should be allowed but it should be scaled back until there is no more Covid, to spend on stimulus

Also, where are the Green Jobs, we surely expected more job growth than this. Most of the jobs that came back were Flight Attendant jobs for the Airlines, and the Insurrectionists Commission need to be restarted, the Ds are ceding this issue to Rs, they had them, back in Feb, but now that there isn't any Commission, Rs Approvals are going back up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not gonna be over, it's a virus spread by continued contacts with homeless in stores, buses trains, not based on going to Homeless community, they are all over, that's why there is TB

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), April 7-8, 1005 adults

Approve 56 (+2)
Disapprove 37 (-4)

Note: this poll has been quite bouncy in recent weeks.

If  this is so in 2024, then President Biden wins in a landslide if he wants to run again.

It’s a f**king ipsos poll.

Don't you realize females are tunimg out again on Rs due to the Gaetz, Floyd and Voter suppression laws, we are reverting right back to where Rs were right after Jan 6th, males aren't the only ones that voted.

Also, there are alot of Arabs that voted R in 2020 prior to Insurrectionists

Floyd trial and Gaetz story is hurting the brand R name

If Biden is at 56 Approvals Hassan or WARNOCK aren't losing

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah their chances of capturing the House is null at this point, you haven't seen much of Mccarthy since the Gaetz story


Boehner already said that Trump Insurrectionists spoiled Rs chances in the Midterms

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Of course he does, he along with Harris said, they alone can, not just get people vaccinated, but END COVID

But, the Senate maps are against the Rs, unless they do like they did in 2016, force D's to lose seats in 2022, 2024 Senate map gives Biden the 291 EC map, with Casey securing the critical battleground state of all PA, just like Fetterman does in 2022, he has WC Females appeal due to being tall

But buyers remorse is starting to set in and he needs to stop cases from rising and do something about