KY-Mason Dixon: Bevin Trails by 8

[OSR stands with Israel]

Safe R because of Racist hicks

Kansas wasn't safe r because neoliberal suburbs revolted.

Indeed. Racist KY Hicks are about to deliver Atlas another painful lesson, just as the Racist OK Hicks and Racist TN Hicks did.

Yeah, just like those racist hicks in ME and MT, who couldnt vote for Democrats even if their life depended on it.....wait.

At this point, racist hicks and polarization have become buzz words to dismiss races that could or have the potential to be competitive, with all the nuance of a children's story book. Not only are these situations radically different:

(TN had a popular former governor running against a no-name, so of course they would be inflated early)

(The candidate running, and I cant stress this enough, wasnt Mary Fallin, it was the, according to polling, moderately popular Stintt. Not only that, as ONProgressive has stated, Drew Edmonson never got more than 44% in polling, ever)

You cant just slap the same argument onto every race(especially since its already fallen apart, see MT, SD, NY, New England, CA, etc.) as nuance exists in the political world. Every race is different, and has its own set of factors. For this one, you have Bevin, the incumbent, unpopular governor, vs the presumptive Democrat Beshar, the current AG. Will Beshar win? Probably not, but he still has a great chance, and dismissing this race outright from the start is just setting yourself up for failure.

Uh, what in the world do ME and MT have to do with KY? Not only did I not predict those races were safe R, I predicted Democrats would win them. So that does nothing to debunk the Racist Hick Theory.

Every state has Racist Hicks. Some more than others. In Kentucky, just as in Oklahoma and Tennessee, there are enough Racist Hicks to make the state unwinnable for Democrats barring pedophilia or some other similarly extreme situation. It's not that complicated.

If you're a popular incumbent like Manchin that got grandfathered in before Racist Hicks began to view all Democrats as members of an anti-white hate group, then you might be able to survive. But aside from that, if you're a Democrat in a state with a Racist Hick majority, you're up sh**ts creek without a paddle.

Oh, and Fallin still would've won if she was up for re-election.

Not disagreeing with your ACTUAL electoral predictions ... but assuming "hick" implies rural, there is literally not a state in the nation with a "Racist Hick Majority," Icespear.

Who said hick had to mean rural? There are plenty of Racist GA Hicks in Forsyth County, for instance.

You probaby would have hated hated  Orange County from the 1960s-1990s


It was the home to much of the John Birch Society(Really the only clear bad part IMO), was the place which in many ways started the backlash to the counter culture movement in the 60s and was the place where the Reagan/Conservative Revolution was started.

Reagan used to get 67%+ of the vote there (twice over 70%) and most of the people who represented Orange County were super conservative Republicans who made Reagan look liberal. It also was the place where the tax revolt really started and the tough on crime revolution started.