ME (NRSC Internal): Collins +8 (user search)
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  ME (NRSC Internal): Collins +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME (NRSC Internal): Collins +8  (Read 2781 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« on: July 02, 2020, 04:36:19 AM »

If I wanted to release really favourable Collins margins in dodgy internals, I'd give voters an RCV choice (as there will be one, eventually) and only report the first ballot.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2020, 07:57:49 AM »

FiveThirtyEight have gotten a more complete release:

https://bangordailynews.com/2020/07/01/opinion/contributors/susan-collins-did-her-job-sara-gideon-didnt/

Moore Information/NRSC
June 20-24, 2020
600 registered voters

Collins 45%
Gideon 37%
Lisa Savage 3%
Max Linn 1%

This looks like serious business to me, though if the Savage votes broke for Gideon and the Linn votes for Collins thanks to RCV, the lead would shrink to +6%.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2020, 01:52:38 PM »

Collins if reelected will vote for all of Biden nominees anyways. She can still win

That doesn't matter much in the case of court nominations because as long as she supports McConnell as Republican caucus leader, he can refuse to hold a vote and do to any nominee what he did to Garland.
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