MO-SEN 2022 megathread: ERIC

[Calthrina950]

Although I think Blunt would be favored in a Biden midterm, with numbers like this it wouldn't surprise me if he decided to retire rather than run for reelection. Blunt's approvals are no better than they were in 2016, when he almost lost to Jason Kander-and was rescued from defeat by Trump. Why exactly has Blunt always been so unpopular?

[Calthrina950]

in a Biden midterm

You all keep saying this. In the last six midterm elections, three have had the non-Presidential party gain, two have had the Presidential party gain, and one has had no change in overall composition.

Yes, and why is that a problem? It's not a guarantee that Blunt would win reelection in a Biden midterm, but he would certainly be in a better position than if he were running for reelection under Trump.

[Calthrina950]

Democrats aren’t going to win Missouri through demographic change alone. They’re going to have to find a way to appeal to rural voters.

Rural voters made it loud and clear this election that they are done with the Democratic Party. They see the Democrats as an anti-American, socialist party that is antagonistic to their values, and what can the Democrats do to challenge this notion? If anything, I wouldn't be surprised if rural areas continue to trend even farther away from the Party in years to come.

[Calthrina950]

Greitens is like a Missouri Roy Moore. I wouldn't put it past Republican voters to support him en masse if he were to win the primary, but a Greitens vs. Generic Dem election should scare the GOP, and America for that matter.

If Missouri were still like it was in 2012, then Greitens would probably lose the general election. Unfortunately, the state has become much more polarized since then, so I think he would take it.

[Calthrina950]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Perhaps he read this thread? But at any rate, it's astonishing that he would say something like this.

[Calthrina950]

Miles should come on here and explain that decision.

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369058059457359877?s=19

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1369059790324965387

Perhaps he read this thread? But at any rate, it's astonishing that he would say something like this.

I actually was the one who stirred the pot lol





he also unfollowed me

The dude is think skinned

That describes many people on the Internet, especially many people on Twitter.

[Calthrina950]

I watched Blunt's interview on This Week with George Stephanopoulos yesterday, and in a way, it's easy for me to understand why the Republican base doesn't seem to particularly like him. He very much comes across as a boring, generic, establishment Republican who gives platitudes about "working across the aisle" with Democrats and who doesn't say anything crazy or conspiratorial-laden. Many Trumpists desire officeholders who are confrontational and who grandstand in their media appearances.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1390349202853617668?s=20

Hartzler is mostly rurals in central west Missouri with a few Kansas City exurbs.

She's the one who defeated longtime Democratic Congressman Ike Skelton, who was a Blue Dog Democrat, back in 2010.

[Calthrina950]

Quinton Lucas met with DSCC and is seriously considering, Luetkemeyer is also considering.

Almost every Republican in Missouri's House delegation is considering a run. I believe Sam Graves is the only one who isn't.

[Calthrina950]

I’m wondering if there are so many Republicans that a ‘conservative but not embarrassing’ moderate could sneak through the primary just running in St. Charles and the KC burbs.

Ironically, Sam Graves could fill that role very well, but he may be the only congressional R not running. Such is the absurdity of Missouri.

He's the "Dean" of Missouri's congressional delegation, if I'm not mistaken, having first been elected in 2000. His accumulation of House seniority may be the reason why he's (apparently) not running for Senate.

[Calthrina950]

She wanted Barr to prosecute obscenity.
https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/exclusive-u-s-representatives-call-on-barr-to-prosecute-obscene-pornography/

Hartzler, from what I know of her, is very socially conservative, and apparently started her political career by campaigning against gay rights. I don't think the Senate needs another Marsha Blackburn in its ranks.

[Calthrina950]

Nixon didn’t have a chance to begin with.

Nixon seems to have recognized this, and probably kept in mind what happened to Bayh, Bredesen, Strickland, and Bullock-all former Governors who lost Senate races by double digits in their now staunchly Republican states.

[Calthrina950]

Nixon didn’t have a chance to begin with.

Nixon seems to have recognized this, and probably kept in mind what happened to Bayh, Bredesen, Strickland, and Bullock-all former Governors who lost Senate races by double digits in their now staunchly Republican states.

This.

Does any of the Carnahans run? Koster? Montee? Francis Slay?

I know nothing about the last two individuals you list, but I'd imagine that the Carnahans and Koster stay out, as they've been defeated in recent years, and would be defeated again.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/eyokley/status/1422524916960743424

It's amazing the extent to which all Republicans have come to deploy Trumpian political attacks against the Democrats.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/eyokley/status/1422524916960743424

Every statement released by a Republican is just cartoonish nowadays. The absurdity of it all.

This is what I was just saying above. Republican statements seem heavy on the use of words such as "radical", "leftist", "socialist", "far-left", "BLM", "Antifa", "cancel culture", "woke", and all of the associated terms.

[Calthrina950]

Long has met with Trump and Kellyanne Conway will be his senior advisor.. I expect a endorsement soon.

Hasn't Long been a staunch Trump supporter? I recall him being very enthusiastic at Trump's last State of the Union address. I wouldn't be surprised if he receives Trump's endorsement.

[Calthrina950]

Libertarian Jonathan Dine is running for the Senate again. This is the third time in a row he'll be trying for the Class 3 senate seat, and he also ran for the Class 1 seat once (2012).

Dine got 6% of the vote that year, his best performance to date. Obviously, that was because of Todd Akin. He got Republican voters that were disgusted by Akin but wouldn't vote for Claire McCaskill.