AZ (Data Orbital): Biden +5

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Based on state fundamentals and not taking polls into consideration too much, I think that this is the most likely outcome.

Too early to consider polls. I will take the polls into consideration during the next week.

Deleted my first request bc I didn't want to derail the thread, but that's interesting -- particularly the split between Wisconsin and Michigan. 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Sorry y'all, I was the one who asked Ljube for his EC map prediction.  Didn't mean to take this thread in the wrong direction. 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

I don’t know how people are seeing a Biden +5 poll and saying “tRuMp iS fAvOrEd”

I think it's a combination of being spoiled by gaudy polls (if you support Biden, of course) and people have this tendency to think that trends will surge in one unchanging direction from now until Election Day.