Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1598106383496679425

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1598106123676319744

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1600871095766515712

[Sir Mohamed]

Brandon approval at 50

If the 2024 election was held now, he'd most likely win with a similar or the same map as in 2020.

[Sir Mohamed]

Marist - 45/48

With a few more added, 538 RV/LV average is now 44.8/50.9, only -6.1.

Inflation further eases and the job market remains strong. Given the latest polarization, that's not relatively solid, although I wish his approvals were higher.

Still way too early, but as of today, Biden's in a much better position for 2024 today than he was 6 months or a year ago.

[Sir Mohamed]

Rassmussen twice had him 46-52% lately.

[Sir Mohamed]

Biden is now higher than Reagan was at this point in his presidency lol

535-3 sweep incoming. Only WY goes R by some 2k votes

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1612273855506022403

[Sir Mohamed]

IBD (A+) has Biden at 44/46 (-2) and 49/51 (-2)

https://www.investors.com/politics/biden-approval-rating-jumps-as-he-pivots-toward-center/

If he's close to that even before announcing a reelection bid, he's starting out from a good position. Sure, a lot can happen until November 2024, but it's a good start.

[Sir Mohamed]

Wow - Biden at net 0 fav and POSITIVE territory job approval in latest YouGov/Economist among RV! Not sure when the last time that was.

Biden fav: 49/49 (=)
Biden job approval: 50/47 (+3)

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/6ig3yyjvb9/econTabReport.pdf

Besides easing inflation and a strong jobs market, I think the House GOP dysfunction at full display helps Biden to draw a clear contrast between his leadership and the opposition. This might be a good outcome of 2022: Narrow R-majority and McCarthy's internal struggles leads to more inefficiency within the GOP, while Biden can continue to get smooth confirmation for federal judges.

[Sir Mohamed]

Biden is officially back?

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1613398525617864706

[Sir Mohamed]

Wow - Biden at net 0 fav and POSITIVE territory job approval in latest YouGov/Economist among RV! Not sure when the last time that was.

Biden fav: 49/49 (=)
Biden job approval: 50/47 (+3)

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/6ig3yyjvb9/econTabReport.pdf

Besides easing inflation and a strong jobs market, I think the House GOP dysfunction at full display helps Biden to draw a clear contrast between his leadership and the opposition. This might be a good outcome of 2022: Narrow R-majority and McCarthy's internal struggles leads to more inefficiency within the GOP, while Biden can continue to get smooth confirmation for federal judges.

So much for this Biden and his garbage papers, werent we all were saying Biden can win MO and some said FL and TX now we can lose alot more than that

Johnson and Sir Muhammads said Biden is back no he isn't

Is it no longer a 303 map anyways?

[Sir Mohamed]

Q-pac still hasn't seemed to be able to figure out their issues. They were way off last year, underrating Biden after they had overrated Dems in the past.

Yup, seems like they're stuck with the extremes. Either way too D or too R-friendly. I won't bother taking them serious for 2024.

[Sir Mohamed]

Biden no longer leads Trump he is losing now because Biden polls are well under 50 now

Its a 303 map anyways, Prez Biden is gonna win

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1620863714927984645

[Sir Mohamed]

It's a 290 map DeSantis would be fav over Biden in GA, I seriously doubt after Docugate Biden or Harris are gonna win by more than Obama margin 51/47 in 2012, Biden plus 6 is lies

Docugate ended our advantage in FL, TX or NC but Brown, Tester or Stein can split vote since DeWine isn't on ballot by 25

Why are we still complete even in KY and MS Gov because of the blk core RS ignores

Trump and Pence also had "Docugate". Nobody will care about this issue in a few months. And those who still do were never in Biden's camp anyway.

[Sir Mohamed]

Biden seems to be settling again around 45-46%

YouGov/Economist has him 45/52 this week (with a rather GOP-y sample too)
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/gg0t2njevs/econTabReport.pdf

IBD, NBC, Fox, YouGov, etc. all finding him around 45%. We'll see what the SOTU does.

Perhaps SOTU bump can get him closer to 50% in the coming days and weeks. An upcoming Trump-DeSantis showdown on the horizon may help him going into a reelection campaign as well.

[Sir Mohamed]

I highly doubt his favorable is only 43/42 in Massachusetts of all places lol

That's similar to Trump having favorables and approvals barely above water in states like MO, AL or IN.

Biden is going to win MA in 2024 by 30 pts., give or take a few points.

[Sir Mohamed]

What, if anything, could boost his approval ratings above 50% before November 2024?

The only thing I could think of is if Russia fully retreats from Ukraine and Zelensky directly credits Biden for it. Even then I’m not sure. Part of me feels that Biden could literally authorize funding that leads to a cancer cure and not get back above 50%.

If that happens, the bump would just fade away within weeks. We live in 24 hour newscycles.

[Sir Mohamed]

^^ Press X for doubt. Biden is the most likely person to be POTUS on Jan. 21, 2025, but I don't think TX is there yet.

[Sir Mohamed]

Dark Brandon rises!

Marist:

Adults: 46/46
RV: 49/45

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2099/02/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables-2024_202302171218.pdf

Late SOTU bump?

Perhaps we can get a few extra points with his recent trip to Ukraine.

[Sir Mohamed]

Both Tipp Insights and Morning Consult have him at 45/49. Rasmussen has him at 48/50.

Today, Rassy is again at 48/50. Encouraging trend again.

[Sir Mohamed]

Brandon at 50 according to Rasmussen

Interestingly Rassy has been one of his best approvals pollsters. The same was true with Trump. Any theories why that is? An incumbency bias? Or is Rassy just better in tracking a hidden incumbency bias?

[Sir Mohamed]

Morning Consult - 46/52
YouGov - 45/52

538 RV/LV average - 44.9/51.4 (-6.5)

Rassy is 49/50 today.

[Sir Mohamed]

LOL, Rassy has Biden 47/52 today, but apparently Trump has 52% with a "favorable opinion". Sure.

[Sir Mohamed]

Ugh, I guess it's an outlier:

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1638924576645079041