Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[HisGrace]

If only 19% think the trial is being conducted fairly something tells me this will not be widely seen as "vindication".

[HisGrace]

Worth noting that the Fox poll with Trump at a record 48/51 approval has now released their GE matchup numbers:

Biden 49, Trump 40

Also:

The race remains a nine-point advantage for Biden over Trump when looking only at those voters extremely interested in the election (52-43 percent) and the former vice president has an eight-point edge in battleground states (48-40 percent).

However, Biden’s advantage grows to 25 points, 57-32 percent, in close counties (where Hillary Clinton and Trump were within 10 points in 2016).

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-leads-trump-wins-high-marks-for-female-vp-pledge

Sounds like a junk poll. Don't see how it's possible for an incumbent president to be at 48 percent approval and only polling 40 percent in a GE matchup.

[HisGrace]

Worth noting that the Fox poll with Trump at a record 48/51 approval has now released their GE matchup numbers:

Biden 49, Trump 40

Also:

The race remains a nine-point advantage for Biden over Trump when looking only at those voters extremely interested in the election (52-43 percent) and the former vice president has an eight-point edge in battleground states (48-40 percent).

However, Biden’s advantage grows to 25 points, 57-32 percent, in close counties (where Hillary Clinton and Trump were within 10 points in 2016).

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-leads-trump-wins-high-marks-for-female-vp-pledge

Sounds like a junk poll. Don't see how it's possible for an incumbent president to be at 48 percent approval and only polling 40 percent in a GE matchup.

They like what he has done so far but are scared of what follows?

It just usually doesn't work like that and certainly not by that big of a margin. Incumbent presidents usually run ahead of their approval ratings which is why 45 percent approval is the generally accepted threshold for reelection.

[HisGrace]

Trump is already in trouble, the 278 states are stacked against him this time. Like it was for GW Bush, but he managed 44 percent of the Latino vote by having Jeb as Gov of FL to take from Dems, that Trump doesn't have. Trump only won FL due to Rubio dropping out of campaign and running for Senate. Without McCain or Rubio on ballot in 2020, Trump is certainly to lose the minority vote by a wider margin.

Not sure how much McCain helped him in AZ. Somebody who was going to come out specifically to vote for McCain probably wasn't going to vote for Trump.

[HisGrace]

Biden has just accused or sexually assaulting women again and the Hunter Biden report is due out in Aug, by Congressional Rs and Rob Johnson. Chris Matthew's,  whom was biased towards Biden and the secular press has given Biden a free pass during primaries. The polls are gonna get tighter as they always have and Trump may indeed take a small lead by the his convention

269-269 tie and way back to White House is thru the R delegation in the House

Biden is a very weak candidate in a vacuum, but double digit negative real GDP shrinkage and double digit unemployment will hurt Trump more than any of the above will hurt Biden. The horse race will be worse for Trump in a few months, not better, imo.  Recessions and economic contractions usually take a couple quarters to sink in and really take a political toll and that toll will come at the worst possible time for Trump.

The public is going to have little tolerance for silly season, which is exactly how I'd describe the Hunter Biden report, in the midst of a full blown economic and public health crisis. There's no way the GOP can advance it as issue meriting serious discussion when millions are out of work and going hungry. The sexual assault allegations against Biden are serious, concerning, and deserving of further scrutiny -- but it doesn't bolster Trump because he is a known sexual predator.

The sexual assault thing could hurt Biden by depressing his turnout. Obviously no one is going to vote for Trump because of it. With the economic issues that likely won't be resolved by November no one will care about something dumb like the Hunter Biden report, though.